A hub for independent voices and signals
The U.S. trade deficit in goods widened 22.1% to $103.6 billion in July from $84.9 billion, according to the Commerce Department’s advance estimate released Friday. The deficit was much wider than expected. Economists expected the deficit to widen to $87.7 …
The labor market may already be contracting, and when the official numbers arrive, the public could finally confront the fragility that has been quietly building. …and if you are lucky to land a new job, it will be at a …
LULU down 12% after slashing forecasts, consumer is on life support. yoga sales down pic.twitter.com/6cRakP8JiV — Swingtrader (@Swingtrader) September 4, 2025 Lululemon's comp sales have deteriorated! From the CEO: "We have become too predictable within our casual offerings and missed …
In Unterlüß, Lower Saxony, Europe’s largest ammunition factory began production yesterday. What started clandestinely is now being publicly scaled with full firepower: the European Union is building its own war economy. In the good old days in Germany, recessions were …
Without giving numbers this chart is my personal sales metrics over the last 12 months. Something happened in Feb. pic.twitter.com/awTFN5xeM6 — TrustDansCharts (@DizzleTheRizzle) August 27, 2025 This isn’t growth, it’s inflation’s disguise. Negative investment and exports show the economy’s underlying …
The economy is breaking. And no one’s ready. 806,000+ layoffs in 2025 so far. 48% of consumer credit applications denied over the past year. Refinance rejection rate: 41.8%… the highest in 12+ years. U3 Unemployment forecast: 4.5–5.0% by year-end, according …
What if your gold could actually pay you every month… in MORE gold? That’s exactly what Monetary Metals does. You still own your gold, fully insured in your name, but instead of sitting idle, it earns real yield paid in …
“A study by ANZ has valued Australia’s farm dog workforce at a staggering $3 billion as farmers struggle to hire and retain good staff. The study estimated the nation’s 270,000 working livestock dogs contributed to the economy at an amount …
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=o8r_YfN0AXo
Nearly 1 in 10 Americans can’t afford minimum credit card payments. With household debt surging past $18 trillion, the foundation of our economy – consumer spending – looks increasingly shaky. Here’s what happens when borrowing breaks down… By Peter Reagan …
The S&P 500 keeps climbing to new highs while the transportation index, which tracks trucking, shipping, and freight companies, has started to stall out. That matters because transports are tied directly to the real economy, if goods aren’t moving, demand …
Rate cuts: like putting a band-aid on a sinking ship. For those begging for rate cuts, look back at 2001 and 2008. The Fed started cutting right before unemployment spiked. The pivot wasn’t a win, it was the signal that …
Just got back from a short trip in China. The locals were telling me the economy has pretty much ground to a halt. Brace… — David's Capital (@davids_capital) August 18, 2025 Chinese Economy’s Worst Month of 2025 Puts Stimulus Back …
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=BaBvFPrt1LE
Small businesses in the U.S. are facing big challenges. Health insurance costs keep rising. Premiums for firms with fewer than 50 employees went from $20,236 in 2019 to $25,167 in 2024 (https://www.kff.org/report-section/ehbs-2024-section-1-cost-of-health-insurance/). The average family premium was $7,529 in 2023 …
from Kerry Lutz’s Financial Survival Network The U.S. labor market is facing one of the sharpest corrections in over a century, even as AI-driven productivity gains push markets forward. In this conversation, Kerry Lutz and Dale Smothers explore the strange duality of slowing …
One in seven Americans now use BNPL to buy groceries The number of Americans using BNPL services like Klarna, Affirm, and Afterpay for food has surged. A LendingTree survey found that 25 percent of BNPL users are using the loans …
“My view is that buying and holding real estate is not an effective investment strategy in our current economic environment, for a few reasons. 1) Real estate is more interest rate sensitive than it is inflation sensitive, so given our …
The Fed is about to cut rates while everything else hits all-time highs. Stocks, homes, rents, bitcoin, gold, household wealth — all at records. Unemployment sits at 4.2%. Inflation stays high. J.P. Morgan expects four rate cuts to bring the …
Sam Burns, Chief Strategist of Mill Street Research, explains how stock markets quickly bounced back from a drop caused by new tariffs under Trump. He warns of a slowing U.S. economy ahead while recommending balanced investments in tech stocks and …
Is he going to TACO about all those midnight's tariffs ? pic.twitter.com/sG91UISxgI — Data Driven Stocks (@stockdatamarket) August 7, 2025
It’s clear the economy is slowing down badly and yet the market continues to hit new highs daily. Such a bizarre world. pic.twitter.com/0YaCw6mAGQ — QE Infinity (@StealthQE4) August 6, 2025 The U.S. economy is experiencing a noticeable slowdown in mid-2025, …
“The ISM Services prices paid index jumped to 69.9, signaling rising costs, while services employment fell to 46.4, indicating contraction in jobs.” https://www.reuters.com/world/us/us-services-activity-flatlined-july-ism-data-shows-2025-08-05/ “U.S. factory orders dropped 4.8% in July, matching forecasts but showing weakening manufacturing demand.” https://www.reuters.com/markets/us/us-factory-orders-drop-july-2025-08-04/ “Goldman Sachs …
The Trump administration collected $29.6 billion in tariffs in July 2025, setting a new record. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent said, “We could expect that that could be well over $300 billion by the end of the year.” https://stocktwits.com/news-articles/markets/equity/scott-bessent-says-tariffs-will-result-in-300-b-windfall-this-year/chFUKuSR5hJ So will …
Berkshire Hathaway’s cash position is now 30% of their total assets, the most in history 🚨 Probably Fine? pic.twitter.com/ILr70bCct7 — Barchart (@Barchart) August 3, 2025 Berkshire Hathaway’s cash is now 30% of its total assets, the highest in its history. …
I compared the first 2 quarters of 2025 with the first and last 2 quarters of 2024. Y'all, I don't think Trump's economy is doing well. pic.twitter.com/NEZqjQRpoe — Machine Pun Kelly 🇺🇦 (@KellyScaletta) July 31, 2025
by Michael It was nice while it lasted. Nations all over the globe had until August 1st to agree to a trade deal with the Trump administration. Some of them made deals, but most of them did not. Those that …
