Pushin’ Too Hard? Mortgage Rates Jump To 23-Year Highs As Conference Board Leading Economic Indicator Declined To -7.6% YoY

by confoundedinterest17 Is The Fed pushin’ too hard on rates to fight inflation? Or not hard enough?? Between the data and the overnight momentum in overseas markets, bonds are at their weakest levels in years. Mortgage-backed securities (the bonds that dictate mortgage rates) didn’t swoon quite as much as Treasuries, but as …

READ MORE

Mortgage Applications Increased 5.4% Last Week, But Purchase Demand Still Down -26% YoY And Refi Demand Down -29% YoY (Despite Mortgage Rate Rising To 7.31%)

by confoundedinterest17 Mortgage applications increased last week, despite the 30-year fixed rate edging back up to 7.31 percent – its highest level in four weeks. Mortgage applications increased 5.4 percent from one week earlier, according to data from the Mortgage Bankers Association’s (MBA) Weekly Mortgage Applications Survey for the week …

READ MORE

Homebuilder Sentiment Goes Negative For First Time In 7 Months, Thanks To Bidenomics (Mortgage Rates UP 152% Under Biden)

by confoundedinterest17 Bidenomics, the economic gift to big donors and a boot up the backside of middle class and low wage workers, keeps on giving. Now its homebuilder sentiment falling to 45. U.S. homebuilders are feeling pessimistic about their business for the first time in seven months, thanks to stubbornly high …

READ MORE

Mortgage Applications Decreased For Seventh Time In Eight Weeks, Lowest Level Since 1996 (Purchase Apps Down -11% WoW And -27% YoY)

by confoundedinterest17 Well, this isn’t good if you are a mortgage lender. Mortgage applications decreased 0.8 percent from one week earlier, according to data from the Mortgage Bankers Association’s (MBA) Weekly Mortgage Applications Survey for the week ending September 8, 2023. This week’s results included an adjustment for the Labor …

READ MORE

Danger Jay Powell! US Median Home Prices Crashed -7.4% In Q2, Worst Decline Since Recessions Of 1970 And 2008 (Higher Mortgage Rates + Tighter Mortgage Credit Box = Heartaches On Heartaches!)

by confoundedinterest17 Danger Will Robinson! Danger! Median sales price of homes in the US sank by -7.4% in Q2 2023. This is particulary dangerous since it was the worst correction in home prices since two rather nasty recessions of 1970 and 2008 (The Great Recession and financial crisis). This correction occured …

READ MORE

US Beginning Credit Super Cycle (Bidenomics = Inflation, Rising Debt, Rising Delinquencies) Mortgage Rates UP 158% Under Bidenomics

by confoundedinterest17 Thanks to Bidenomics, code for massive Federal spending on green energy initiatives and payoffs fo large donors, we have agonizing inflation and consumers are borrowing more and more to cope with inflation. And with the increased use of debt comes …. drumroll … delinquenices! Let’s start with mortgage …

READ MORE

Biden’s ShamWow Economy! Real Home Price To Real Median Earnings Not As Bad As 2006’s Housing Bubble (Home Prices UP 32% Under Biden While Mortgage Rates UP 155%)

by confoundedinterest17 You know Bidenomics isn’t working at all when the best I can say about it is … the current housing bubble isn’t as bad as the house price bubble of 2006. We are truly in Biden’s ShamWow economy! Yes, if I look at real home prices less real median …

READ MORE

Bidenomics At Work! US Purchase Mortgage Demand Decreased 0.3% Since Last Week, Down -27% Since Last Year (Mortgage Rate UP 157% Under Biden)

by confoundedinterest17 I wonder if Biden will use his writeboard to brag about the 30-year mortgage rate rising 157% under his economic Reign on Error? Aka, Bidenomics. Mortgage applications increased 2.3 percent from one week earlier, according to data from the Mortgage Bankers Association’s (MBA) Weekly Mortgage Applications Survey for …

READ MORE

Livin’ La Vida Bidenomics! US Conforming Mortgage Rate Up 161% Under Biden, Home Prices UP 26%, Real Median Weekly Earnings DOWN -5%

by confoundedinterest17 We are livin’ la vida Bidenomics! The 30-year conforming mortgage rate is currently 7.23%, up 161% under Biden and Bidenomics (code for massive Federal spending on green initiatives that go to large Democrat donors and Ukrainian oligarchs). Meanwhile, M2 Money supply is up 9.4% under Biden. At the …

READ MORE

Income to qualify for a mortgage jumps from $47,000 in 2020 to $104,000 in 2023. Home Ownership no longer the American dream for most people

Due to the housing bubble, much higher interest rates, banking crisis and the softening economy. The middle class are being thrown to the curb on house ownership. You will own nothing. These are medians, people Sure, everyone knows a plumber foreman, nurse practitioner, construction manager, and tenured teacher making bank …

READ MORE

Household Essentials Cost Far More Under Bidenomics! Gasoline Prices Up 72%, Rent Of Primary Residence Up 16%, Food At Home Up 20% Under Biden! (30Y Mortgage Rate UP 163% Under “Middle Class Joe”)

by confoundedinterest17 Middle class Joe my ^%&! Joe Biden will always be remembered for lying about never raising taxes on households making under $400,000. Inflation is a permanent tax, mostly on those making under $400,000 per year. And household essentials are up substantially under Biden: gasoline prices are up 72%, rent …

