Independent thinking for complex markets and current events
This signal confirms we have reached the blowoff top in the current mania and the coming crash will dwarf most prior corrections. "We've never seen a 50% rally in the semiconductors in 15 sessions. 50%!" "We've only seen something like that before, and it was literally in March of 2000. Right before the top." Fresh …
Long-bond yields see largest one-day jump in weeks as inflation fears bake in… 3 p.m. ET Data Talk: 10-Year yield climbs to 4.33% as bond prices tumble… Market signal: Investors dumping long-term debt as “indefinite war” risk persists… Bessent-Šefčovič readout: US and EU lock arms on “Critical Minerals Action Plan”… https://tradingeconomics.com/united-states/government-bond-yield
China’s silver imports exploded in March.They jumped +78% month-over-month to a record ~836 tonnes.That’s +173% above the normal 10-year seasonal average for March.Big surge came from retail investors buying silver bars plus solar panel makers stocking up before tax rebates ended. China is clearly hoarding silver hard right now. h/t daddysgirl794
Bonds do not move with stock prices like shares do. If the stock market crashes, Trump’s bond holdings (especially the many municipal bonds and U.S. Treasuries) should stay much steadier. The issuers — cities, states, school districts, or the U.S. government — still have to pay the same fixed interest on schedule and repay the …
Past periods of rising small business uncertainty led to hiring slowdowns and reduced capital spending due to weaker demand visibility and tighter credit conditions US small businesses are highly concerned about the economy: The NFIB Small Business Optimism Index dropped -3.0 points in March, to 95.8, the lowest since April 2025. This marks the 3rd …
Home prices just did it again. For the 33rd consecutive month, the median price of an existing home climbed—this time to $408,800 in March, a record high for the month, according to the National Association of Realtors’ existing home-sales report. Politicians from President Donald Trump to New York City Mayor Zohran Mamdani have campaigned on …
Consumer Sentiment Plunges to Lowest Level in 50+ Years byu/meifx inStockMarket Consumer sentiment plunged to 47.6 which was is all time low. Inflation expectations came in at 4.8% which is a point higher than March. Sentiment was down 10% from March. I can’t wait to see the April economic numbers. If I had to guess …
If AI driven layoffs keep spreading across major firms, the real risk is no longer just job loss but a broader spillover into housing demand and consumer stability. You are already seeing early stress signals in labor data and forced restructuring across sectors that used to feel stable. Most people are not prepared for what …
So to be clear, the war began in March. And now EVERYONE knows it will escalate in April. Bulls bought the escalation dip this morning. They were worried it was the last chance to get in, and they are probably right. pic.twitter.com/l9kN19gR9f — Mac10 (@SuburbanDrone) April 2, 2026 TRUMP SIGNALS PROLONGED IRAN CONFLICT Trump’s latest …
Vostok, Antarctica bottomed out at −76.4°C (−105.5°F) sometime between 12:00 UTC yesterday and 00:00 this morning. 🇦🇶 If confirmed, this sets a new continental and worldwide record low temperature for March. 🌡️🏆 But you won't hear a peep about it in the press. pic.twitter.com/hPHIhSeEzu — Chris Martz (@ChrisMartzWX) March 25, 2026 Winter in the Northern …
Footage is from March 4th No blackouts, no energy infrastructure strikes tonight. — Open Source Intel (@Osint613) March 23, 2026 🔴عـــــــــاجل 😱قصف امريكي على مدينة طهران،مستهدفا قطاع الطاقة، وخروج كهرباء مدية طهران عن الخدمة pic.twitter.com/1MVNvQk9a8 — الأحداث الإيرانية (@WMX_MEDIA) March 22, 2026
March 27 looks like a make-or-break day for American travelers and the partial government shutdown TSA wait times are ramping up as the partial government shutdown persists — but pain points on March 27 could end it The ongoing partial government shutdown has sparked long wait times at many airports around the country — and …
Record winds are just one part of the extreme weather hitting the country this weekend, with some facing blizzard conditions and others preparing for triple-digit heat. HARRISBURG, Pa. — Hundreds of thousands of people were left without power Saturday after high winds raked eastward from the Great Lakes region, leaving trees down and substantial property …
Iran: 1,255 killed, 12,000 injured. Lebanon: 394 killed, 1,000+ injured. Israel: 13 killed, nearly 2,000 injured. Kuwait: 6 killed, dozens injured. All Americans. UAE: 4 killed, 112 injured. Saudi Arabia: 2 killed, 12 injured. Bahrain: 1 killed, 40 injured. Jordan: 14 injured. Qatar: 16 injured. Oman: 1 killed, 5 injured. Iraq: 6 killed, dozens injured. …
by Infinite_Music2074 Last year news said that FINRA proposed to abolish the PDT rule. PDT (pattern day trader) rule means you have to have at least $25,000 to day trade when you have been flagged as violating the PDT rule (day trading more than 3 times for successive 5 days). Several weeks ago news said …
