Independent thinking for complex markets and current events
VINTON COUNTY, Ohio (WSAZ) – It’s a case officials are calling “almost indescribable.” Ohio Attorney General Andy Wilson released new information about a child neglect case in Vinton County Wednesday afternoon, along with Sheriff Ryan Cain and other investigators. Four people were arrested and charged after investigators searched a home in the Hamden area and …
This is one of the most reliable sell signals in history. Just look at TIME’s latest issue. I’ve been doing this since 1981, and when I see a cover like that, I don’t get excited. Because history has a brutal sense of humor about moments exactly like this one: In 1979, BusinessWeek ran the most …
US side emphasizes toll-free passage (at least initially) and negotiations on future administration (involving Oman too). Iran emphasizes sovereignty, “services,” and that things won’t go back to exactly how they were before the war. 🚨 BREAKING 🇮🇷 IRAN’S TOP NEGOTIATOR QALIBAF JUST SAID LIVE: THE STRAIT OF HORMUZ WILL NOT RETURN TO PRE-WAR CONDITIONS. IRAN …
CBS: The Iranians are saying they're gonna have access to a $300 billion reconstruction fund. True or false? JD VANCE: That's the sort of things they could have access to so long as they honor their end of the obligation pic.twitter.com/30Ip8CGItn — Aaron Rupar (@atrupar) June 15, 2026 🇺🇸🇮🇷⚡️– Iran’s Foreign Ministry Spokesman, Ismael Baqaei: …
Thousands of beachgoers along California’s coastline are being urged to “remain out of the water” as forecasters warn of “dangerous swimming and surfing conditions” driven by powerful ocean swells. The National Weather Service (NWS) has issued a Beach Hazards warning—which is in place until Tuesday morning—covering large stretches of the Pacific coast, including San Francisco, …
TikTok continues to meltdown over the cost of living here. pic.twitter.com/rtNJ91NY7Z — QE Infinity (@StealthQE4) May 4, 2026 The gas prices are disgusting.My gas bill has doubled. We are living in Energy crisis. — Prof (@TheProfInvestor) May 4, 2026 A recent survey by Generation Lab found that more than 8 in 10 young adults rate …
Severe droughts developing throughout the US are causing several states to impose water restrictions, as some American towns fear they will run out of water within weeks. The US Drought Monitor, the nation’s weekly map showing where and how severe drought conditions are, has warned that the situation has already reached ‘extreme’ or ‘exceptional’ levels …
The United States has set two conditions for renewing talks with Iran in Pakistan. The first is the full and unrestricted reopening of the Strait of Hormuz before the talks begin. The second is agreement by all senior regime officials to any understandings reached in Islamabad. That is according to two diplomatic sources familiar with …
SPX IS ABOUT TO REPEAT 2022 And nobody is ready for what comes next. 2022: Russia → Ukraine war, Oil +70%, SPX -28%. 2026: U.S. → Iran escalation, Oil → already +70%. And SPX? Still near highs. Still hasn’t reacted. Let me show you something most people ignore: Since 1990, every major oil shock above …
The conditions for a commodity upcycle are already forming byu/normaldudeitsfine inworldinsights More attention is now being drawn to the fact that the environment which has supported equities and fixed income for years is starting to shift. The era of cheap money is gradually fading, and the market is beginning to look for alternatives. If you …
Link: https://t.co/E3nZRZud8A pic.twitter.com/DgCx7IgYdh — Dominic Michael Tripi (@DMichaelTripi) March 11, 2026 JUST IN – U.S. officials are preparing for another Iran strike that will last, at least, just two more weeks — Axios — Disclose.tv (@disclosetv) March 11, 2026 BREAKING: President Trump says the war with Iran will end "soon" because there is "practically nothing …
‼️Global central bank rate cuts are running ABOVE the Great Financial Crisis pace: World central banks have cut rates 316 times over the last 2 years, the most THIS CENTURY. Following the Financial Crisis response, they cut 313 times in 2 years. 👇https://t.co/hNOlF08Opy — Global Markets Investor (@GlobalMktObserv) November 29, 2025 In the two years …
Authored by Mike Shedlock via mishtalk, What’s the matter with these people? Trump says the economy is humming. University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment Please consider the University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment preliminary survey results for November 2025. Consumer sentiment fell back about 6% this November, led by a 17% drop in current …
Medical conditions that may lead to denial include diabetes and obesity. Foreigners seeking visas to live in the U.S. might be rejected if they have certain medical conditions, including diabetes or obesity, under a Thursday directive from the Trump administration. The guidance, issued in a cable the State Department sent to embassy and consular officials …
