Pakistani Rupee Racing Turkish Lira to the Bottom

by Chris Black Pakistan is a disaster waiting to happen, but Turkey deserves its own post for being geopolitically unique. Turkey’s central bank net reserve balance tumbled negative last week.  A black market for currency has formed, reminiscent of Venezuela. Could see a scenario à la Venezuela since 2016 in …

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Goldman Sachs, the Bank That Almost Sank World Economy in 2008, Is At It Again

by Chris Black Goldman Sachs’ online bank, Marcus, is the only large bank offering a competitive interest rate (https://www.bankrate.com/banking/money-market/rates/) on its savings accounts – over 400 times that being offered by JPMorgan Chase, Bank of America, and even Citibank. Marcus (https://www.marcus.com/us/en/savings/high-yield-savings) is the online banking platform offered by Goldman Sachs …

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Adam Hamilton: Gold Stocks Soaring Again

Guest Post by Adam Hamilton at Zeal LLC: The gold miners’ stocks are soaring again, just blasting to new upleg highs this week!  They are following their metal higher and amplifying its gains like usual.  Yet despite their dramatic surges in recent weeks, both gold and gold stocks have lots …

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AIER: De-dollarization Has Begun…

Guest Post by Peter C. Earle at the American Institute for Economic Research:   Last week, China and Brazil reached an agreement to settle trades in one anothers’ currencies. Over the past 15 years, China has replaced the United States as the main trading partner of resource-rich Brazil, and as such …

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Jordan Roy-Byrne: It is Risky to be Out of Gold Market Now

Guest Post by Jordan Roy-Byrne at thedailygold.com: Gold is on the cusp of a major breakout from its super-bullish cup and handle pattern. The measured upside target is $3000/oz, and the log target is roughly $4000/oz. These targets may sound extreme, but breakouts from multi-decade bases are rare but very …

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Here’s How We’ll Have Labor Shortages and High Unemployment at the Same Time

Guest Post by Charles Hugh Smith at Oftwominds.com: This is how we’ll end up with severe shortages of truly skilled labor and high unemployment of those who lack the necessary skills. The labor force and the job market are referred to as if they were monolithic structures. But they’re not monolithic, they are complex …

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Five Reasons Gold and Silver Could Rally Soon

Guest Post by Richard Mills from Aheadoftheherd.com:   Earlier, we listed the various reasons why the US dollar is headed lower. But this doesn’t mean all safe-haven assets are in for a reality check. In fact, this might be an opportune time to invest in precious metals, in particular gold and silver, …

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Jay Powell’s Fed hasn’t yet realized the full gravity of what’s coming… There are clear risks of devastating market crashes, domino bank failures, a highly destabilizing Credit contraction

RELAX everything’s going to be fine, if there was ANY chance of collapse all the “experts” on the main collapse subreddit would be all over this. /s via realclearmarkets: “In purely technical terms, all these together are betting heavily on lower interest rates all over the world in the not-too-distant …

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Interest rates likely to move HIGHER

by okie1 New data just came in. Use of fed’s liquidity facilities declined again: View post on imgur.com This is where the money was coming from to create the demand for T bills, which is what was bringing rates down at the lower end of the yield curve. T bills …

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THE BIG STOCK MARKET CRASH IS A MEME

by Chris Black I don’t know how to tell you that and how many time we will have to tell you that (stop reading fear-porn-selling retards like Snyder) but the stock market will never “crash” ever again. At most it will drop 10%, they will halt trading, printers will go …

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LONDON METAL EXCHANGES NICKEL STOCKPILE TURNS OUT THE BE A BAG OF ROCKS

by Chris Black A bag of rocks. My Sides! They should have gone with magic beans instead – so much funnier. UK is literally Charlie Brown. https://twitter.com/business/status/1636774669347962901 Nickel is a barbaric relic, anyways. Don’t forget that the Chinese also recently found out the Perth Mint has been selling them doped …

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Fed pivoted already?

by TheNewbieInvestor Everytime this happened, the Fed pivoted 2-year yield has now moved below the Fed funds rate pic.twitter.com/8fsrsDToh2 — Bravos Research (@bravosresearch) March 17, 2023 Looks like my hunch was correct. This tweet was from Thursday, the day before #SVB failed. QE unofficially resumes on Monday. #Powell folded. The #Fed …

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JPM in trouble? 55 Trillion in garbage derivatives

55 Trillion in garbage derivatives + 16:1 naked short in Silver and 4:1 naked short Gold + 2-Week Jim Cramer Effect = DOOM! JP Morgan is a fortress — Jim Cramer (@jimcramer) March 10, 2023 Closer to 50 Trillion at the end of last year. https://www.usbanklocations.com/bank-rank/derivatives.html   AC

RUMOR that Bank of America will be buyer of Signature Bank… There’s a problem though…

via NYPOST: Bill Ackman in a tweet on Friday said Bank of America is going to acquire Signature Bank on Monday, without citing the source of the information. “I am hearing that @BankofAmerica is going to buy Signature Bank on Monday. Unless and until we can protect uninsured deposits, the cost of capital is going …

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Bank Run Underway? Updated commercial bank deposit data shows $54.1738 Billion in deposits removed. Last week saw it going from $17.64t to $17.61t (-$30b)–$80+ Billion removed from deposits in the last two weeks!

by Dismal-Jellyfish It gets even more interesting! 1 year ago: 3/16: 18,073.5395 Billion. High was hit 4/13/2022: 18,130.6814 Billion. Over half a trillion in deposits pulled in the last year! Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (US), Deposits, All Commercial Banks [DPSACBW027SBOG], retrieved from FRED, Federal Reserve Bank …

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I feel like we’re watching The Big Short in real time…

by recklessSPY The Fed was on track to keep raising rates to stop inflation. Unemployment still hot and retail still spending. No reason to abate – maintain rates. Some banks f’d up and didn’t hedge their interest rate risk. Runs on regional banks showed how fragile the system is. Fed …

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Fed pivoting their balance sheet strategy while inflation is still 6% year-over-year

“We need to keep raising rates until something breaks and inflation eases” <Something breaks> “Wait wait no, not that thing.” It’s very important that inflation is brought into check by poor people losing their jobs. Not rich people losing their deposits. NEW Banking Crisis In One Chart, Inflation=Fed Rate Hikes=Treasury/MBS Duration Increases=Bond …

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For people who think the banks are fine…

  Fed Loaned $160 Billion to Banks and $142 billion to FDIC. But QT-Related Roll-off Continued At around 4.75%, plus collateral, these are expensive loans for banks. The Fed’s Discount Window Soared to Its Highest Level Since the Previous Financial Crisis of 2008 Fed Dead Redemption! Flight To Safety As …

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Why printer is back on… 2023 is worse than 2008 in terms of deposits held by failed banks.

Total deposits across all banks are much higher now, $17.6t now vs $6.7t in 2008. https://wolfstreet.com/2023/03/16/fed-loaned-160-billion-to-banks-and-142-billion-to-fdic-but-qt-related-roll-off-continued/ In 2008 banks had trouble because they were holding lots of mortgages and MBSs and their value went down a lot, losing them ton of money, forcing liquidation. In 2022, old TBills value went …

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