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If you open a Roth IRA at 18 and invest $100/week into an S&P 500 index fund until you’re 40, you should have $500,000 tax-free. You’ll only spend $100,000 of your own cash and the gains are due to compounding returns. This is the power of time.

April 3, 2024 3:45 pm

by TonyLiberty If you open a Roth IRA at 18 and invest $100/week into an S&P 500 index fund until you’re 40, you should have $500,000 tax-free. You’ll only spend $100,000 of your own cash and the gains are due to compounding returns. This is the power of time.

Home prices surged 6% YoY in January, fastest since January 2022. However, FHFA House Price Index dropped 0.1% MoM.

March 27, 2024 9:05 am

Home Prices rose by 6% year-over-year during January, the fastest increase since January 2022 pic.twitter.com/SxWWnQ4BcA — Win Smart, CFA (@WinfieldSmart) March 27, 2024 Home prices increased at the fastest clip since 2022 at the start of the year, according to one closely watched home price gauge published Tuesday. Home prices nationally in January were 6% …

Just as Powell gets dovish, the CRB index is within 1% of its highest close since August 2022

March 26, 2024 7:07 pm

CRB stands for “Commodity Research Bureau,” which is a widely followed index that tracks the prices of various commodities. It includes 19 commodities in its index. Just as Powell gets dovish, the CRB index is within 1% of its highest close since August 2022. pic.twitter.com/xqYwUYZrmV — Peter Boockvar (@pboockvar) March 26, 2024

US manufacturing index plunges to -20.9, layoffs soar, Bitcoin trading surges amidst economic turmoil.

March 15, 2024 9:21 am

Manufacturing is dying…inflation is broadening…and the kids are trading a coin called “Joe Boeden” https://t.co/j5rTZY0CMz pic.twitter.com/V7mwSuLUc0 — Will DeCotiis (@Will_DeCotiis) March 15, 2024 The latest data from the U.S. NY Empire State Manufacturing Index paints a grim picture, with March’s figures plummeting to -20.9, indicating a rapid decline in the sector. Every indicator spells trouble: …

US equities rally broadens, S&P 500 equal-weighted index hits 26-month high. Momentum raises continuation questions.

March 12, 2024 1:23 pm

“The rally in US equities since last October’s near-death experience has been unmistakably broad, even though the Mag 7 have captured most of headlines. And last week this broadening was confirmed when the S&P 500 equal-weighted index made an all-time high for the first time in 26 months. Both the charts show the percentage of …

All Eyes On japan. Index highs due to Falling currency. Large macroeconomic Titanic plates shifting

March 12, 2024 11:47 am

Increased focus on the Japanese yen as carry trade comes to an end. Nikkei index reaches all-time highs after three decades, despite aging population and extreme debt-to-GDP ratio of over 250%. Global macroeconomic landscape experiencing significant shifts. h/t theSilverVigilante

Absence of Sell ratings on S&P index stocks raises concerns, suggesting potential risks may be overlooked.

March 3, 2024 9:56 pm

by TheBarnacle63 I just checked ratings for S&P components, and I am a bit shocked at what I see. Here are the ratings based on Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, Underperform, and Sell Strong Buy: 29 Buy: 349 Hold: 117 Underperform: 4 Sell: 0 No Rating: 1 I get nervous when no analyst is willing to …

Chinese Stocks Plummet: P/E at 10-Year Low, Evergrande Liquidation Sparks Economic Crisis… Real Estate Index in 85% Free Fall

January 29, 2024 11:19 am

Chinese stocks hit a decade-low P/E ratio at 8, revealing a concerning trend in valuation practices. In a seismic development, a Hong Kong court orders Evergrande’s liquidation, plunging its stock further, while China’s real estate index remains in an 85% free fall. In response to the crisis, China deploys economic stimuli, contemplating a short selling …

Heritage Foundation Declares U.S. Military “Weak” in 2024 Index

January 25, 2024 11:17 pm

In a sobering analysis, the Heritage Foundation’s 2024 Index of U.S. Military Strength paints a grim picture, asserting that the entire U.S. military, along with nuclear and missile defense assets, is outdated, feeble, and ill-prepared to handle multiple major conflicts simultaneously. Dakota Wood, Heritage’s senior research fellow, warns that the current posture puts America’s vital …

Mag 7 is still not 100% of the index so there is still upside.

