Independent thinking for complex markets and current events
JUST IN: Michael Burry says that Meta $META and Oracle $ORCL are hiding billions in losses and overstating earnings by over 20%. byu/TonyLiberty inFluentInFinance J.P. Morgan calls out AI spend, says $650 billion in annual revenue required to deliver mere 10% return on AI buildout — equivalent to $35 payment from every iPhone user, or …
I just read the 13F and Burry isn’t actually 66% short $PLTR since it’s notional value and not real capital so he’s paying a small premium to control big exposure. But symbolically it still matters since he’s betting against the two names that define the AI era. pic.twitter.com/cUeTTJjGWk — Shay Boloor (@StockSavvyShay) November 4, 2025 …
Warren Buffett’s Berkshire Hathaway reported a sharp rebound in operating profit on Saturday, while its cash pile swelled to a new high with no buybacks. Berkshire’s operating profit generated from the conglomerate’s wholly owned businesses including insurance and railroads jumped 34% year over year to $13.485 billion in the third quarter. The gains were driven …
Reddit Announces Third Quarter 2025 Results Daily Active Uniques (“DAUq”) increased 19% year-over-year to 116.0 million Revenue grew 68% year-over-year to $585 million Gross margin expanded year-over-year to 91.0% Net income of $163 million, 28% of revenue. Diluted EPS of $0.80 Adjusted EBITDA1 of $236 million, 40% of revenue Operating cash flow of $185 million Fully …
This week could become a storm of unprecedented volatility, with over 30% of $QQQ components reporting earnings while investors wrestle with record-high margin leverage and frenzied options activity. AI-driven layoffs threaten to ripple across industries in ways rarely seen before, potentially crippling discretionary demand in tech-adjacent sectors like cloud infrastructure, software subscriptions, and digital media. …
Keep in mind, the Q3 average gold price was not much different from Q2. I am actually hoping they sell off after a disappointing earnings quarter, only to absolutely explode on Q4 earnings. — Doc (@EmmettBrownMD) October 20, 2025 The Fed is pissed about gold moving higher — Don Johnson (@DonMiami3) October 20, 2025
Lennar Q3 earnings were a disaster. Margins collapsed as Lennar had to offer incentives to sell inventory. The housing story continues to deteriorate. pic.twitter.com/uBmRYGUmUj — QE Infinity (@StealthQE4) September 19, 2025
by Martin Armstrong President Donald Trump believes that companies should cease reporting on a quarterly basis and switch to semiannual reports instead. Trump said that the concept is “subject to SEC approval” and would “save money, and allow managers to focus on properly running their companies.” JPMorgan Chase CEO Jamie Dimon and Warren Buffett also …
Beneath the noise of campaign slogans and media distractions, a serious shift is underway, one that shakes the heartbeat of corporate reporting and forces space for long-term thinking. Donald Trump did not float a suggestion. He issued a command. He bypassed regulators, skipped committees, and posted the demand directly on Truth Social. He told the …
Oracle slashes 3,000 jobs while their “backlog” ramps up 300%. Make it make sense. Correct After the crash, business schools will start teaching Earnings Quality again It was a super popular class after the https://t.co/4y5lv9vF2o fiasco, but has been replaced with classes including "how to become a social media influencer" and "when in doubt, buy …
American Eagle said Wednesday its partnership with Sydney Sweeney has been its “best” advertising campaign to date as it announced fiscal second-quarter earnings that beat expectations. The company’s splashy, yet controversial, campaign with the “Euphoria” star led to some criticism and blowback but the launch, coupled with a recent partnership with Taylor Swift’s new fiancé …
The market’s heartbeat depends on one stock, and that stock just got a cold. $NVDA's "explosive growth is inevitably set to slow and Wednesday's results will be forensically examined for bumps in the road ahead."@Reuters pic.twitter.com/hCCFZaQMZ5 — Daily Chartbook (@dailychartbook) August 27, 2025 Sam Altman said AI “may be in a bubble.” High capex with …
“83% of S&P 500 companies beat EPS estimates in Q2 2025” https://www.factset.com/earningsinsight But the real driver? A 15% USD slide from 109 to 96. That FX tailwind inflated overseas earnings, padded margins, and made weak quarters look strong. Consensus EPS jumped from $62.49 to $65.67, a 5.1% gain https://roancp.com/sp-500-q2-2025-earnings-report-performance-and-expectations/ Strip out the currency boost, and …
Microsoft crossed the $4 trillion market cap mark after reporting a strong quarter driven by cloud growth and AI adoption. The company’s revenue rose 12% year-over-year, underscoring its grip on enterprise software and cloud infrastructure. This milestone puts Microsoft in rare company alongside Nvidia, confirming its dominance. Market watchers caution that valuations this high carry …