🚨JUST IN: Massive protest in Switzerland Against Mandatory Vaccination Law! Demonstrators in St. Gallen broke through a police cordon during a protest against compulsory vaccination. Local authorities want to impose mandatory vaccination for future pandemics. pic.twitter.com/aavaPlTace — Mario ZNA (@MarioBojic) February 14, 2026 A charged day of protest escalates: Between political fronts, police barricades and …
via Phoenix Capital Research The situation with silver is becoming even more ludicrous. As I’ve previously noted, according to the CME’s registry there are 440 million ounces of silver located in its depositories. However, the current silver futures contract which settles in late March 2026 has an open interest of 150,200 contracts. At 5,000 ounces …
Fox News’ Marie Harf and Kaylee McGhee White brawled over President Donald Trump’s continued efforts to deport illegal immigrants on Monday’s edition of Outnumbered. After playing a clip of Los Angeles Mayor Karen Bass (D) decrying the fact that many new Border Patrol recruits are Hispanic, host Tomi Lahren prompted Harf, a former Obama administration …
JUST IN 🚨: Nasdaq $QQQ posts first red month since March 📉 It was a hell of a run 🫡 pic.twitter.com/SDBAZ4AMoN — Barchart (@Barchart) November 28, 2025 **NVIDIA** A concerning day for Nvidia: trading red amid a broad-based rally in equities, commodities, and precious metals. The broadening pattern is like a black hole…nothing escapes once …
Good Morning from Germany, which is increasingly losing out in trade w/China. Over the past 12mths, exports have dropped to €82bn, while imports have climbed to €165bn. The resulting trade deficit of €83bn is the largest since March 2023 and close to the record of €87bn. This… pic.twitter.com/auSjmfoDC7 — Holger Zschaepitz (@Schuldensuehner) October 20, 2025 …
6 doesn’t sound like a lot. But an additional 6 percent demand for houses drives up costs more than 6%. 6% is a lot. Adding 5% more cars to a city can make traffic 25% worse. Same situation. 6% can take a buyer’s market and make it a sellers one. It’s a big deal. On …
WTF is a missold car loan? pic.twitter.com/zPJ79mXUY7 — Nobody Special (@JG_Nuke) October 7, 2025 US auto loan debt market suffers its biggest monthly loss since March 2020#MacroEdge — MacroEdge (@MacroEdgeRes) October 7, 2025 Something to seriously pay attention too. Not good. Is housing next? Auto and mortgage/rent are the first two things consumers pay because …
A Popular Market Misconception “Not a bubble if everyone knows it’s a bubble.” In early January 2000, during the dot-com bubble, everyone called it a bubble before it burst in March 2000. Hope this helps. — The Great Martis (@great_martis) October 7, 2025 "Why buy stocks when we’re in a bubble?" Because I only want …
Aerial footage showed demonstrators taking to the streets of central London for a march organized by far-right activist Robinson. Counter-protests organised by groups including ‘Stand Up To Racism’ were also staged in the capital, drawing significant crowds. https://twitter.com/ghoster_space/status/1966840894365339799
Millions of families barely holding on while the system pretends everything is fine. Everybody is broke pic.twitter.com/lcsv6CXQvF — 🏴☠️ (@calvinfroedge) September 10, 2025 ⚠️THERE WE GO: The US economy has now more unemployed people than job openings for the first time since April 2021. Job openings fell -176,000 in July, to 7.12 million, the 2nd-lowest …
911K Job Growth Revisions Color me not surprised. https://t.co/xWCzOX1Im4 pic.twitter.com/jCjWB3pON3 — Samantha LaDuc (@SamanthaLaDuc) September 9, 2025 Big 50bps cut at the next FOMC meeting is a lock: https://t.co/thO5HFLVos — Sold At The Top (@soldatthetop) September 9, 2025 The US BLS overstated the number of jobs added by ~76,000 PER MONTH. In June, the US …
by Martin Armstrong France’s Ministry of Health has urged all hospitals to prepare for war by March 2026. President Emmanuel Macron repeatedly stated that he is ready to deploy French troops to Ukraine’s front lines, and now, the entire nation must prepare for the inevitable. Hospitals throughout the nation have been urged to prepare for …
Thousands marched through central Manchester today calling for mass “remigration.” Wow ! https://t.co/AsmMUzXb4K — JUNGO ⚜️ (@im_Jungo) August 2, 2025 🚨SEND THEM HOME🎶🚨SEND THEM HOME🎵🚨SEND THEM HOME🎶 Chant breaks out in Newcastle as POLICE start making ARRESTS pic.twitter.com/gg3pbS8fJ6 — Basil the Great (@BasilTheGreat) August 2, 2025 Beautiful UK, absolutely beautiful! pic.twitter.com/J53aY3Rkh1 — Rebecca Mistereggen (@RMistereggen) …
Gold is no longer tethered to the dollar index. It’s been moving sideways from currency markets for months. The break became visible in April when the dollar index fell 6.4% off its March high, but gold kept climbing. It hit $3,288 per ounce on July 1. That is not noise. That is decoupling. The technicals …
