Independent thinking for complex markets and current events
ONS projections show England and Wales reaching a turning point in 2026 where deaths are expected to begin exceeding births on a sustained basis for the first time in decades. The projection estimates around 584,000 births versus 588,000 deaths in 2026 to 2027, marking the start of a period where natural population change turns negative. …
We’re not a serious country anymore pic.twitter.com/mdGiQrlY0F — Republicans against Trump (@RpsAgainstTrump) June 13, 2026 via RT: Studying archaeology, alongside Greek and Roman Civilization, for my bachelor’s degree has given me a pessimistic outlook on the world. At least that’s what my dad told me in June 2001 on a drive from Istanbul to Dublin. …
Kyle Busch wins 8.5 million dollar insurance settlement just two months earlier… Insurance industry and officials duck full investigation demands while suspicious timing gets buried… he looked healthy and just raced but now everyone wonders what really happened behind closed doors… Kyle Busch exposed one of the biggest insurance scams of all time! He went …
#URGENT THIS IS A FULL-BLOWN OIL SHOCK 14.5 MILLION BARRELS PER DAY — WIPED OUT. GONE. The Gulf isn’t just disrupted… it’s crippled. Crude production has COLLAPSED by a staggering 57% in April, and even if the Strait of Hormuz reopens, recovery won’t be quick. 💣 Goldman Sachs warns: “FULL RESTORATION COULD TAKE MONTHS.” Here’s …
by Michael I have got some really crazy stuff to share with you in this article. For more than a decade and a half, I have been writing about the decline of our society. Sadly, over that period of time there has been an inexorable deterioration of our culture. We no longer agree on a …
Past periods of rising small business uncertainty led to hiring slowdowns and reduced capital spending due to weaker demand visibility and tighter credit conditions US small businesses are highly concerned about the economy: The NFIB Small Business Optimism Index dropped -3.0 points in March, to 95.8, the lowest since April 2025. This marks the 3rd …
A Record 34% of February Home Sellers Cut Their List Price More than one-third (34.2%) of February home sellers lowered their list price. That’s up from 31.5% a year earlier and represents the highest February share in records dating back to 2012. Fed minutes show willingness to consider interest rate increases Some Federal Reserve officials …
Los Angeles County saw the largest decline of any county in the United States in 2025, according to new census data published on March 26. Nearly 54,000 people moved out of L.A. County between July 1, 2024 and July 1, 2025, U.S. Census data shows. The decline is part of an ongoing trend. In 2020 …
by confoundedinterest17 Despite falling mortgage rates, analysts expected December’s drop in new home sales to accelerate in January… and accelerate they did… crashing a stunning 17.6% MoM (-2.7% MoM exp) – the biggest MoM drop since July 2013. This huge MoM drop dragged sales down 11.3% YoY – the worst slide in three years. Source: Bloomberg …
Truflation called it: 2.4% . 35M+ data points. Real-time. No crystal ball.https://t.co/6NsWimzn6e — Truflation (@truflation) March 11, 2026 Feb CPI up 0.3% M/M, 2.4% Y/Y, and core up 0.2% M/M, 2.5% Y/Y; shelter (+3.0% Y/Y) was biggest contributor even w/ rent rising just 0.1% M/M, slowest since Jan '21; disturbingly, natural gas utility price is …
The white “bathtub ring” surrounding Lake Mead has become one of the most visible warnings of the American Southwest’s water crisis. Footage recorded near Hoover Dam now shows a 140-foot gap between the current waterline and where the reservoir once stood—a stark mineral scar left behind as water levels continue to fall. This pale band …
Fox: A new poll shows 60% disapproval of Trump. This is just ahead of his State of the Union address. pic.twitter.com/ZyFWsmVhrf — FactPost (@factpostnews) February 23, 2026 Fox: A new poll found that 64% are against Trump's tariffs. Is this a losing proposition for Trump? 90% of the tariffs have been passed on to American …
Personal savings have dropped by -$469.2 billion since April, a decline of -37%. Americans have less and less cushion… pic.twitter.com/4s9DZ1IzEp — Jon Brooks (@jonbrooks) February 19, 2026
US asset demand shows no sign of abating. Demand for bonds rises and bond yields decline.https://t.co/MKLFCKQfrf pic.twitter.com/Y7YdQtGapA — Daniel Lacalle (@dlacalle_IA) February 14, 2026 NY Fed's Q4 GDP forecast now at 2.71% – getting closer to ATL Fed's 3.68% pic.twitter.com/zUGsltCT9n — E.J. Antoni, Ph.D. (@RealEJAntoni) February 14, 2026 Average American's weekly paycheck buys ~2% more …
JUST IN: US home sales fell -8.4% in January, the largest monthly decline since Feb 2022. — Hedgeye (@Hedgeye) February 12, 2026 Realtors have sounded the alarm over a potential “new housing crisis” after home sales fell by over 8 percent in January, the biggest monthly drop since 2022. “Improving affordability should have brought more …