It’s 2025 and the American middle class is dead. Completely gone. And we’re acting like this is fine. The country we grew up believing in doesn’t exist anymore. The promise that hard work gets rewarded? That’s over. Millions of Americans are living in conditions that would make third-world countries feel sorry for us. The average …
So I’m supposed to believe the Fed is about to cut rates when credit spreads are sitting at multi-month tights? Cutting here = loosening financial conditions just as inflation pressures re-accelerate. That’s a policy mistake in the making and likely the only cut of 2025. The… pic.twitter.com/ubZOJscXpe — Kurt S. Altrichter, CRPS® (@kurtsaltrichter) August 21, …
pic.twitter.com/yG5854U4qh — Breaking Aviation News & Videos (@aviationbrk) August 14, 2025 AC
Fed faced same risks in ‘99 as today… June 1999. The Fed is concerned about: -Rampant equity speculation and its impact on wealth (SPX PE 24x, today 23x)-Too tight labor markets (UR 4.3%, today 4.1%)-Too high wage growth (ECI 3.5%, today 3.6%)-Inflation (Core CPI 2.3%, today 2.8%). They hiked from 4.75% to 5%. pic.twitter.com/A4uqxyIYmH — …
(Reuters) -Brussels negotiators hope that offering to accept U.S. tariffs of 10% across all of the European Union’s exports into the United States will avert any higher duties on cars, drugs and electronics, newspaper Handelsblatt reported on Monday. Citing high-ranking EU negotiators, the paper said the offer to U.S. counterparts would come only under certain …
The Conference Board Leading Economic Index (LEI) for the US declined by 0.7% in March 2025 to 100.5, after a decline of 0.2% in February. 👇🏼 pic.twitter.com/QaFvkXJliE — Kalani o Māui (@MauiBoyMacro) April 21, 2025 Americans considering filing for bankruptcy hits highest level since pandemic… Bankruptcy filings are on the rise in 2025. This year, …
BREAKING: US financial conditions are now their tightest since the 2020 pandemic, per ZeroHedge. Financial conditions are even tighter than during one of the most rapid Fed hike cycles of all time, in 2022. Conditions have tightened rapidly as stocks have pulled back, while… pic.twitter.com/d53KqrwU4D — The Kobeissi Letter (@KobeissiLetter) April 14, 2025 Is this …
by Michael Absolutely gigantic dust storms are “triggering massive highway pileups” in the middle of the country, virtually the entire Southwest is currently experiencing at least some level of drought, and dust storms and soil erosion are now costing our economy more than 100 billion dollars every year. If you think that what we are witnessing is “normal”, …
Lutnick: April 9th tariffs will not be postponed under any conditions #MacroEdge — MacroEdge (@MacroEdgeRes) April 6, 2025 LUTNICK: TARIFFS GOING TO STAY IN PLACE FOR DAYS AND WEEKS -CBS NEWS — *Walter Bloomberg (@DeItaone) April 6, 2025 BREAKING: Bloomberg reports that as of Sunday morning, Treasury Secretary Bessent gave "no indication" that President Trump …
by Michael Is the U.S. economy headed for a recession? Nobody can deny that consumer confidence is plummeting, home sales are way down, mass layoffs are being conducted all over the nation, thousands of stores are closing, and a global trade war has erupted. Meanwhile, the Atlanta Fed’s GDPNow model is currently projecting that the U.S. economy …
As we discussed in this past weekend's #BullBearReport, the #market is likely at a near-term low given the deeper oversold conditions. https://t.co/4YMHjPb1Lw@thedailyshot pic.twitter.com/hoO5XBzZWm — Lance Roberts (@LanceRoberts) March 24, 2025 Just a quick reminder not to get too #bearish on the #market until it #confirms that a #correction is more than just a correction. pic.twitter.com/TTApX8T8E5 …
"If liquidity goes down at all in 2025, markets will crash." "There is one of the greatest global refinancing needs we've ever seen (in 2025)."https://t.co/RhEWHGaktg https://t.co/loBTMTxtqp pic.twitter.com/C6vA0uhbMW — Financelot (@FinanceLancelot) January 16, 2025 https://twitter.com/leadlagreport/status/1879829865047949643
Joe Biden on Friday extended “Temporary Extended Status” to hundreds of thousands of El Salvadorans before Trump takes office. The TPS will allow 232,000 El Salvadorans to remain in the United States for 18 months from March 10, 2025 to September 9, 2026. The Biden DHS extended the relief to the El Salvadorans due to …
by confoundedinterest17 We are all riders on the Biden housing storm. Existing-home sales have finally started to improve on a seasonally adjusted basis after a three-year decline. Cause? Raging home prices combined with higher than normal mortgage rates. Home prices are up 35.4% under Biden while conforming 30Y mortgage rates are up 148%.
by confoundedinterest17 It is a brave new world as the US attempts an Argentina-like shift from an over-regulated, corrupt economy to a more free economy. While Argentina has Javier Milei, the US is stuck with greedy Democrats and RINOs and their bloated spending sinking any attempt to cut wasteful spending. So as we transition from woefully …
