Yield curve steepening historically signals recessions, yet markets often rise until the final moment. We’re in the “hot zone” for a recession

2/ The yield curve just steepened by 1%, coming out of an inversion The last time we saw this was in 2020 during the COVID-19 recession pic.twitter.com/L2gzkGSCI8 — Bravos Research (@bravosresearch) October 8, 2024 4/ So, where's the recession now? GDP growth in the US is still at a healthy 2% The job market remains …

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1200 suspected terrorists living in Canada …were denied entry into the USA over the last 4 years… U.S. lawmakers plan for possible “mass casualty” event

According to U.S. Customs and Border Protection (CBP) data, over 1,200 individuals on the terrorist watchlist were stopped at the U.S.-Canada border from 2020 to 20241. This represents a significant increase in encounters compared to previous years. 1200 suspected terrorists living in Canada …were denied entry into the USA over the last 4 years …but …

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Printing $13 trillion created a temporary boom, now we’re stuck in recession. Wake up!

The Federal Reserve’s actions during the COVID-19 crisis were extensive and went beyond just purchasing government securities. The Federal Reserve took unprecedented measures to support the economy. By the end of 2020, the Fed had purchased approximately $3.5 trillion in government securities. This was part of a broader effort that included various lending programs and other financial …

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What We’re Told About “Sound Money” Is a LIE

Economists predict the Fed will soon drop interest rates because the rate of inflation has slowed. Why the slowdown? One analyst is ready to celebrate lower inflation and lower rates as “the return of sound money.” What does that even mean? From Peter Reagan for Birch Gold Group Step back with me, for a moment, to …

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Hey poors, you’re selected

JPMorgan analyst explains why he believes we’re in a ‘selective recession’ byu/Perfect_Alarm_2141 ineconomicCollapse I am looking forward to after Nov when they can just call it a recession. First they will speculate if it will be a “good christmas” or not with ever more anxiety… then in early Jan we can just admit how bad …

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WATCH — ‘We’re All United’: Oklahoma Students Protest After Being Told They Cannot Fly American Flag at School

The demonstration happened at Edmond North High School where locals gathered to push back against Edmond Public Schools’ (EPS) flag rule, which has drawn much criticism, Fox 25 reported. An image shows the truck belonging to a young man who initially flew the American flag A Facebook group that organized the rally said its purpose …

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Labor data reveals we’re already in a recession.

Jul NFP came in at +114K, the 2nd lowest since Dec 2020. Apr (+108K) was the lowest since Dec 2020. In the last 4 months NFP averaged +154K, a far cry from 250K-300K job gains per month we thought the economy was adding just a couple of months ago. Namely, downward revisions… pic.twitter.com/OujQhTohSR — Marko …

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U.S. Treasuries not the safe bet they once were.

JACKSON HOLE, Wyoming (Reuters) -No safer than a bund. Or a gilt. Or an OAT. Long touted as hands-down the world’s “safe haven” securities, the behavior of U.S. Treasuries during and after the COVID-19 pandemic calls that label into question, suggesting they are little different from the debt issued by the likes of Germany, Britain, …

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We’re so obsessed with rate cuts that we’ve forgotten to worry about the rapidly slowing economy. Corporate America now giving dire warning

US PPI Final Demand (M/M) Jul: 0.1% (est 0.2%; prev 0.2%)– PPI Ex Food And Energy (M/M) Jul: 0.0% (est 0.2%; prev 0.4%)– PPI Final Demand (Y/Y) Jul: 2.2% (est 2.3%; prev 2.6%)– PPI Ex Food And Energy (Y/Y) Jul: 2.4% (est 2.6%; prev 3.0%) — LiveSquawk (@LiveSquawk) August 13, 2024 Futures on a tear …

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HEADS UP – TRUMP Says We’re Close to a 1929-like Depression and a World War!

Forget the sensational headline. Trump is right. 40% of the people in this country are struggling. The media doesn't like to talk about it as usual. — floridanow1 (@floridanow1) August 8, 2024 He warned us. pic.twitter.com/Q8tMkMArmE — Freckled Liberty 🔥 (@FreckledLiberty) August 8, 2024 Our Country right now is in the most dangerous position its …

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We’re in a new regime: higher volatility, lower liquidity, global deleveraging. Risk assets face bigger price swings and downward pressure…. $6.4 trillion erased from global markets in the past 3 weeks.