January 22, 2024 9:55 pm

h/t mrmrmrj It is unlikely – but not unprecedented – for the market to rally for years from the current high valuation

China’s Economic Woes Deepen: Hang Seng Index Drops 4% Amidst Concerns Over Liquidity and Declining GDP Deflator

January 17, 2024 9:08 pm

China’s economic woes deepen as the Hang Seng Index plunges 4% in response to another round of disappointing macro data. The persistent question arises: how long until China resorts to injecting substantial liquidity despite its rapidly escalating debt? Concerns grow over the limited list of quality Chinese stocks, given the government’s authority to cease businesses …

Apple makes up ~7% of the S&P 500, making it the largest stock in the S&P 500 in over 30 years. Simply put, $AAPL accounts for 1 out of every 14 dollars in the index.

January 11, 2024 8:44 am

by TonyLiberty

As of today, all companies in the magnificent 7 list have outperformed the market by at least 2x and the S&P 500 equal weight index by 4x.

January 1, 2024 10:52 am

by nobjos This chart has nothing to do with the weights of the stocks in the index. It’s highly unusual for the biggest companies to outperform the index (aka size effect). The latest research from Dimensional shows that once a stock joins the top 10 largest U.S. stocks, its subsequent returns tend to lag the market. Based …

Magnificent 7 Index Rocket$ to All-Time Highs! Up a Jaw-Dropping 109% YTD!

December 27, 2023 9:22 pm

by betsharks0 Surely nothing can go wrong here.

New day, new low! China’s Shanghai Composite Index drops below 2,900, down 15% from April, highlighting a 28% performance gap. Confidence struggles amid economic sluggishness.

December 26, 2023 8:58 am

The recent decline in China’s Shanghai Composite Index, plummeting below 2,900 and marking a 15% drop from its April peak, raises concerns about the nation’s structural challenges. This significant 28% performance gap when compared to the MSCI World Index (USD) since April underscores a deeper issue at play. While psychological explanations for economic conditions are …

Bidenomics Isn’t Working! Conference Board Leading Economic Index Fell Again In November

December 22, 2023 7:16 pm

by confoundedinterest17 Biden says over and over again the Bidenomics is working. It isn’t working. The Conference Board Leading Economic Index® (LEI) for the U.S. declined by 0.5 percent in November 2023 to 103.0 (2016=100), following a (downwardly revised) decline of 1.0 percent in October. The LEI contracted by 3.5 percent over the six-month period between May and …

Global Supply Chain Pressure Index rises; Suez and Panama canals affected, China restricts rare-earth exports, heightening short-term goods inflation concerns.

December 21, 2023 1:59 pm

🌍 Global Supply Chain Pressure Index rising. “Two continental shipping passages, the Suez and Panama canals, are suffering from obstructions to trade traffic.” Not good for short-term goods #inflation. H/t: @FinancialTimes pic.twitter.com/FBwiN1DIF1 — Alex Joosten (@joosteninvestor) December 21, 2023 🇨🇳 China Bans Exports of Some Rare-Earth Processing Technologies China accounted for more than two thirds …

Fear & Greed Index at 80, Extreme Greed, last seen before S&P 500 decline in July. Doubts persist; potential challenges and uncertainties loom in 2024.

December 20, 2023 9:10 pm

2024 promises volatility! Fund managers bullish on duration, yet crowded trade faces headwinds and risks. 2024 Will Be A Roller Coaster Ride! 🔥🔥🔥 Fund managers are extremely bullish on duration as a majority of them (62%) expect lower long-term rates as inflation falls and the world’s largest central bank turns dovish. Nonetheless, there are several …

China Stock Market Fear & Greed Index

December 15, 2023 2:12 pm

https://t.co/XuqKrBc7sJ — Win Smart, CFA (@WinfieldSmart) December 15, 2023 China 🇨🇳 desperately trying pic.twitter.com/0i3v0Gbw1q — Win Smart, CFA (@WinfieldSmart) December 15, 2023

Oil Drops In Price Along With Citi Economic Surprise Index, SOFR Rate Hits All-time High, Fed REPOs Soar!

December 7, 2023 2:33 pm

by confoundedinterest17 Biden is hoping for one more term as President. And declining oil prices might help him get re-elected. But we have a battle brewing! The United Nations and World Economic Forum (and their proxies John Kerry, Greta Thunberg and Green Joe Biden) against …. everyone else. Despite Biden’s lame attempts (through climate envoy John …

As S&P 500 reaching local high, its 6m ATM put options are on 3-year low and cost 3%. Shorting the index is relatively cheap now. This market is high on crack.

