Independent thinking for complex markets and current events
The sharpest signals, deepst dives and must-read reports from Citizen Watch Report.
by Michael I have been digging into the fraud scandal in Minnesota, and what I have learned has absolutely floored me. It isn’t just millions of dollars or hundreds of millions of dollars that we are talking about in this case. The fraudsters have literally stolen billions of taxpayer dollars, and they have been spending …
If you buy here it’s dead money for 10 years says $JPM pic.twitter.com/XkJ8fN4q6I — Godzilla Trader 🦖 (@David_Tracey) December 31, 2025 The Santa Rally false breakout is pure evil. $SPY ❌ pic.twitter.com/63K5ASFE3L — TrendSpider (@TrendSpider) December 31, 2025 2/ $20 billion just flowed into the Vanguard S&P 500 ETF, marking a substantial inflow into the …
Classic media meltdown. They don’t care about the fraud, they’re mad someone with a camera and a rental car scooped them. CNN PANEL MELTS DOWN OVER NICK SHIRLEY’S VIRAL FRAUD INVESTIGATION: “YOU CAN’T JUST SHOW UP AND START ASKING QUESTIONS” They’re not mad about fraud. They’re mad they got scooped. A CNN panel unloaded on …
by David Haggith Out with the old, in with the new. Trade in your old bucks right on cue. It takes a special kind of dump truck to haul away this much burning money quickly enough to get the degraded dollar out of the way of the president’s new money. Many more stories about the …
by Michael This year is certainly ending with a bang. In recent weeks, the U.S. has bombed targets in Venezuela, the Caribbean, the eastern Pacific, Nigeria and Somalia. Meanwhile, the Saudis just bombed Yemen, the Ukrainians and the Russians continue to pummel each other, the Israelis are gearing up to hit Iran again, and the …
The US blockaded Venezuela, ostensibly, to enforce oil sanctions. Today, China blockaded Taiwan, ostensibly, as part of military drills. The Centuries and the Skipper ships seized by the US off the coast of Venezuela were carrying oil destined for Asia, possibly China, or maybe Taiwan. Given the fact that nations around the world are cancelling …
Deputy Secretary Jim O’Neill @HHS_Jim We have frozen all child care payments to the state of Minnesota. You have probably read the serious allegations that the state of Minnesota has funneled millions of taxpayer dollars to fraudulent daycares across Minnesota over the past decade. Today we have taken three actions against the blatant fraud that …
Mr. Clooney, who owns a farmhouse in France, has said that living there enabled him and his wife, a human rights lawyer, to pursue a quieter existence with their children. France has granted citizenship to Hollywood star George Clooney and his wife, the human rights lawyer Amal Clooney, according to government decrees issued over the …
Another cross-border flashpoint this year.How many have we had already? More than we’re comfortable admitting. Off the top of the list: • Russia–Ukraine• Israel–Gaza–Lebanon–Syria–Red Sea spillover• Iran–Israel• Iran–Pakistan• Iran–Iraq• Pakistan–Afghanistan•… — Monica Jasuja (@jasuja) December 30, 2025 China launched its most extensive war games around Taiwan on Monday to showcase Beijing's ability to cut off …
This is how media spins work. Someone exposes millions being funneled to fraud and the story flips to “the messenger is the villain.” WTF?! CNN’s Abby Phillip is now PILING ON Nick Shirley, attacking him as not doing real journalism “The Somali community is under ATTACK!” “Honestly, you knock on the door of a daycare …
Everything’s lining up for a Q1 shock. THE YEN PARADOX 82,640 contracts betting against the yen. Second highest since July 2024. The Bank of Japan just confessed this morning they have barely begun. After hiking to a 30 YEAR HIGH at 0.75 percent, the yen did not strengthen. It collapsed to 157.77. Finance Minister Katayama …
Fox News’ Marie Harf and Kaylee McGhee White brawled over President Donald Trump’s continued efforts to deport illegal immigrants on Monday’s edition of Outnumbered. After playing a clip of Los Angeles Mayor Karen Bass (D) decrying the fact that many new Border Patrol recruits are Hispanic, host Tomi Lahren prompted Harf, a former Obama administration …
by Michael 2025 has truly been a historic year. No matter which side of the fence that you are on, nobody can deny that we have witnessed seismic political changes over the last 12 months. Meanwhile, the AI revolution is transforming our lives in ways that we don’t even understand. But despite all of our …
Santa rally turning into Santa chop — TT3 (@TradingThomas3) December 29, 2025 From @SubuTrade : pic.twitter.com/w6KfyMZwDf — Barchart (@Barchart) December 29, 2025 THE S&P500 7,000 MIRAGE Wall Street is not telling you this. The equity risk premium just inverted to negative 0.69 percent. Stocks are now mathematically expected to underperform risk free Treasuries. This has …
The money is gone, the system shrugs, and life goes on. I'm starting to detect a pattern. https://t.co/xsLtyDoYmu — Scott Adams (@ScottAdamsSays) December 29, 2025 Still no coverage in NYT, WaPo, CNN, or Minneapolis Star-Tribune of massive fraud being uncovered in Minnesota. The media's willingness to ignore stories that hurt Democrats is truly astonishing. pic.twitter.com/xZcZcbUSm9 …
