Apollo Global Management chief economist Torsten Slok: “Since SVB collapsed, the Fed has been adding liquidity, and the S&P 500 is up more than 10%. The high correlation between Fed net QE and the S&P 500 seen in the chart below suggests that Fed liquidity is a crucial driver of the stock market,”

by Dismal-Jellyfish Source: https://www.marketwatch.com/story/this-incredible-chart-shows-the-close-relationship-between-the-s-p-500-and-fed-liquidity-166542a7 Earnings, schmearnings. Is what really matters just liquidity? This incredible chart, from Apollo Global Management chief economist Torsten Slok, shows the close relationship between S&P 500 SPX, -0.37% performance and net Federal Reserve quantitative easing (QE) since the pandemic began. Here, Fed QE is defined as the Fed’s total assets minus the balance of the …

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Canadian housing market will crash

via WSB: Housing prices in Canada are so absurd that young people and new immigrants can no longer afford rent/mortgages. The current rate hike cycle will become the tipping point that pushes thousands of mortgages into default. Already food bank use in Canada is skyrocketing. Refugees are sleeping on the streets because shelters are already …

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The US Stocks market is worth 2x money supply M2 and moving higher.

US Stocks market is worth 2x money supply M2 and moving higher as M2 is falling. This metric is not far from peaks of 2008 and 2021 #Recession #FederalReserve pic.twitter.com/6abrnaByDl — FinFab (@FinFabApp) June 8, 2023 The Nasdaq has now traded green for 8 consecutive weeks, the longest streak since November 2019. — unusual_whales (@unusual_whales) …

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Market manipulation via the options market has reached unprecedented extremes. Highest greed index in at least two years

In this era, market manipulation via the options market has reached unprecedented extremes: Today is quarterly opex. pic.twitter.com/XZJdj9ChtF — Mac10 (@SuburbanDrone) June 16, 2023 https://twitter.com/NorthmanTrader/status/1669638387911860226 BREAKING: Harvey Jones, who has been on the Nvidia, $NVDA, board since 1993, has sold nearly 120,000 shares this week, worth $48.3 million. He has sold more than $76 million …

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CCLF failure could trigger a liquidity domino effect throughout the market.

by Dismal-Jellyfish FIC-GOV Alert! GSD Capped Contingency Liquidity Facility® (CCLF®) will reset each Netting Member’s CCLF Cap on 7/1/23. If a member defaults, the FICC would tap into the CCLF, which could drain liquidity from other members. A CCLF failure could trigger a liquidity domino effect throughout the market. https://www.dtcc.com/-/media/Files/pdf/2023/6/15/GOV1495-23.pdf What is the Capped Contingency …

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Biden’s Mortgage Market! Mortgage Demand Rises 7.2% In Latest MBA Mortgage Application Print, But Still Purchase Demand Still Down 27% YoY And Refi Demand Down 41% YoY

by confoundedinterest17 The Fed will annouce a pause at today’s FOMC meeting, so don’t look for mortgage rates to do much today. Mortgage applications increased 7.2 percent from one week earlier, according to data from the Mortgage Bankers Association’s (MBA) Weekly Mortgage Applications Survey for the week ending June 9, 2023. The Market Composite Index, …

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Google searches for “bull market” are at record high.

by BoatSurfer600 Google searches for “bull market” are at a record high from 2004. Note that gamblers were right in 2020 compliments of the massive Fed bailout. In 2008, they were four months early and took another -40% drawdown. This time, they are coming in at the end of the cycle. For maximum pain Source …

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“Housing has become so unaffordable that over 75% of homes on the market are too expensive for middle-income buyers”

“Housing has become so unaffordable that over 75% of homes on the market are too expensive for middle-income buyers” Expect this to be a flashpoint issue n the 2024 presidential election if prices and/or mortgage rates don’t correct substantially by then https://t.co/NzOynYAyvG — Adam Taggart (@adamtaggart) June 13, 2023 In Phoenix, investors have sold at …

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The migrant crisis, weak commercial real-estate market and toxic smog are making it a “frightening time” to be in the Big Apple.

BIDEN VOTERS POSTING THEIR L’S ONLINE: Ex-Gov. Paterson says it’s a ‘frightening time’ in NYC with migrant crisis, toxic smog, weak real-estate market. The migrant crisis, weak commercial real-estate market and toxic smog from Canadian wildfires make this “a frightening time” to be in the Big Apple, ex-Gov. David Paterson said Sunday. The former governor started …

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Foul Powell On The Prowl! Fed Is Set to Pause and Assess the Effect of Rate Hikes, Bull Market Ahead! (US Inflation Seen Staying Elevated)

by confoundedinterest17 Foul Powell on the Prowl! Federal Reserve policymakers are about to take their first break from an interest-rate hiking campaign that started 15 months ago, even as they confront a resilient US economy and persistent inflation. The Federal Open Market Committee on Wednesday is expected to maintain its benchmark lending rate at the …

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Time for a massive Stock Market crash soon?

by mark000 Chart shows S&P 500 along with its 100 month moving average. If the next crash takes it as far below the 100MMA as during the 2008 bear market we are looking it going under 2000. Will be very “interesting times” if that happens. How will the economy and financial system fare in such …

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The Fed And The Death Of Market Volatility (VIX Down To 13.50)

by confoundedinterest17 The Federal Reserve doesn’t care if market volatility has collapsed, even though volaltility is necessary for a well-functioning capital market. The VIX, volatility of the CBOE S&P 500 index, has declined to 13.5 as The Fed continues to slow M2 Money growth. Is Jerome Powell actually Uncle Limelight?  

