Leading indicators suggest inflation is set to rebound:
The index of prices paid by New York manufacturers jumped to 51 points in April, the highest since August 2022.
At the same time, the Philadelphia manufacturing prices paid index rose to 51 points, the highest since July 2022.
All while the Dallas and Kansas manufacturing prices paid surged to 48 points and 42 points, the highest since June and September 2022, respectively.
This data suggests PCE inflation is likely to rebound over the next 6 months.
This comes as more companies say they plan to pass cost increases on to consumers, according to regional Fed surveys.
We see higher inflation ahead.
We are also still waiting for the tariffs to be added to the consumer price — this will increase inflation even more!
According to FED "Firms reported adding tariff surcharges or shortening pricing horizons to account for uncertain trade policy. " pic.twitter.com/9pkQkZLaAt
— Data Driven Stocks (@stockdatamarket) May 6, 2025
Short interest in small-cap stocks is at the highest level in AT LEAST the last 6 years 🚨🚨 pic.twitter.com/QbJq7DRa0S
— Barchart (@Barchart) May 6, 2025