Independent thinking for complex markets and current events
by Michael It feels like someone has pulled a plug, because the U.S. economy is suddenly caught in an extremely alarming downward spiral. As I discussed at the end of last week, investors are flocking to gold and silver because they can see that a storm is coming. We have reached a point where most of …
AOC and Bernie jetting around like royalty. Socialism sure pays well when you’re the one selling it. pic.twitter.com/TqUIGokxT3 — Jammles (@jammles9) October 19, 2025 RFK Jr. flies economy with a carry-on. Bernie and AOC flew private to fight oligarchy.
via notayesmanseconomics Today has brought us up to date on the latest growth figures from the UK economy and they are something of a disappointment. Monthly GDP is estimated to have grown by 0.1% in August 2025, following a fall of 0.1% in July 2025 (revised down from no growth in our previous bulletin) and …
Authored by Charles Hugh-Smith via oftwominds, GDP is like collecting data on passenger satisfaction with the dessert cart on the Titanic and declaring everyone is delighted as the great “unsinkable” ship settles into the icy waters of the Atlantic. That Gross Domestic Product (GDP) is an outdated and misleading metric of the economy is widely …
Junk bonds are high-risk corporate debts offering higher returns to investors. The chart shows their yields (interest rates) had been falling for 4 months—a positive sign of lower perceived risk—but recently spiked to 6.84%, breaking that downtrend. Implications: Rising yields… — Grok (@grok) October 15, 2025 Junk bonds are high-risk corporate debts offering higher returns …
via Phoenix Capital Research Cracks are beginning to form in the real economy. And the markets know it. The overall stock market has been extraordinarily strong since the April lows. And for the most part, the rally has been broad-based involving most sectors in the S&P 500. You can see this clearly in the below …
Mention AI on any stock, and it rallies. We’re clearly in a bubble. WALMART $WMT ANNOUNCES A NEW PARTNERSHIP WITH OPENAI OWNER OF CHATGPT… – It will allow customers and members to soon shop Walmart through ChatGPT using Instant Checkout. Seems OpenAI is partnering with EVERYONE. 😅 pic.twitter.com/qb9xz6ajDg — Just a Dude Who Invests (@DudeWhoInvests) …
Trump is literally using the entire American economy for insider trading crypto scams lmfao If he pulls back on tariffs again this will have been what? Three times he cratered the market and then didn’t implement the promised tariffs? His family too! 😡 pic.twitter.com/deyG0rB1YQ — Katie and Potato 🇨🇦🥔🐈⬛📚🏳️🌈 (@Pyewacket49) October 13, 2025
The american economy Is crashing and everybody can see it is happening right now. Families all over America are getting destroyed by inflation, this insane cost of living crisis, rent prices that won’t stop climbing, and grocery bills that keep getting worse. Paychecks can’t cover the basics anymore, people are buried in debt, and millions …
The American economy is not drifting. It is running headfirst into a wall and the passengers are just realizing the brakes are gone. Seventy percent of Americans say the economy is on the wrong track, but that doesn’t capture the full collapse in confidence. It is not just pessimism. It is paralysis. The job market …
Let’s get this straight: Trump shut down the government, so there’s no jobs report. But the data that’s still coming out? It shows his tariffs are tanking the economy. pic.twitter.com/kqxcXaCIP0 — Senator Mark Kelly (@SenMarkKelly) October 7, 2025 The economy is dead pic.twitter.com/28Msu8U1wn — Spencer Hakimian (@SpencerHakimian) October 7, 2025 Now the high end is …
Germany isn’t reforming its pension system. It’s tearing it down. The plan to raise the retirement age to seventy-three isn’t a small policy tweak. It’s a public admission that the deal between the people and the state is over. Chancellor Friedrich Merz isn’t offering a future where people age with dignity. He’s offering a future …
The American economy is crashing, and everyone sees it happening in real time. Families across America are struggling under the weight of inflation, the cost of living crisis, skyrocketing rent, and rising food costs. Wages can’t keep up, debt is exploding, and millions are realizing the so-called “strong economy” was nothing more than smoke and …
https://t.co/k3MwYP2f0P — terr 04 (@johnsmith7745) October 5, 2025