Simply Unafforable! The Fed And Death Of The Starter Home Market (Fed Pause Will Not Help Much)

by confoundedinterest17 Starter homes are simply unaffordable. Treasury Secretary Janet “Too Low For Too Long” Yellen, and former Federal Reserve Chair, is partly responsible for a phenomenon plaguing America: the death of starter homes. As Mish has discussed, with main markets no longer an option for first-time buyers, Point2 looked at the country’s 100 largest …

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Early signs of cooling labor market. US jobless claims surge, jobs lower, Europe enters recession.

Early signs of cooling labor market. Might take time, but its happening.$TLT and $GLD back in action. Also closely look at the steepening of curve, that is the most important thing to watch now. pic.twitter.com/P52O05Lisu — The Macro Guy (@SagarSinghSetia) June 8, 2023 US jobless claims mysteriously surge upon "data" revision US jobs mysteriously revised …

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Bidenville Mortgage Depot! US Mortgage Purchase Demand Down -27% Since Last Year, Refi Demand Down -42% (Bidenflation, Stalling Economy = Bad News For Mortgage Market)

by confoundedinterest17 Welcome to the Bidenville Mortgage Depot! Where Bidenflation (caused by idiotic energy policies, crazy Fed money printing and insane Federal spending) has caused The Fed to raise rates crushing the US mortgage market. Mortgage applications decreased 1.4 percent from one week earlier, according to data from the Mortgage Bankers Association’s (MBA) Weekly Mortgage Applications …

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The last time the smart money was this short; the world’s largest stock market fell by more than 50%. Yes, folks, the net short position on S&P 500 E-mini futures is now at its highest since 2007

by BoatSurfer600 Source: sagar Singh LinkedIn A new world record! Bulls, your faith in policy-makers is totally unwarranted. Short-covering in Regional banks has marked every turn in the market since the all time high. pic.twitter.com/HL7efgTOgN — Mac10 (@SuburbanDrone) June 7, 2023 Lowest VIX since pre-pandemic. Because what could go wrong. pic.twitter.com/163eH0nZrS — Mac10 (@SuburbanDrone) June …

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There are 20x more homes sitting vacant than currently listed for sale. 15,000,000 houses that could flood the market given the right motivation

Remember, there are 20x more homes sitting vacant than currently listed for sale. 15,000,000 houses that could flood the market given the right motivation pic.twitter.com/RKB7dLLUhd — Darth Powell (@VladTheInflator) June 6, 2023 Pretty fucking sad what the US government has done. Stealing wealth from one generation to give to another https://t.co/CtbNPXdMyi pic.twitter.com/7gLELfOQSp — Darth Powell …

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FALLOUT: Bud Light only has a few months to prevent sustained market share loss, warns former Anheuser-Busch sales exec.

via fortune: Come September, retailers are expected to begin reallocating the limited shelf space by relying on sales data from the preceding months. In Bud Light’s case, that could mean a diminished presence going forward following the controversy over its brief partnership with a transgender influencer, according to Anson Frericks. A president of sales and …

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Even commercial banks are calling out naked manipulation of the market…

It’s relatively rare to see the commercial banks (“commercial” here means the type of bank one holds an account with, vs. an investment bank) come out so directly against market manipulation, yet here we are… https://bankingjournal.aba.com/2023/06/aba-rebuts-wall-street-journal-editorial-on-abusive-short-selling/ “You may not see any evidence of manipulation, but the Justice Department apparently has seen enough to launch an …

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So many buyers are going to regret overpaying for their homes the past 3 years. We have 1.3m homes per year coming to market vs 350k net working age adults. Who’s going to buy all these houses?

Without demographics can it ever recover pic.twitter.com/2GkWQ5sEFN — Darth Powell (@VladTheInflator) June 6, 2023 We have 1.3m homes per year coming to market vs 350k net working age adults. Who's going to buy all these houses? pic.twitter.com/IrtD892kDG — Darth Powell (@VladTheInflator) June 6, 2023

The S&P futures market is net-short approaching the levels of late 2007. Rising rates are linked to recessions, both soft and hard.

https://kingworldnews.com/the-world-is-about-to-see-serious-deflation-followed-by-massive-inflationary-money-printing/ Powell can re-define recessions with words, but despite his double speak, he too knows that a recession is already underway. As for recessions, the data is equally abundant that those rising rates tend to correlate directly with recessions, both soft and hard   Source: https://kingworldnews.com/the-world-is-about-to-see-serious-deflation-followed-by-massive-inflationary-money-printing/ h/t BoatSurfer600

Reverse Repo counterparties list updated: Goldman Sachs Investor Money Market Fund, JNL Government Money Market Fund added.

by Dismal-Jellyfish More money printing for old friends in new clothes. Reverse Repo Update! Reverse Repo counterparties list updated: Goldman Sachs Investor Money Market Fund, JNL Government Money Market Fund and JNL/WMC Government Money Market Fund have been added to the list of reverse repo counterparties, effective June 2, 2023. https://www.newyorkfed.org/markets/rrp_counterparties#additions-and-removals      

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