December 6, 2023 4:11 pm

by ChampionshipUsed9855 VIX is below 13 again. QQQ has been basically flat for nearly a month. The FOMC is next week, could be a pivot point. Even the perma-bull just admitted this market is high on crack:https://t.co/OOk8ZN4gf9“Buyers have gotten drunk as a proverbial skunk, buying the worst of the worst…there’s a nasty hangover on the …

The Leading & Coincident Index of Employment are nearing the historical “brink” of the waterfall.

November 16, 2023 10:32 pm

The October Coincident Employment figures were influenced by the auto-strike, so we should reserve some judgment until those numbers are added back in November. 15 individual components are used across both indexes which reduces outsized distortions. — Eric Basmajian (@EPBResearch) November 16, 2023 https://twitter.com/MichaelAArouet/status/1725263899421712636 "It will probably start on a Friday" https://t.co/0EOYev1sC3 pic.twitter.com/9BBQamj3GK — Financelot …

Yen in Freefall, Yet Japanese Producer Price Index Signals Stubborn Deflation

November 14, 2023 3:01 pm

Despite a decline in the value of the Japanese yen, the Producer Price Index (PPI) in Japan continues to indicate a deflationary trend. In other words, the prices that producers receive for their goods and services are still experiencing a decrease, despite the currency’s depreciation. This scenario can have implications for the overall economic conditions …

Only 28% of stocks from S&P 500 outperforms the index last 12 months. Record low for last 5 years.

November 6, 2023 9:42 pm

h/t ChampionshipUsed9855

The Russell 2000 small cap index (small businesses are 1/2 of the economy and 2/3 of new jobs) tells us there is a problem.

October 27, 2023 2:02 pm

by j_stars The IWM ETF tracks the Russell 2000 Index, which is a market-cap weighted index of small-cap stocks. The fund has a expense ratio of 0.20%. Small business owners are struggling, despite claims of a thriving economy. Janet Yellen is (apparently) still on Mushrooms.

The average 30-year fixed mortgage rate hits 8.00% for the first time since 2000… The Nasdaq 100 Index could be the next shoe to drop.

October 18, 2023 8:06 pm

🚨🚨🚨 The average 30-year fixed mortgage rate hits 8.00% for the first time since 2000. Taking into account mortgage rates, incomes, and house prices, October 2023 stands out as the least affordable month for U.S. housing this century. Spread: 308 bps pic.twitter.com/2MH8BlaXJM — Lance Lambert (@NewsLambert) October 18, 2023 Ladies and gentlemen: Introducing the Nasdaq …

Market data shows dumb money moving away from managed funds and going into passive index funds

October 9, 2023 7:57 am

by LateApostate The Investment Association keeps a pretty good track of it https://www.theia.org/news/press-releases/net-fund-flows-remain-positive-while-fixed-income-funds-turn-outflow#:~:text=Tracker%20funds%20saw%20net%20retail,6%25. Calastone published figures that show that active funds have seen outflows of USD 8.5 billion from retail investors, while passive funds have seen inflows of USD 6.7 billion in the UK. Moving into tracker funds has been boasted as a safe bet …

We just experienced the 1st wave of FX chaos unleashed by Japan… Was it a “trial run” coordinated with the US?… Eventually, if the crisis is large enough, it goes global. The Dollar Index (DXY) is in the middle of a massive rally. Smart money flow index has just hit a new low.

October 5, 2023 9:39 am

Was Douglas Durst's strange post on his US Debt Clock website a warning of what is to come? The post appeared the night before markets began panicking about Japan on October 2nd, 2023. pic.twitter.com/D4PMG0IdMc — Financelot (@FinanceLancelot) October 5, 2023 The stock market fear and greed index is in extreme fear: pic.twitter.com/phA81ALBhu — unusual_whales (@unusual_whales) …

Confusion in the markets right now. Dollar Index tanks half a percent, oil pulls back sharply, precious metals and equities completely flat

September 28, 2023 1:25 pm

by theSilverVigilante Strong US dollar backing away from 107. Oil tanks from hitting $95 overnight. A weaker dollar and weaker oil coinciding with a completely flat precious metals movement and completely flat equity markets. This is the confusion before the storm. Jamie dimon coming out and predicting 7.5% fed funds rate recently. Maybe the FED …

US dollar Index reaching 2023 highs

September 27, 2023 4:08 pm

More pain in financial Equity markets is almost guaranteed with the US dollar Index reaching its 2023 highs of the year. Not only that but oil is bouncing back very hard despite the strong dollar. What’s up almost 3% for the day. We’re going to see an oil shock like the 1970s. My prediction is …