A hub for independent voices and hard truths
by confoundedinterest17 US Q3 GDP fell slightly in Atlanta Fed’s GDPNow latest revision to 3.0% from 3.5% last week. The source of the decline in GDP? Equipment investment fell to 8.9. From 11.7. Hard to sustain high levels of equipment investment. On a related note, office CMBS just hit all-time …
Elon Musk has once again raised alarm about the world’s declining population, calling it one of humanity’s greatest threats. Taking to X (formerly Twitter), Musk shared a graph highlighting projected population changes between 2018 and 2100, drawing attention to dramatic demographic shifts in countries like Nigeria, the US, China, and …
Germany's economic decline is much more severe than most people think. The country is actually in free fall. pic.twitter.com/FPOplP101R — Thorsten Polleit (@ThorstenPolleit) August 13, 2025 Investor morale collapsed. “The economic sentiment index fell to 34.7 points from 52.7 points in July, while analysts polled by Reuters had pointed to …
by confoundedinterest17 We got silver? Tavi Costa at Crescat Capital (founded by my former MBA student at University of Chicago Kevin Smith) produced this excellent chart of silver prices showing the cup and handle of silver prices. The rise in silver prices corresponds with a deterioration of the US bond …
Dow faces major resistance at current level… Dow Jones. It makes sense for markets to sell off at current levels.(Major resistance) A 4% sell-off is nearly guaranteed.42,000 will act as major support; below that, it gets ugly. Hope this helps. pic.twitter.com/p09gxmJxXk — The Great Martis (@great_martis) July 5, 2025 $VIX …
Just need to fall 40% pic.twitter.com/L1nTzY4c4G — Darth Powell (@VladTheInflator) July 3, 2025 U.S. Housing Market has reached its most unaffordable level in history 🚨🚨 pic.twitter.com/KqBbG5Dpmw — Barchart (@Barchart) July 3, 2025 The market just dropped hard and anyone rushing to catch it is risking serious injury. The warning signs …
📈 The Rise of China and the Decline of Japan in Global Exports byu/EconomySoltani inInfographics In 1958, China and Japan each accounted for approximately 2.5% of global exports. Japan’s share climbed to a peak of 10% in 1986, while China’s share declined to 1.4%. However, since the mid-1990s, Japan’s share …
Bob Elliott, CEO and CIO of Unlimited, warns of a looming “season of disappointment” as soaring markets like the S&P 500 at 6,100 mask a decelerating U.S. economy, with a $109.6B income drop, hiring freeze, and tariff-driven price risks threatening a potential crash.
Forget the daily market chatter about flashy tech or quick trades. If you want the real pulse of the American economy, look no further than where people actually live: the housing market. Right now, that vital sector, for some of its biggest players, is signaling real trouble, not just a …
Four senior Biden White House aides have agreed to testify before the House Oversight Committee, marking a major development in the investigation into President Biden’s cognitive decline and the use of autopen for official documents. The committee is set to hear from Neera Tanden, Anthony Bernal, Ashley Williams, and Annie …
During the GFC, we saw a noticeable crossover when part-time work increased and full-time work declined. Over the past year, we’re seeing a similar crossover slowly form. 👇🏼 pic.twitter.com/uez8lZaGWP — Kalani o Māui (@MauiBoyMacro) June 10, 2025 Full-time workers -623KPart-time workers +33K — zerohedge (@zerohedge) June 6, 2025 2/ The …
Bill Clinton says he never saw anything to point to Biden being in cognitive decline. He thought Biden was in perfect shape and sharp as a tack. If only there were signs… pic.twitter.com/LVSUfDCphg — Libs of TikTok (@libsoftiktok) June 1, 2025
The U.S. economy has officially entered a downturn, with the latest Q1 2025 GDP estimate confirming a 0.2 percent contraction. While this revision is slightly better than the initial 0.3 percent decline, it still marks the first economic shrinkage since 2022. This signals growing instability, with businesses and investors bracing …
Retail traders bought $4.1 billion of U.S. Stocks during the first 3 hours of today's trading sessions, the most in history 🚨🚨🚨 pic.twitter.com/IooUGeT3xI — Barchart (@Barchart) May 20, 2025 Retail traders made history on Monday, pouring a record $4.1 billion into US stocks by midday, reversing a 1 percent decline …
by confoundedinterest17 The April Jobs report blew away the tariff crash hysteria. 177k jobs were added, far better than the doomsayers predicted. Even better, more jobs went to native-born workers than foreign-born workers. Even better still, Federal jobs decreased (thanks to Doge). The US labor market under the Biden administration “grew” almost …
by confoundedinterest17 Fed Chair Jerome Powell is apparently waiting for the tariff “war” to settle down before he pushes for interest rate cuts. Meanwhile, rising mortgage rates are hurting consumers and the mortgage industry. Mortgage applications decreased 12.7 percent from one week earlier, according to data from the Mortgage Bankers …
🚨NEW: One full minute of Elizabeth Warren trying to find ways to squirm out of the lies she told about Joe Biden being mentally fit to run for re-election. She fails. Miserably. pic.twitter.com/fry983QmCp — Western Lensman (@WesternLensman) April 21, 2025
1) On a month over month basis, home values dropped in 24 of 50 states in March. The drops in value were most concentrated in the Sun Belt and Mountain West, as well as California. pic.twitter.com/xOuFYpoPNq — Nick Gerli (@nickgerli1) April 17, 2025 4) In Tampa, values are already down …
by MonetaryCommentary Here’s a visual on the structural decay of monetary transmission over six decades, a phenomenon obscured by nominal aggregates but laid bare by the steady collapse of reserve velocity. From a peak near 0.55 in the mid-1960s, the ratio of industrial production (seasonally adjusted) to monetary base (not seasonally …
by confoundedinterest17 The mortgage market got its mind set on a recovery, but Biden’s mindless economic policies have jammed up the mortgage market. Example? Mortgage applications are down in a season where they typically increase. Mortgage applications decreased 1.6 percent from one week earlier, according to data from the Mortgage Bankers …
Columbia University faces new trouble as top admissions consultant says students won’t accept offers — ‘brand has been tarnished’ On Friday, interim university president Katrina Armstrong resigned her post amid allegations that she had told the federal government she would implement a mask ban for campus protests — but privately …
TLDR: GDPNow estimates a -1.8% annualized GDP decline for Q1 2025, signaling contraction. Two straight quarters of GDP decline typically indicate a recession. Policy uncertainty, including tariffs and mass-firings, threatens further economic damage. Federal worker layoffs could devastate local economies, real estate, and key industries. Immigration policies may harm agriculture …
Tesla latest decline is one for the history books byu/RebelGrin inWallStreetbetsELITE Cars are set on fire at Tesla dealership in Las Vegas. “Resist” is painted on the building. FBI are investigating byu/ExactlySorta inPublicFreakout Just keeps going down and down ! byu/ComplexWrangler1346 inStockMarket
The stock market slipping by 10 percent is nothing new. It has happened over fifty times since 1950. But what is different now is the effect. This decline has already erased wealth equal to 12 percent of GDP, something that has only happened a handful of times in modern history. …
by Martin Armstrong Around 20,000 American troops stationed in Europe are set to return home after new orders from the commander-in-chief. Trump plans to reduce the American military’s overall presence in Europe by 20% and insist on “financial contribution” for any American troops stationed in Europe. As I said, Trump …
Birth rates trace the decline in relationship formation in many countries byu/IAmNotAnEconomist inFluentInFinance
China’s population drops by 1.39 million—continuing a troubling trend for the economy. h/t IAmNotAnEconomist
