Independent thinking for complex markets and current events
“Deutsche Bank’s forecast points to a sharp deterioration in S&P 500 earnings growth, with Q2 expected to turn negative and a deeper contraction anticipated later in 2025 if tariffs persist, marking a stark divergence from the more optimistic bottom-up consensus.” – @SoberLook pic.twitter.com/zRShvKWuSp — Kalani o Māui (@MauiBoyMacro) May 8, 2025 “.. We’re seeing pushback …
$MSFT – In Q1 2022, despite a 1% contraction in GDP, Microsoft posted its strongest earnings growth ever for the quarter and even issued an upbeat outlook for the following quarters. Yet, it failed to deliver in the subsequent reports. Fast forward to Q1 2025 — GDP has… pic.twitter.com/2onn11dh98 — optionGeek (@StockShark16) May 1, 2025 …
This expansion includes costs associated with workforce reduction due to automation, centralization and simplification, and corresponding facility costs related to a reduction of our real estate footprint globally. On an overall basis, the expansion is expected to result in a *total net reduction of approximately 2,000 positions, an increase of approximately 1,600 positions from the …
I just want to put this Bessent gem here on top of @MacroEdgeRes post since it makes such a good combination to print and frame https://t.co/FEf2aMHE20 pic.twitter.com/VIKqyT3mkd — JustDario 🏊♂️ (@DarioCpx) April 29, 2025 BREAKING: CEOs are telling their investment bankers that the impact of the tariffs will be known over the next 6 to …
S&P 500 earnings revisions have hit extremely negative levels pic.twitter.com/6cbNSE4GHa — Markets & Mayhem (@Mayhem4Markets) April 29, 2025 Is this all just a bear market rally? Time will tell. The average bear market rally lasts 44 days and yields a 14.1% return (before new lows are made). pic.twitter.com/pSaXPNSMj4 — Markets & Mayhem (@Mayhem4Markets) April 29, …
S&P 500 earnings are expected to grow 11% this quarter and another 26% next year. We better hope there’s no recession, because if there is, a sharp downgrade in earnings estimates could be a real drag on the market, in my view. pic.twitter.com/gDXHwh4KDC — Otavio (Tavi) Costa (@TaviCosta) April 28, 2025 Goldman Sachs is now projecting …
via WSB: $GOOG's call just wrapped up. Stock started the call up 3.5% and finished the call up 4.5%. • Stock up because the results and guidance were ahead of whispers that Search was going to be a miss. • The Long-Term: To stay bullish on Google, you either have to believe earnings… — Gene …
Analysts lowering earnings forecasts right before companies report, then calling it a ‘beat’ when they come in just above those lowered expectations is a game that’s been played forever. 👇🏼 Focus on Sales and Revenue numbers instead of EPS. Those are harder to manipulate. pic.twitter.com/paXI8qZa4d — Kalani o Māui (@MauiBoyMacro) April 21, 2025 Reminder. In …
Retail dip buyers may vanish when reality finally lands. Given how overpriced the U.S. stock market is, and the severity of the coming recession and earnings decline, it still has a long way to fall. In fact, despite the decline, given the negative impact of tariffs, the market is more overpriced now than it was …
Earnings season is about to kick off, with notable names like $ASML, $TSM, and $NFLX Which are you looking forward to the most? pic.twitter.com/bYucaF71vu — Investing visuals (@InvestingVisual) April 13, 2025
RH: "For context, in 1978 there were 4.09 million existing home sold when the U.S. had a population of 223 million. Contrast that to 2024 where 4.06 million existing homes sold with a population of 341 million, and it illustrates just how depressed the housing market has been" — Lance Lambert (@NewsLambert) April 2, 2025 …
Downward #earnings revisions have been outpacing upward revisions. As you know,we have been stating for quite a while that #estimates were way to high and would have to adjust lower for #economic realities.H/T @sentimentrader pic.twitter.com/rzDVOxozSy — Lance Roberts (@LanceRoberts) March 31, 2025 BofA says trend followers have been ramping up US equity "SHORTS" ahead of …
The collapse of Snow White at the box office has become one of the most disheartening stories in recent Hollywood history. Disney’s once-golden brand now seems to be drowning under the weight of woke culture and mismanagement. The numbers are staggering: just $3.5 million in previews on Thursday, and projections for the opening weekend barely …
Wall Street has NO IDEA what's coming.$NVDA's Q4 earnings dropped some SERIOUS bombshells. Don't say I didn't warn you: pic.twitter.com/rbvDfcdhEG — Alex (@TickerSymbolYOU) March 2, 2025 The law of diminishing returns is hitting OpenAI's GPT-4.5 here apparently pic.twitter.com/ACFrtg7k1p — Markets & Mayhem (@Mayhem4Markets) March 1, 2025