Historically Cold January coincides with historically low crime rate Zohran for a month + Crime Down would be what we call a “spurious correlation” – confounding variable being the weather pic.twitter.com/WXwYkRptTz — Right Wing Finance (@Rightwingmoney) February 4, 2026 🚨 JUST IN: New Yorkers are shocked and appalled after Ugandan Mayor Zohran Mamdani VISITS and …
BREAKING: The US Dollar tumbles to a fresh 4-year low after President Trump says the US Dollar is "doing great" and he is not concerned about its decline byu/RobertBartus inEconomyCharts We have approached "End of Empire" levels of gaslighting. https://t.co/7uHQOGhze2 — HealthRanger (@HealthRanger) January 28, 2026 Most people don't realize what Trump just said: For …
The market is junked up on margin debt and teetering like it did in 2000 and 2007, ready to implode on anyone dumb enough to stay in. The increase in #margin #debt has outpaced the rise in the #market, as leverage provides additional buying power. However, while the current level is elevated, it is now …
View post on imgur.com Government bureaucracies should never coerce doctors or families into accepting vaccines or penalize physicians for respecting patient choice. That practice ends now. Under the Trump administration, HHS will protect informed consent, respect religious liberty, and uphold medical freedom. Preach! Doctors should encourage healthy lifestyles, not injecting chemicals. — Paul A. Szypula …
by Martin Armstrong COMMENT: “When men can hate without risk, their stupidity is easily convinced, the motives supply themselves.” –Louis-Ferdinand Celine AF REPLY: That is on point Allen. These European leaders are living in the past. Their history of previous imperial greatness has become the core part of a their view of their nation’s story about …
US leading economic indicators are still deteriorating: The ratio of US leading to coincident economic indicators is down to 0.85, the lowest level since 2008. This ratio has now declined for 4 consecutive years. The Conference Board Leading Economic Index (LEI) tracks forward-looking data, including consumer expectations, manufacturing orders, weekly hours, and initial jobless claims. …
by David Haggith The economy has, according to ISM (the Institute for Supply Management), been contracting ever since Trump took office. Manufacturing has shrunk for nine months in a row, and while production saw a tiny bump in October, new orders have gone down for all of the last three months, so that took production …
US Rents were down 0.9% over the last year, the 29th consecutive month with a YoY decline. Renting a home is cheaper than paying a mortgage in all 50 of the largest metros in the US. byu/Boo_Randy_II inHouseBuyers
Japan's new Prime Minister says she prefers to let the population shrink rather than bring in waves of low-skilled immigrants to offset the decline because the preservation of Japanese society matters more than cheap labor. pic.twitter.com/LInNuZKrRP — Ian Miles Cheong (@ianmiles) October 22, 2025 Sanae Takaichi has made history by becoming Japan’s first female prime …
VIX was highly compressed for weeks. Boom. This decline isn’t just about Trump. That’s simply the fuse. The signals were flashing 🚧 for 2 weeks. All those gap up sell offs. 🎯 pic.twitter.com/4oy3nhAZa9 — John (@market_sleuth) October 10, 2025 No Slowdown? Heavy Truck Sales? Unemployment Level? Really? https://t.co/H5TijNUK1k pic.twitter.com/60z7P6tMVH — Henrik Zeberg (@HenrikZeberg) October 10, …
Don’t worry, we got a 0.25 basis cut last month. That will fix everything. ADP PRIVATE PAYROLLS COMES IN AT -32K JOBS VS +51K EXPECTED first time since 2020 for two consecutive months of negative private payrolls — amit (@amitisinvesting) October 1, 2025 Gold futures headed higher after the government shutdown begins: https://t.co/vXkwFulwUp — Reef …
by confoundedinterest17 US home prices are downshifting to a lower gear. Home prices across the top 20 cities in the US fell by 0.07% MoM (less than the 0.2% decline expected) – the fifth straight monthly drop in prices. This pulled the YoY price appreciation down to 1.82%, the lowest since July 2023. The U.S. housing market …
https://medicalxpress.com/news/2025-09-sweet-sugar-substitutes-linked-faster.html Some sugar substitutes may come with unexpected consequences for long-term brain health, according to a study published in Neurology. The study examined seven low- and no-calorie sweeteners and found that people who consumed the highest amounts experienced faster declines in thinking and memory skills compared to those who consumed the lowest amounts. The link …
If the City swung another 5-10% rightwards and rural upstate NY begins voting the same as the T in the Pennsylvania, NY could become a swing state. — C. Hunter (@c_hunter_r) September 15, 2025
Google is under intense scrutiny for making contradictory statements about the health of the open web, even as publishers and industry critics are seeing issues with how it siphons content for its AI-powered services, arguably accelerating the same process. In a recent legal filing, Google admitted that “the open web is already in rapid decline”—a …