Independent thinking for complex markets and current events
New reporting reveals the Class of 2026 will graduate into the worst job market seen since the first year of the COVID pandemic. pic.twitter.com/YU0GJdZ80S — FactPost (@factpostnews) November 14, 2025 Companies Predict 2026 Will Be the Worst College Grad Job Market in Five Years Hires from the Class of 2026 will stay largely flat, employers …
This kind of labor data doesn’t drift by accident. When cuts hit this hard and long-term unemployment jumps past that line, it usually means the slowdown already slipped out of control and nobody wants to admit it yet. People don’t realize how badly the economy is doing. It’s literally unprecedented. https://t.co/XbdXHHNmw8 — Andrew Lokenauth | …
via notayesmanseconomics On Tuesday we received figures for the labour market which showed a weakening economy. Sometimes the labour market is ahead of the output or GDP numbers as for example we saw in 2012/13. But this morning the GDP numbers disappointed as well. Monthly GDP is estimated to have fallen by 0.1%, following no …
Michael Burry just closed his fund, top signal. pic.twitter.com/8O1Al5TPRe — TT3 (@TradingThomas3) November 13, 2025 BREAKING 🚨: Michael Burry Michael Burry to close down his hedge fund by year end after acknowledging he doesn't understand today's market pic.twitter.com/vrCIRNf5xH — Barchart (@Barchart) November 13, 2025 Happy Thursday. pic.twitter.com/g1YXL7Jc2l — Brew Markets (@brewmarkets) November 13, 2025 Since …
by Michael Pundits have been talking a lot about America’s “K-shaped economy” lately, but most average people on the street have no idea what that means. Basically, it means that the wealthy are getting even wealthier while almost everyone else is getting monkey-hammered. Yesterday, I detailed 11 signs that economic conditions in the U.S. are the worst …
Translation: The economy is unraveling and we need to roll some of these tariffs back. The consumer is on life support and can’t handle much more. https://t.co/EnqnpPWRfi — QE Infinity (@StealthQE4) November 12, 2025 BREAKING: US Treasury Secretary Bessent says we will see "substantial tariff news" over the next couple of days. — The Kobeissi …
by Michael Do you remember how bad things were in 2008 and 2009? It was an economic nightmare that shook the entire world, and now it appears that the sequel is upon us. As you will see below, many economic numbers are either as bad as they have been since the Great Recession or they …
via notayesmanseconomics: Overnight we have seen some good news about the present US government shutdown. Breaking: The Senate cleared a critical hurdle to end the record-long government shutdown, after Democrats provided enough votes to advance the spending measure. ( Wall Street Journal) In a nicer world it would have been driven by the way that …
Golden Age story is unraveling under the weight of real household suffering. You notice how nobody admitted inflation was real until it became impossible to hide? Wait, so Trump's "Golden Age" claim on the economy is now being directly contradicted by his own Treasury Secretary? What changed in the last 48 hours? Bessent is sound …
I’m sorry but this is total nonsense. Look at global GDP, where on Earth does $20T come from? The tooth fairy? pic.twitter.com/Nea1Jks3wO — Sheldon Miller (@SheldonMiller) November 8, 2025 Yeah, it’s not happening, but the fact that people can even say it with a straight face shows how blown out and fake everything already is.