Full ported $SPOT calls for the earnings play, never been blown up this bad before byu/1jb inwallstreetbets
https://x.com/1CoastalJournal/status/1943785887550386689
UnitedHealth Group (UNH) was riding high near $620 earlier this year, touted as one of the strongest recession proof stocks you could own. Today it trades near $308, a drop that has shocked many investors and traders alike. The steep decline follows a series of earnings misses, weakening profit margins, and management turmoil that shook …
Centene just pulled its 2025 earnings forecast. The numbers didn’t slip, they cratered. The company warned of a $2.75 per share hit, wiping out $1.8 billion in adjusted earnings. That’s not a guidance tweak. That’s a full retreat. The trigger came from updated morbidity data across 22 states, covering 72% of Centene’s ACA marketplace footprint. …
Centene is reckoning with multiple threats to its business, potentially leaving it with fewer and less-healthy enrollees signed up to its health-insurance plans. The end of certain pandemic-era health-insurance benefits over the past year is prompting more Americans to drop out of coverage plans, which Centene said could hollow out its earnings. On top of …
Markets hit weekly high right after Israel strike but low summer liquidity could trigger another brutal crash… Oil is pointing to a new global deflation. That I predict will be outside of central bank control aka. a mass deleveraging event. pic.twitter.com/Srkj9RtjbJ — Mac10 (@SuburbanDrone) June 24, 2025 Today was the biggest down day for oil …
https://twitter.com/rev_cap/status/1935035951115587783
Reporter: Your dad's financial disclosure says he had $57M in income from the crypto company Don Jr: “He has ownership but doesn't touch it. That’s all walled off…We don’t talk to him about it. He doesn't get involved in that” Imagine believing this BS pic.twitter.com/Z1xTd7QxRc — Republicans against Trump (@RpsAgainstTrump) June 16, 2025
Forget the daily market chatter about flashy tech or quick trades. If you want the real pulse of the American economy, look no further than where people actually live: the housing market. Right now, that vital sector, for some of its biggest players, is signaling real trouble, not just a passing chill. Is it bad …
The market doesn’t breathe. It inhales euphoria and exhales denial. The S&P 500 is now trading at 22 times forward earnings, and Wall Street wants you to believe that’s a sign of strength. But the math doesn’t lie. That multiple isn’t a launchpad. It’s a ceiling. Barclays just raised its year-end target to 6,050, with …
Can’t wait for earnings season. It’s gonna be a doozy 🔥🔥 https://t.co/07HLc2AVtO — QE Infinity (@StealthQE4) June 12, 2025 A good indicator of economic strength is the number of second hand shops for luxury goods such as designer bags and watches It looks like they are popping up like mushrooms and full of inventory, isn’t …
I don't know if we'll ever get this type of correction, but this support line would represent a -90% peak-to-trough correction if it ever happens. pic.twitter.com/oGnwqwjCRZ — Curtis (@curtis90335) May 30, 2025 https://coastaljournal.substack.com/p/the-hunger-games-of-inflation?utm_source=app-post-stats-page&r=18thb9&utm_medium=ios&triedRedirect=true
With the equity market surge yesterday, market based pricing of growth expectations has nearly fully recovered the drop this year, and is just a couple point off highs. pic.twitter.com/UeaOxWYTDC — Bob Elliott (@BobEUnlimited) May 28, 2025 Long dated real yields are at their highs of the post-covid cycle. pic.twitter.com/4D4xVU4WhS — Bob Elliott (@BobEUnlimited) May 28, …
$NVDA Earnings Forecast cut. Do you care? pic.twitter.com/aGQ9Uwncie — Menthor Q (@MenthorQpro) May 27, 2025 NVIDIA’s earnings forecast has been revised downward, raising concerns among investors ahead of its upcoming financial report. Analysts now expect second-quarter revenue to fall below previous estimates, citing weaker demand in China and ongoing export restrictions. This adjustment signals potential …
I read about this yesterday. So companies are essentially eating these tariffs because they can’t pass the cost onto the consumer anymore. They are tapped out. Can’t wait to see earnings next quarter 💀 https://t.co/Vi0ML0ILAZ — QE Infinity (@StealthQE4) May 16, 2025 Downward earnings revisions suggest that the #Fed should be cutting #rates.h/t @thedailyshot pic.twitter.com/oNAcrnnpov …
US executives are getting more concerned about the economy: The share of S&P 500 companies mentioning “recession” during their Q1 2025 earnings calls spiked to 23%, the highest since 2022. This percentage has surpassed levels recorded in all years between 2008 and 2020, except for 2010. Additionally, 62% of US CEOs expect either a slowdown …