CCLF failure could trigger a liquidity domino effect throughout the market.

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by Dismal-Jellyfish

FIC-GOV Alert! GSD Capped Contingency Liquidity Facility® (CCLF®) will reset each Netting Member’s CCLF Cap on 7/1/23. If a member defaults, the FICC would tap into the CCLF, which could drain liquidity from other members. A CCLF failure could trigger a liquidity domino effect throughout the market.

www.dtcc.com/-/media/Files/pdf/2023/6/15/GOV1495-23.pdf

What is the Capped Contingency Liquidity Facility (“CCLF®”)?

On April 25, 2017, the Commission approved FICC’s adoption of the Clearing Agency Liquidity Risk Management Framework (‘‘Framework’’), which broadly describes FICC’s liquidity risk management strategy and objective to maintain sufficient liquid resources in order to meet the potential amount of funding required to settle outstanding transactions of a defaulting member (including affiliates) in a timely manner.
The Framework identifies, among other things, each of the qualifying liquid resources available to FICC, including the CCLF. The CCLF is a rules-based, committed liquidity resource, designed to enable FICC to meet its cash settlement obligations in the event of a default of the member (including the member’s family of affiliated members) to which FICC has the largest exposure in extreme but plausible market conditions. FICC would activate the CCLF if, upon a member default, FICC determines that its non-CCLF liquidity resources would not generate sufficient cash to satisfy FICC’s payment obligations to its nondefaulting members.
In simple terms, a CCLF repo is equivalent to a nondefaulting member financing FICC’s payment obligation under the original trade, thereby providing FICC with time to liquidate the securities underlying the original trade.
More specifically, upon activating the CCLF, members would be called upon to enter into repo transactions (as cash lenders) with FICC (as cash borrower) up to a predetermined capped dollar amount, thereby providing FICC with sufficient liquidity to meet its payment obligations.**For a non-defaulting member to whom FICC has a payment obligation disrupted by a member default, a CCLF repo would extinguish and replace the original trade that gave rise to FICC’s payment obligation. FICC determines the total size of the CCLF based on FICC’s potential cash settlement obligations that would result from the default of the member (including affiliates) presenting the largest liquidity need to FICC over a specified look-back period, plus an additional liquidity buffer. Under the proposal in the Advance Notice, FICC would not change the method by which it determines the total size of the CCLF.
FICC uses a tiered approach to allocate the total size of the CCLF among its members to arrive at the amount of each member’s CCLF obligation. FICC allocates $15 billion of the total size of the CCLF among all members. FICC allocates the remainder of the total size of the CCLF among members that generate liquidity needs above the $15 billion threshold based on the frequency that such members generate daily liquidity needs over $15 billion across supplemental liquidity tiers in $5 billion increments.
Specifically, FICC calculates a dollar amount for the CCLF obligation applicable to each supplemental liquidity tier. FICC allocates the CCLF obligation for each supplemental liquidity tier to members on a pro-rata basis corresponding to the number of times each member generates liquidity needs within each supplemental liquidity tier.

Potential Costs of Central Clearing – Concentration of Risk and Challenges in the Cash Market

Perhaps the biggest concern with moving towards a centralized clearing model is the concentration of risk that would inevitably occur within the CCP. The failure of the CCP would be a global systemic event that the U.S. government (and indeed other governments) would strive to avoid, essentially creating the impression that the CCP was “too-big-to-fail” i.e., that it has an implicit government guarantee against failure. Without appropriate regulation and supervision, this could lead to moral hazard and excessive risk taking. This is particularly important in the Treasury market given that the FICC is the sole CCP for cash and repo Treasury trading.
The biggest concern from a risk perspective would be the substantial liquidity risks that would arise from a member default. As currently designed, in the event of a member default, the FICC would draw on committed credit lines extended to the FICC by its members through its Capped Contingency Liquidity Facility (“CCLF”), which could put strains on the liquidity positions of other FICC members.
In this way, liquidity risks from a member default could be easily transmitted throughout the market. To avoid this scenario, regulators will need to carefully monitor the FICC’s credit and liquidity exposures to its largest members, as well as member’s exposures to sponsored participants (including monitoring whether FICC margin requirements are being passed on to sponsored firms). Additionally, as new participants/types of participants enter the market and clear their transactions through FICC they should be subject to the same CCLF requirements as existing members. Importantly, the FICC may also need to be given access to the Federal Reserve’s Standing Repo Facility (“SRF”) in order to guarantee it has adequate liquidity to withstand a member default event.

TLDRS:

  • The Lifeguard On Duty: FICC’s Clearing Agency Liquidity Risk Management Framework is like a lifeguard for a defaulting member’s trades – it makes sure there’s enough liquidity to settle outstanding transactions in good time and that a member is not ‘drowning in their obligations’.
    • The Core Component of this system is the CCLF (Correspondent Clearing Lender Facility). If a member defaults, FICC checks its liquidity piggy bank, and if it’s not enough, they call in the CCLF squad to cover the rest.
  • Tag, You’re It!: In layman’s terms, a CCLF repo is like a relay race – a non-defaulting member carries FICC’s payment obligation for a while, buying FICC time to liquidate the securities from the original trade.
  • The Allocation Game: If the CCLF has to step in, members are asked to chip in as cash lenders.
    • The CCLF size is based on the defaulting member’s liquidity need, with no change to this calculation method under the new proposal.
  • Divvying Up the Check: To split the CCLF bill among its members, FICC uses a tiered system.
    • $15 billion is shared equally, and the rest is divided among those who often create liquidity needs over this amount, in $5 billion increments.
      • It’s like a progressive tax for liquidity needs.
  • From a risk standpoint, the massive liquidity risks that could arise from a member default are nerve-wracking.
    • If a member defaults, the FICC would tap into its CCLF, which could drain liquidity from other FICC members, triggering a liquidity domino effect throughout the market.
  • To prevent this nightmare scenario, regulators SHOULD keep an eye on FICC’s credit and liquidity risks to its big players and sponsored participants.
    • Newcomers should also follow the same CCLF rules.
  • Basically, the FICC’s financial health needs to be under a microscope 24/7–it goes under CCP failure would trigger a financial apocalypse that makes the Great Financial Crisis seem like a bowl of Wheaties!
See also  Buyback-driven trading, optimistic perceptions, and tightening financial conditions signal market turbulence.
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