Double Warning: Fed Cautions on Office Space and Interest Rate Risks, Moody’s Flags $650B Crisis for US Banks

Bloomberg’s report on the Fed’s apprehensions regarding US commercial office space and interest rates raises alarming flags. Moody’s staggering estimate of potential unrealized losses, reaching a colossal $650 billion within US banks’ securities portfolios, points to an imminent and deeply …

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Banks facing financial stability risks

$100,000,000,000 in Deposits Exit US Banking System in Three Weeks As Fed Survey Says Banks Face Financial Stability Risks People and businesses are withdrawing billions of dollars in deposits from US banks as a new survey details concern on the …

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A crisis is looming: Small US banks hold over 70% of $2T in CRE loans, exceeding ’06 guidance. With $1.5T CRE refinancing ahead, vacancies high, and prices falling, excessive exposure risks instability.

“JUST IN: Nearly 700 US banks now exceed the 2006 Commercial Real Estate (CRE) loan concentration guidance. What is the CRE loan concentration guidance? It’s guidance by the FDIC for the amount of exposure that small banks should have to …

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Minutes of the Federal Open Market Committee, July 25-26, 2023: “Various participants commented on risks that could affect some banks, including unrealized losses on assets resulting from rising interest rates, significant reliance on uninsured deposits, and increased funding costs.”

by Dismal-Jellyfish Source: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomcminutes20230726.htm Developments in Financial Markets and Open Market Operations: The manager turned first to a review of developments in financial markets over the intermeeting period. Market participants interpreted data releases as generally demonstrating economic resilience and a further …

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One of China’s biggest state-run investors is adding to the chorus of warnings over debt risks at the nation’s cash-strapped developers and local government financing vehicles.

via YAHOO: The National Council for Social Security Fund, which oversees about $417 billion according to the latest available figures, has advised asset managers that handle its money to sell some bonds including those from riskier LGFVs and private developers …

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