Without the financial circle jerk of these 7 AI (Magnificent 7) companies, the US Economy would “officially” be in serious recession. The Stock market would be much, much lower. We are in a major league AI-driven ponzi scheme. And the America economy GDP growth is now reliant on this circle jerk and on a technology …
Socialism always sounds “free,” until the economy collapses, and families flee. Venezuela proved it. Now states like NY & CA are learning the hard way. Americans are leaving big-government states for more freedom. You can’t spend, tax, and tariff your way out of a $2T deficit. Washington doesn’t have a revenue problem; it has a …
The American economy is crashing right now, and it’s worse than most people realize. From banks refusing cash withdrawals to nearly a million jobs lost to automation, from healthcare premiums doubling overnight to stores packed with inventory nobody can afford, the warning signs are everywhere. In this video, we’re looking at what’s really happening on …
by Michael For a long time, a lot of people wanted to deny what was happening to us. But now we have reached a point when you can no longer do that and retain your credibility. Job openings have been plummeting, and layoffs have been spiking. Manufacturing activity is way down, and delinquency rates are …
It’s amazing to me that Trump and the GOP had the Democrats utterly DEFEATED just one year ago. The Democrats were abandoned as the party of lunatics, woke idiots, economic morons and pro-censorship tyrants. But since then, Trump has proven that his own administration is economically illiterate, that he’s willing to destroy U.S. businesses to …
Third-quarter earnings are indicating a divided economy With more consumer companies preparing to report third-quarter earnings this week, Wall Street will be watching for signs of a bifurcated or “K-shaped” economy as consumers diverge in their spending behaviors. There have been increasing signals that wealthier Americans are spending more while lower-income Americans are significantly paring …
by Michael After many years of steady economic deterioration, a very dark cloud of economic pessimism hangs over our country. The cost of just about everything has been rising faster than paychecks have been, thousands of stores are closing all over the nation, and large corporations are conducting mass layoffs on a scale that we haven’t seen …
And no magic liquidity indicator or fancy theory will change that. Major layoffs announced in 2025: • UPS: 48,000 employees • Amazon: up to 30,000 employees • Intel: 24,000 employees • Nestlé: 16,000 employees • Accenture: 11,000 employees • Ford: 11,000 employees • Novo Nordisk: 9,000 employees • Microsoft: 9,000 employees • Chevron: 8,000 employees …
South Korea economy: pic.twitter.com/osdvcez9WU — QE Infinity (@StealthQE4) October 30, 2025 “South Korea has agreed to pay the USA 350 Billion Dollars for a lowering of the Tariff’s charged against them by the United States. Additionally, they have agreed to buy our Oil and Gas in vast quantities, and investments into our Country by wealthy …
by Michael It appears that this government shutdown could go on for a while, and that is not good news for the U.S. economy at all. On day 28 of the shutdown, the U.S. Senate failed to advance a bill to end the shutdown for the 13th consecutive time. They can keep holding more votes, but the …
We’re about to enter the retail holiday season. Give it a few more weeks to see the real horror. Trucking freight volumes, a signal for the goods economy are a dumpster fire right now (-17% YoY) pic.twitter.com/4YPkLJtHdu — Craig Fuller 🛩🚛🚂⚓️ (@FreightAlley) October 27, 2025 Hiring is at its lowest since 2009. But we’re still …
It’s crazy how fast India did this. Stunning to say the least. https://t.co/xC7S5WnVOT pic.twitter.com/nLRk352Fwj — Ramanuj Mukherjee (@law_ninja) October 28, 2025 Parents should take this analysis seriously. I believe there is increasing evidence that we are giving way too many vaccines to very young children. This is spreading in India too and we are seeing …
LOL what's the methodology on that $1 creating $1.54 in GDP. — Capstone Report (@CapstoneReport) October 28, 2025
00:00 Corporate Bankruptcies Surge 44% Higher Than Long Term Average 09:47 National Debt Just Surpassed 38 Trillion 15:39 Target Announces Largest Layoff in Over a Decade 18:23 Costco Groupon Pays You To Shop There Corporate bankruptcies have been skyrocketing to the highest levels that we have seen since 2005 and I’ve been running over 40% …
Government shutdowns happen when Congress fails to pass funding for federal agencies. That means many workers get furloughed, services stop, and contracts freeze. Money the government already owes, like Social Security, Medicare, and bond interest, still has to be paid. That is where the debt ceiling comes in. The debt ceiling is a legal cap …
via notayesmanseconomics In a link between my personal and blogging life a friend departed on a business trip to Argentina the weekend before last and she asked what I thought of the economic situation there? Below is how I replied. The story starts yesterday with this from US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent This is quite …
Trump’s approval rating on the economy is at an all time low. Worst than April 2020. pic.twitter.com/DGCbZjtyD7 — Spencer Hakimian (@SpencerHakimian) October 23, 2025 President Trump hit his lowest approval rating on the economy in a Quinnipiac University Poll released Wednesday. Just 38 percent of respondents said they approve of the president’s handling of the …
by Michael Millions of Americans are discovering that at some point the money runs out and the party is over. Vehicles are being repossessed at the fastest pace since the global financial crisis, foreclosure filings are up 18 percent compared to last year, and student loan delinquencies have soared into unprecedented territory. Nobody can deny …
The money printer hasn't run this hot since COVID. Global M2 money supply now ~$137T Was $129T just 6 months ago Gold has rallied in response. #Bitcoin seems to be lagging – just as it did in 2020. In 2020, the COVID money printer turned on in March. M2 grew +21% by EOY… pic.twitter.com/kGziTsGxR4 — …
$GLD is topping and $SPY is not too far. Gold topping is usually sharp spike and Equity topping is round top. More details below 👇👇 🟡 Gold Tops – Sharp Spikes Driven by Fear: Gold often rallies during crises, panic, or inflation fears. When fear peaks suddenly (like geopolitical shocks or banking stress), prices spike …