Independent thinking for complex markets and current events
April CPI showed food at home up 0.7 percent monthly, biggest jump since August 2022. Overall food inflation hit 3.2 percent year over year, up from 2.7 percent prior. Beef, tomatoes and produce leading surges with some categories near 40 percent annual. Iran conflict energy spike and fertilizer issues adding fresh pressure. Shoppers report sticker …
United Nations economists officially slashed their 2026 global growth forecast to 2.5%, down from the 2.7% projection set back in January. The downward revision is a direct result of the energy crisis sparked by airstrikes in the Middle East and the subsequent blockade of the Strait of Hormuz, which is now strangling the supply of …
Crew on $4.1bn Artemis II mission thwarted by embarrassing Outlook error: 'Microsoft's not content with being the worst email service on Earth' https://t.co/ChuaG6zwBR — Daily Mail (@DailyMail) April 5, 2026 The crew on NASA’s Artemis II mission ran into unexpected issues with Microsoft Outlook, as the email service was plagued with technical difficulties even outside …
Moody’s Ratings has projected a negative outlook for New York City’s finances, chalking it up to the city’s large and persistent projected budget gaps — and citing Mayor Mamdani’s plan to draw down from reserves in order to balance the budget this year. The negative outlook won’t have any immediate impact on the city’s borrowing …
US ADVANCE Q3 GDP +4.3% (CONSENSUS +3.3%) — *Walter Bloomberg (@DeItaone) December 23, 2025 Huge GDP beat.No inflation.Best economy in history.Cut rates to 0️⃣. Too much winning. — TT3 (@TradingThomas3) December 23, 2025 🇺🇸 Morning Economic Data: *Q3 GDP: Beat 🟢*Q3 Consumer Spending: Beat 🟢*Durable Goods Orders: Miss 🔴*Core Durable Goods Orders: Miss 🔴 Will …
$NVO is still blaming their weakness on " knockoff GLP1s"😂 I like the company, but why isn't $LLY doing the same? Management has to take accountability at some point! pic.twitter.com/sLzJniQLyY — Patient Investor (@patientinvestor) July 29, 2025 The fall hit hard. Early in the morning Novo Nordisk shares dropped over 20% after slicing its full‑year …
ASML reported net sales of 7.7 billion euros ($8.95 billion) in the second quarter, ahead of estimates. However, the company said it cannot confirm that it will grow in 2026. ASML is one of the most critical semiconductor supply chain companies in the world. ASML on Wednesday warned of the possibility of no growth in …
Tom Lee, Fundstrat head of research and CIO, joins CNBC’s ‘Squawk on the Street’ to discuss outlooks on Nvidia, whether there may be catalysts to the upside, and much more.
Centene just pulled its 2025 earnings forecast. The numbers didn’t slip, they cratered. The company warned of a $2.75 per share hit, wiping out $1.8 billion in adjusted earnings. That’s not a guidance tweak. That’s a full retreat. The trigger came from updated morbidity data across 22 states, covering 72% of Centene’s ACA marketplace footprint. …
With the equity market surge yesterday, market based pricing of growth expectations has nearly fully recovered the drop this year, and is just a couple point off highs. pic.twitter.com/UeaOxWYTDC — Bob Elliott (@BobEUnlimited) May 28, 2025 Long dated real yields are at their highs of the post-covid cycle. pic.twitter.com/4D4xVU4WhS — Bob Elliott (@BobEUnlimited) May 28, …
They’re calling it a nothing burger. Just like in 2011. Just like in 2023.But this time feels different. Here’s why this downgrade could be the one that sticks: 1. The U.S. needs to roll over nine trillion dollars in debt this yearThis is not just refinancing. It is a test of confidence. If buyers hesitate …
Wow … UnitedHealth $UNH stock is down another 10% so far in pre market trading after it suspended its full year 2025 financial outlook along with announcing a new CEO 🔴🔴🔴🔴🔴🔴🔴🔴🔴🔴 pic.twitter.com/BcN0vBeoYp — Evan (@StockMKTNewz) May 13, 2025 BREAKING: UnitedHealth stock, $UNH, falls -11% after announcing the unexpected exit of its CEO and suspending 2025 …
BREAKING: The NY Empire State Manufacturing Index fell to -8.1 points in April, recording the 3rd negative reading this year. More importantly, 6-month outlook for general business conditions plummeted to -7.4, the lowest in 24 years. Additionally, the 6-month outlook for new orders fell to -6.6, the lowest in history. Not even the 2008 Financial …
🇺🇸 Richmond Fed Manufacturing Index 6-month outlook for new orders -26. An all-time record low! Chart: @zerohedge pic.twitter.com/wmKOQNUzGZ — Alex Joosten (@joosteninvestor) April 23, 2025 Goldman Sachs, $GS, says to brace for a bigger stock drawdown, wider credit spreads and recession — unusual_whales (@unusual_whales) April 23, 2025 JPMORGAN: MIGRATION CONCERNS HURTING U.S. TOURISM This is …