It’s almost time to start printing money to buy mortgage-backed securities. The Fed is flying blind into an imploding economy. We are told that the "high end" consumer is still doing just fine, as evidenced by airline demand for premium seating. However, airlines are not confirming this "bull market". Pundits, do your homework. pic.twitter.com/e9OcjXIWQm — …
This is basically a stimulus plan dressed up as a rebate. The idea of using tariff money makes it sound like it’s paid for, but in reality it’s closer to a form of universal basic income. And the timing says a lot, the economy’s clearly showing cracks: job losses are starting, oil prices are falling …
Authored by Charles Hugh-Smith via oftwominds, The lines of dominoes being toppled run through every nook and cranny of the economy. As we all know, the problem with euphoria is the inevitable collision with reality and the resulting disillusionment. But wait–it gets worse. The new love of your life, your savior who is going to make …
Inflation is rising in the US. pic.twitter.com/il7X0Arf6L — FastQcB (@FastQcB) September 30, 2025 Moody’s Analytics chief economist Mark Zandi has said the economy is “on the precipice of recession.” — unusual_whales (@unusual_whales) September 29, 2025 *TRUMP SETS 10% TARIFF ON SOFTWOOD TIMBER, LUMBER IMPORTS Good luck building a home before 2029. — Spencer Hakimian (@SpencerHakimian) …
Something just broke in the auto industry and it’s not just about cars. CarMax reported a $500 million sales miss, Parts suppliers like Bosch are slashing thousands of jobs, and First Brands just filed for bankruptcy after relying too heavily on off-balance-sheet… — Jeffrey P. Snider (@JeffSnider_EDU) September 29, 2025 I mean, holy hell. https://t.co/Wxcrnj3FDj …
This is the vicious cycle we are trapped in. It does not matter if it is cars or houses. Interest rates are soaring. Tariffs are hitting everything. The cost of building anything has gone through the roof. Every new house, every new car, every single project feels taxed, priced, or delayed out of reach. All …
JD Vance: “Housing is too expensive. Groceries are too expensive. I would say they are too expensive because we inherited a disastrous Biden economy”pic.twitter.com/ATNoWAvvUa — Republicans against Trump (@RpsAgainstTrump) September 27, 2025 .@SecScottBessent: 3.8% growth, the biggest in years. The important thing, as the President says, this is going to be noninflationary growth just like …
You WILL OWN NOTHING, and BE HAPPY. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=tf20qYPoXtE
By popping AI bubble, Powell could solve a lot of problems, e.g. upcoming electric power inflation, various pockets of services inflation, etc. More effective than beating down housing markethttps://t.co/k56lVzMxCt — Marko Kolanovic (@markoinny) September 23, 2025 The market hangs by one thin $NVDA string and if they aren’t able to start round-tripping revenues with Martians, …
1. Clinton inherited the harvest from Reaganomics: a robust, growing economy with inflation tamed.2. Clinton did not wage any expensive war.3. He was completely blind and deaf to the imminent threat of terrorism; he absolutely ignored the first attack on the WTC (1993), US… — Pavel Kohout (@KohoutPavel) September 23, 2025
The numbers are falling and with every poll, confidence across the country is bleeding away. Inside the White House, the quiet grows heavier, as if no one wants to admit what everyone already sees. Donald Trump’s job approval has dropped to 37 percent and his rating on the economy sits at 34 percent according to …
Smart money is never the one left holding the bag… — Jerry Trades (@JerrysTrades) September 18, 2025 It should be obvious to everyone now that we're at the end of a 16 year economic cycle that was prolonged with cheap debt similar to 1929. https://t.co/NI1wf4NU25 pic.twitter.com/qnEppAZnlo — Financelot (@FinanceLancelot) September 17, 2025
Fewer job gains – hiring momentum is fading. Higher unemployment – more people are out of work. Higher inflation – prices are still running hotter than families can afford. Lower GDP growth – the economy is slowing, now at 1.5% vs. 2.5% last year. Fed Chairman Jerome Powell just admitted the economy has fewer job …
The debt pressure in the system is reaching a tipping point that could trigger cascading failures across households and corporations. With high leverage and stagnant wages, even a minor shock in energy, rent, or credit markets could force millions into defaults within months. Corporate restructuring and AI adoption are quietly hollowing out sectors that appear …