The “pain trade” is back… That means for traders it's a good time to consider smaller position sizing, wider stops and much more discerning execution. – Smaller size to reduce total exposure – Wider stops to account for illiquid, volatile trading conditions – Discerning execution to limit overtrading — Markets & Mayhem (@Mayhem4Markets) August 6, …

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We’re going to need more bagholders.

We're going to need more bagholders. pic.twitter.com/V1KHIXHGTX — Mac10 (@SuburbanDrone) June 24, 2024 How we looking ? https://t.co/7T8pwBupAT pic.twitter.com/JU3uEtQFT5 — The Great Martis (@great_martis) June 24, 2024 Bitcoin dips below 60k. All US miners are now in the red. They have to continue selling all $BTC to make ends meet. This is the worst case …

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It’s a Giant S*** Sandwich and We’re Going to Be Living On It with John Rubino

from Kerry Lutz’s Financial Survival Network Kerry and John Rubino discussed various indicators pointing towards an economic slowdown, attributing it to factors like higher interest rates and government interventions through liquidity injections. They also touched upon the upcoming election and its potential influence on the economic narrative. The speakers expressed differing views on whether the current trend in …

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We’re in the midst of a sharp downturn in commercial real estate construction

Multifamily—which is working through a large pandemic era pipeline—is in the early stages of its downshift pic.twitter.com/CDWLL5rxPO — Lance Lambert (@NewsLambert) June 20, 2024 🏢📉 CRE CLO distress rate hits 9.74% in May, up 114 bps! 📊 Over 36.5% on watchlists. 🤔 What’s your take? #RealEstate pic.twitter.com/ILY3DYO5fB — Kaufman Real Estate & Consulting (@DanielKaufmanRe) June …

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We’re already at a stage we don’t understand how AI works

🚨GEOFFREY HINTON: WE DON'T KNOW EXACTLY HOW AI WORKS AI Pioneer Geoffrey Hinton: "We have a rough idea of what it's doing, but when it gets complicated, we don't know what's going on, similar to our understanding of the brain." 60 Minutes: "What do you mean we don't know… pic.twitter.com/0u5CDPruNt — Mario Nawfal (@MarioNawfal) June …

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High price cuts in top 10 housing markets indicate growing seller desperation. Realtors admit that “we’re in a housing depression”.

Top 10 Housing Markets with the highest price cut rate in May 2024. More price cuts mean more seller desperation. And a greater likelihood that prices drop in the future. 1. Tampa – 37% price cut rate 📉2. Austin – 36%3. Colorado Springs – 36%4. Denver – 36%5. Jacksonville… pic.twitter.com/F3mGea53MK — Nick Gerli (@nickgerli1) June …

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Endless spending and low interest rates cause 40-year high inflation, with over half of Americans believing we’re in a recession.

Endless spending and low interest rates resulted in 40-year high inflation. Now, over half of American adults believe we are in a recession. Even with endless deficit spending, consumer sentiment is horrible. Follow us @KobeissiLetter for real time analysis as this develops. — The Kobeissi Letter (@KobeissiLetter) June 10, 2024 Food Costs are soaring to …

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“We’re always talking about finances; I think any married couple will tell you that”… “Groceries for like 5 things are like $80”

Americans SLAM The Disastrous Biden Economy: "It's totally different than it was 4 years ago" "Everything is more expensive, and it's only getting worse" "We're always talking about finances; I think any married couple will tell you that" 🚨🚨🚨 pic.twitter.com/ygY2QIFExp — Wall Street Mav (@WallStreetMav) May 23, 2024 "It's getting harder and harder to be able to …

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Maybe We’re Closer to “You’ll Own Nothing” Than We Realize

Authored by Charles Hugh-Smith via oftwominds, Maybe we should rephrase the slogan to “you’ll appear to own things you don’t actually control and be happy.” The World Economic Forum’s catchphrase you’ll own nothing and be happy was widely mocked as an eyebrow-raising vision of a “sharing economy” future without the implicit agency granted by full ownership. Renting stuff …

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