Global trade outlook is deteriorating: The World Trade Organization expects world merchandise trade to fall -0.2% in 2025, down from +2.7% growth expected at the beginning of the year. This would follow the +2.9% growth recorded in 2024. North American trade is set to be hit… pic.twitter.com/c6h7dlUv4h — The Kobeissi Letter (@KobeissiLetter) April 23, 2025 …
I’ve never seen anything like this before. The current economy is so unpredictable that United is providing guidance under two different economic scenarios: One if the economy enters a recession, and one if it doesn’t. Investor Update1 Issue Date: April 15, 2025 This Investor Update provides guidance and certain other forward-looking statements about United Airlines …
U.S. Profit Outlook is now the most unfavorable since November 2007 🚨 Anything interesting happen in 2008? 🤔👀 pic.twitter.com/NadMu4F7ps — Barchart (@Barchart) April 16, 2025 Wow, that’s a worse print than during the 2001 and 2009 recessions. It’s getting really more and more difficult to imagine how we can avoid a recession right now. pic.twitter.com/ycRrqfEVge …
The market no longer believes the Fed: Since the "Fed pivot" began in September 2024, market-based inflation expectations have more than DOUBLED. In fact, markets now see +3.3% inflation over the next 2 years, the highest since March 2023. Has the Fed lost its credibility? https://t.co/cNVD32IqbR pic.twitter.com/KWjK2LekQM — The Kobeissi Letter (@KobeissiLetter) March 29, 2025
https://twitter.com/nextlevelcharts/status/1903051518271713565
Something has to give. People can only hold on for so long before they start to crumble. It’s a miracle we aren’t in a recession with people feeling this gloomy. Over 60% of Americans are very worried about losing their jobs. Highest since 2008. H/t @porterstansb pic.twitter.com/YMITs3w9Lt — QE Infinity (@StealthQE4) March 20, 2025 Fund …
by notayesmanseconomics As we arrive in Christmas week we find that the data on the UK economy is sending a rather unseasonal message. Here is the official release from earlier. UK real gross domestic product (GDP) is estimated to have shown no growth in Quarter 3 (July to Sept) 2024, revised down from the first …
Several critical financial measures continue to drop, reaching rather obscene comparisons. At first, that doesn’t seem to make any sense; how would today be seen as similar to February 2009, for example. However difficult the economy is now, it certainly isn’t that bad. What these measures are indicating go beyond specific moments, instead providing clues …
https://www.marketwatch.com/livecoverage/nvidia-earnings-stock-results-guidance-blackwell-ai-revenue?mod=home-page *NVIDIA SEES 4Q REV $37.5B PLUS OR MINUS 2%*NVIDIA SAYS HOPPER DEMAND, BLACKWELL ANTICIPATION 'INCREDIBLE'*NVIDIA SHARES FALL 5% AFTER 3Q EARNINGS REPORT — Genevieve Roch-Decter, CFA (@GRDecter) November 20, 2024 BREAKING: Nvidia $NVDA earnings: EPS: $0.81 vs $0.75 expectedRevenue: $35.082 Billion vs expected $33.1 Billion pic.twitter.com/x66fSY47Pe — unusual_whales (@unusual_whales) November 20, 2024
TLDR: Tesla’s Q3 revenue hit $25.18B, below expectations, but beat EPS at $0.72 vs. $0.60. Gross margin rose to 19.8%, above the expected 16.8%. Tesla’s stock jumped 11% after hours due to the earnings beat and positive outlook. Tesla confirmed its cheaper EV production on track for 2025 and expects 20-30% growth in volume next …
🚨OIL PRICES CONTINUE TRENDING LOWER AS DEMAND WEAKENS🚨 WTI crude oil is trading below $70 a barrel and is down 7% this month. Since the April peak oil has fallen 28% despite the Middle East tensions. Global supply remains ample while demand drops rapidly weighing on prices. pic.twitter.com/jqRGnligCA — Global Markets Investor (@GlobalMktObserv) September 30, …
via Reuters A look at the day ahead in Asian markets. If deepening gloom around China and a surging Japanese yen are the local market drivers in Asia, the Fed’s upcoming interest rate decision hangs heavily over world markets as growing hopes for a 50 basis point cut push the dollar to new lows for …
Several Microsoft services are down amid a US-wide outage affecting tens of thousands of Americans. The issue appeared to start around 7.50am ET Thursday as many on the East Coast started their work day. Microsoft said it was ‘investigating an issue where users may be unable to access’ multiple 365 services such as email and …
CHI Fed: manufacturing and service sector growth in Aug was below trend, though not nearly as bad as last year’s lows; while cost pressures decreased, so did planned capital investment and hiring, while outlook deteriorated, now pessimistic on balance: CHI Fed: manufacturing and service sector growth in Aug was below trend, though not nearly as …