READ MORE

A major mortgage went public via SPAC today; stock crashes 93%

Mortgage demand just hit its lowest level since December 1996. Existing home sales are now down 16.6% this year, their lowest since 2010. As rates skyrocket, mortgage providers are beginning to feel the pain. Follow us @KobeissiLetter for real time analysis as this develops. pic.twitter.com/DepabEqIDV — The Kobeissi Letter (@KobeissiLetter) …

READ MORE

Monthly mortgage payment for a median existing home is $2,322/month, double the 2008 peak, and does not includes taxes, insurance, and other costs.

The monthly mortgage payment based on a median existing home is now at a record $2,322/month. This is double the $1,200 peak seen in 2008. Keep in mind, $2,322/month does not include taxes, insurance or any other costs associated with buying a home. If you add in taxes and insurance, …

READ MORE

Burning Down The Housing Market! Mortgage Demand Decreased in Weekly Survey Purchase Applications “Lowest Level Since April 1995”

by confoundedinterest17 The Talking Heads said it best. Bidenomics is burning down the housing market. Bidenomincs (or trying to recover from Yellenomics) is responisble for interest rates rising to flight inflation and the collapse of mortgage lending. And she was … Janet Yellen. Mortgage demand (applications) decreased 4.2 percent from one week …

READ MORE

Bidenomics Mortgage Market! Mortgage Rates Now 7.2%, UP 159% Under Maui Joe! (10Y-2Y Yield Curve Collapsed From +100 BPS To -63 BPS)

by confoundedinterest17 Maui Joe Biden received a lot of help from his friends at The Federal Reserve! Thanks to the crippling effects of Bidenomics (Fed easing then tightening to combat inflation caused by insane green spending and a war in Ukraine), US mortgage rates (conforming 30-year) has increased 159%. On …

READ MORE

Current debt levels are dangerously high, with $17.1 trillion in household, $12.0 trillion in mortgage, $1.6 trillion in auto loans, and $1.0 trillion in credit card debt.

For the first time in history, the median monthly mortgage payment is nearing $3000/month. Mortgage rates are now at their highest since 2002. Inflation has made many basic necessities into unaffordable things. Follow us @KobeissiLetter for real time analysis as this develops. — The Kobeissi Letter (@KobeissiLetter) August 20, 2023 …

READ MORE

Hellzapoppin Under Bidenomics! Conforming 30-year Mortgage Rate UP 163.5% (Federal Debt UP 19% Or >$5 Trillion Under Biden While Unfunded Liabilities Are Now At $193 TRILLION)

by confoundedinterest17 Hellzapoppin under Bidenomics! And it isn’t a musical, but a tragedy. Between The Federal Reserve’s outrageous overreaction to Covid (printing like there was no tomorrow), and Biden’s massive spending spree (lots of moldy (green) spending, we have see horrid inflation. And The Fed trying (sort of) to combat inflation, …

READ MORE

People paying mortgage payments for fancy cars in 5 states.

Reminder that some people are paying mortgage payments for fancy cars. These are real, active car leases in 5 states: pic.twitter.com/kZwSl0LIbW — Car Dealership Guy (@GuyDealership) August 17, 2023 No way 😂 pic.twitter.com/qhAIkkG2Xd — Car Dealership Guy (@GuyDealership) August 17, 2023

Bidenomics? US Housing Starts UP 6% YoY, But Building Permits Stagnate In July As Mortgage Rates Topped 7% (MBA Purchase Demand Down -26% YoY, Down -2% WoW)

by confoundedinterest17 “Ice Cream Joe” Biden is at Lake Tahoe for a week, probably to avoid being asked questions about his tin-ear respoonse to the tragic Maui fires that have killed 106 people so far. Instead, Joe is inappropriately chuckling (showing he doesn’t care!) and taking photo ops of him …

READ MORE

Biden’s Mortgage Market! Mortgage Demand Falls -3.1% Since Last Week, Purchase Demand Falls -3% And Down -27% Since Last Year

by confoundedinterest17 The US mortgage market is livin’ la vida Biden! And for the US mortgage market, la vida Biden in ugly. Mortgage applications decreased 3.1 percent from one week earlier, according to data from the Mortgage Bankers Association’s (MBA) Weekly Mortgage Applications Survey for the week ending August 4, 2023. The …

READ MORE

Bidenomics! Mortgage Demand Decreases 3.0% From One Week Earlier, But Purchase Demand Down 26% From Last Year, Down -45% Under Biden While Mortgage Rates Are UP 134% (US Interest Expenses Surged By 50% In Past Year To Nearly $1 Trillion On Annualized Basis)

by confoundedinterest17 Inflation under Biden has been very painful for the US middle class and low wage workers. That inflation has resulted to surging mortgage rates thanks to The Fed’s counterattack. The result? Mortgage rates are up 134% under Bidenomics, while mortgage purchase demand is down -45% since Biden was …

READ MORE