China is building hundreds of missile silos so the US can’t tell which ones actually have nukes. That’s the whole point. It forces America to assume the worst every time. China is readying intercontinental missiles The US Department of War identified fields of missile silos in three remote areas in northern and western China: Hami …
People always ignore the warnings when something shiny and new shows up, and AI is the latest shiny object. Just like in 1929, everyone wants a piece of the “next big thing” and convinces themselves it can’t fail, even when the numbers don’t make sense. Trillions are flowing into data centers and tech hype, while …
Authored by Mike Shedlock via mishtalk, Investor made famous by ‘The Big Short’ is shorting Nvidia and Palantir. The Big Short Yet Again? The Wall Street Journal reports Michael Burry Bets He Isn’t Too Early to Go Against the AI Juggernaut Michael Burry has seen this movie before. Take, for instance, the scene in “The Big …
ROB SCHNEIDER DEFIES NEWSOM’S VAX MANDATE: “JUST SELL 999 TICKETS – NO FORCED JABS!” Hollywood patriot Rob Schneider torches California’s tyrannical COVID rules on American Thought Leaders: Gavin Newsom demanded vaccine cards for crowds over 1,000. Schneider fired back – “So I said okay, just sell 999 tickets. I’m not going to force anybody to …
Just recycled claims that were already walked back by the person who made them. The only thing getting passed around is outrage pretending to be evidence. When there’s nothing there, people start yelling louder to make it feel real. Ah yes. Sarah Ransome’s statements… I wonder why you don’t post everything she said. Remember when …
by Martin Armstrong In 1935, Roosevelt introduced “The Social Security Act,” which passed in Congress. However, the act was described as “Old Age, Survivors, and Disability Insurance.” At first, the Act covered only industry and commerce. It was later extended to include farm operators in 1955. The SS tax was to be 3% of income …
Why is the Justice Department blocking full disclosure of Epstein files? .@AGPamBondi’s most egregious violation of the Epstein Files Transparency Act is not that she ignores the deadline… it’s that she’s redacting names of accused sex offenders AND internal communications about decisions, wrongly citing old rules that are overridden by new law. pic.twitter.com/LDOmC2emho — Thomas …
JPMorgan now sees gold pushing beyond $5,000 and the bull run lasting into 2027. Silver is breaking away all by itself. These aren’t isolated headlines – they’re signals of a world quietly repricing money, risk and sovereignty itself… By Peter Reagan Your News to Know rounds up the most important developments in precious metals and …
by Michael If you are having a really difficult time keeping up with the rapidly rising cost of living, you are certainly not alone. This year, “affordability” was a buzzword that was constantly on the lips of politicians, economists and talking heads on television. As you will see below, Americans are being slammed by rising …
by Michael I think that nearly the entire population of the world would like to see peace in 2026, but global events just continue to drag us toward war. I honestly do not understand why more people are not upset about this. The drumbeats of war seem to get louder with each passing day, and we are …
Minnesota’s economy doesn’t work without child care providers – so we’re giving them a raise. — Governor Tim Walz (@GovTimWalz) October 20, 2023 Where are all the children? pic.twitter.com/kjf4qkRHTD — Gail Alfar (@gailalfaratx) December 28, 2025 https://twitter.com/bryanrbeal/status/2005101888371654814 https://twitter.com/bryanrbeal/status/2005102407467061682 https://twitter.com/bryanrbeal/status/2005103419774869598 https://twitter.com/bryanrbeal/status/2005117270117515546 https://twitter.com/bryanrbeal/status/2005105345820340681 Is this in every state? Why did they still receive funding and keep their …
Six hospitals declare critical incidents amid H3N2 surge. Public told to avoid hospitals unless it’s a true emergency. What happens when flu surges and hospitals have no room for patients? Hospitals in Calderdale and Huddersfield have issued a warning as their services are extremely busy. The Calderdale and Huddersfield NHS Foundation Trust has asked visitors …
via Macro_Untold Everyone talks about the “coming” crash, but if you look at the actual transaction logs from the last 6 months, the crash isn’t coming—it’s already here, and it’s being hidden by “Extend and Pretend” accounting. I’ve been digging into the specific numbers on the Blackstone 1740 Broadway default in NYC, and the math …
by Penny1974 A co-worker of mine is literally homeless. Sleeping in her car. Shows up to work every day, does her job, keeps it together. She’s not lazy. She’s not unskilled. She just makes too much money to qualify for help. No housing programs. No food assistance. No emergency grants. Why? Because she makes around …
🔥🔥**SPOT SILVER $90.52/oz USD!!**🔥🔥 🚨Australia's ABC Bullion DITCHES COMEX, PEGS SILVER SPOT PRICE TO SHANGHAI AT $90.52/oz!! 🚨 🔥THE END OF PAPER SILVER MANIPULATION HAS ARRIVED!! ⚡️SELLERS OF PHYSICAL SILVER ARE REFUSING TO SELL SILVER AT COMEX PAPER SILVER FUTURES… pic.twitter.com/8dY5cL2822 — SilverTrade (@silvertrade) December 28, 2025 Silver is one the most important industrial metals. …