The company also issued a full-year 2025 adjusted earnings outlook of $5.75 to $6 per share, which was in line with Wall Street’s expectations. But CVS did not provide a revenue forecast for the year. It caps off the first full quarter with David Joyner, a longtime CVS executive, as CEO of the troubled retail …
$SMCI business update: 💩Miss on both EPS and revenue (unaudited)💩Confirms receipt of both DOJ and SEC subpoenas💩Still no 10K or 10Q 💩Cut forward guidance 💩$700M of dilution💩Fourteen days away from delisting💩Swears they'll file 10K (which was due last August) by Feb… pic.twitter.com/oY0RJJSbOz — Nobody Special (@JG_Nuke) February 11, 2025 SMCI filed another roll of toilet …
We’ve surpassed the Dot Com bubble peak, when considering M2 Money Supply. And now, Japan’s 2-year yield is spiking. Prime Minister Shigeru Ishiba is probably checking in to ensure the BoJ’s collapse of the Yen carry trade is on track after Feb 21 OpEx. This feels eerily similar to the pre-crash moments of past bubbles. …
CNBC’s Jim Cramer on Friday told investors DeepSeek might not pose as serious a threat to Nvidia ’s sales as many investors feared this week, saying the Chinese artificial intelligence startup may not have told Wall Street the full story about its large language model. “Is DeepSeek an alternate universe that bodes terribly for Nvidia’s …
25% of $TSLA earnings came from a $1.5b investment? What the heck happened w the rest of their business? — Kolby Smith (@Kolby_Smith) January 30, 2025 $TSLA 7% operating margins but it's not a car company OK MR MARKET LOL pic.twitter.com/GqkIcjyS36 — Q-Cap (@qcapital2020) January 29, 2025 $TSLA double miss on earnings. Could …
January 27: AT&T Inc. (Q4 2024) Nucor Corp. (Q4 2024) Ryanair (Q3 2025) W.R. Berkley Corp. (Q4 2024) SoFi Technologies Inc. (Q4 2024) Alexandria Real Estate Equities Inc. (Q4 2024) Graco Inc. (Q4 2024) Equity Lifestyle Properties Inc. (Q4 2024) January 28: Lockheed Martin Corp. (Q4 2024) Apple Inc. (Q1 2025) Microsoft Corp. (Q2 2025) …
The owner of UnitedHealthcare reported record full-year revenue but lower profits for 2024, just weeks after the brazen killing of a top executive inflamed the national ire against insurance companies. Why it matters: It’s the first earnings report for UnitedHealth Group since Brian Thompson’s killing in early December sparked a national conversation about the U.S. health care industry’s profits and coverage denials. …
Remember how I warned you all that after the election, we'd suddenly start getting "surprise" and "unexpected" downward revisions on all of the allegedly glowing economic numbers? 😎 Now watch corporate earnings and forward estimates revise down. — Uncle Milty’s Ghost (@his_eminence_j) December 30, 2024 PAY ATTENTION. Warning signs are EVERYWHERE. https://t.co/BiwXM5MWdj — Uncle Milty’s …
This chart is eye-opening: The S&P 500 has seen modest growth in corporate earnings compared to its notable price appreciation since 2023, the year where, among other things, ChatGPT was released. pic.twitter.com/N03i8gn7Bs — Otavio (Tavi) Costa (@TaviCosta) December 23, 2024 BREAKING: The US consumer confidence index fell to 104.7 points in December, marking one of …
Insider selling is highly correlated w/ disappointing corp earnings over the following 12 months Makes sense: insiders understand their companies' future prospects better than anyone Insider selling is at an extreme high now, so…..? (h/t @jessefelder) pic.twitter.com/vD72DH7ffL — Adam Taggart (@adamtaggart) December 17, 2024 Guess who's next? Pay attention. pic.twitter.com/4EU5zf71AT — The Great Martis (@great_martis) …
WARNING: Small business earnings are contracting sharply This is typically seen heading into economic downturns pic.twitter.com/pxrdn3cxzP — Bravos Research (@bravosresearch) November 20, 2024 Small business earnings are sharply contracting, a clear warning sign of an impending economic downturn. The NFIB Small Business Optimism Index has remained below its 50-year average of 98 for 34 consecutive …
S&P 500 2025 earnings and margins are starting to come down. #earnings #sp500 pic.twitter.com/B8YEVDsdpp — Michael J. Kramer (@MichaelMOTTCM) November 1, 2024 Supercore PCE back to 2.9% on a 3-month annualized rate. pic.twitter.com/PTAYPpZgk0 — Michael J. Kramer (@MichaelMOTTCM) October 31, 2024 And the economic mess is 36 basis points away from starting… https://t.co/OhmypgRcn3 pic.twitter.com/KpJkI4dAHD — …
If Nvidia’s results are cooked, it could trigger the biggest market correction since the dot-com bubble. IF Nvidia financial results are cooked (or any of their major customers – many of which are receiving federal funds)… It would be the biggest correction since the dot-com – 7 stocks driving the entire market and the greatest …
