Independent thinking for complex markets and current events
Booker’s public blowup isn’t just political theater; it signals a deeper breakdown in Democratic strategy. Fixating on Trump as the singular villain shows a party scrambling to define itself without a clear positive agenda. This obsession blinds them to growing voter fatigue and shifting priorities, especially among suburban and independent voters who want solutions, not …
I don’t believe for a second that Elon would be publicly challenging Trump on spending, damaging his own companies and turning the MAGA base against himself all because of EV credits. It’s obvious he understands math and strongly believes that the spending levels will destroy us I respect it a ton. A willingness to self-sacrifice …
A significant development in the Middle East has reached a critical juncture, with recent reports indicating a grave threat from Iran. Amid ongoing conflict, Iranian officials have suggested the possibility of mining the Strait of Hormuz, a strategic waterway crucial to global oil supplies. This development, if realized, carries the potential for severe disruptions to …
President Trump just accused Fed Chair Powell of always being "late" to cut rates. Despite markets pricing-in more rate cuts, Powell is saying he is willing to wait. US stocks are extending losses. Follow us @KobeissiLetter for real time analysis as this develops. — The Kobeissi Letter (@KobeissiLetter) April 4, 2025 I think he is …
"The S&P 500’s #valuation, measured across multiple metrics like P/E, #CAPE, and market cap to #GDP, is at historical extremes, reaching prior peaks." – @thedailyshot pic.twitter.com/WXGb2KS3mv — Lance Roberts (@LanceRoberts) January 22, 2025 $SPY vs. $VIX Correlation Chart: SPY is approaching just 1% below its all-time high, but VIX isn’t budging. Could this be a …
This is not looking good. MicroStrategy has a history of experiencing deep drawdowns when the RSI(14) monthly reaches extreme levels (above 80), followed by a negative month. Combine this with the speculative and euphoric momentum… pic.twitter.com/T7s3lqVSZ4 — Guilherme Tavares (@i3_invest) December 26, 2024 IRONY: bitcoin's fate now in the hands of a bunch of 'boomer' …
MSTR’s issuance relies on NAV premium and implied volatility, which would flatten without them. TLDR: MSTR sells shares at 2.3x NAV, making the sale accretive by buying BTC at a premium. Convertible bonds sold with 65% delta offer 1.5 BTC of buying power from the delta. Convertibles priced at 100 implied volatility, 13% premium over …
Many commercial real estate (CRE) loans are set to mature in 2025 and 2026, requiring refinancing for loans that were underwritten when interest rates were at historic lows in 2020 and 2021. As interest rates have significantly increased, the current landscape presents a daunting challenge for refinancing. This situation has raised alarms about the preparedness …
Red Sea littoral states brace for the worst tanker spill this century https://t.co/HKEpT6nAdY pic.twitter.com/WoXAzMqLCz — Splash (@Splash_247) August 28, 2024 Ambrey and the United Kingdom Maritime Trade Operations (UKMTO) said the tanker was hit by missiles about 70 nautical miles northwest of Yemen’s port of Saleef. The merchant ship was hit about 50 nautical miles …
Canadian banks are indeed bracing for a “mortgage renewal cliff.” As mortgage renewals approach for over three-quarters of homeowners, Canada’s Big Six banks are adding billions of dollars to their emergency funds. The spike in mortgage payments that many homeowners will face during renewal is known as the “mortgage cliff.” Mortgage rates are significantly higher …
Former President Trump claims innocence in the payments to Stormy Daniels case, alleging it’s a political witch hunt aimed at keeping him off the campaign trail. He criticizes Judge Merchan’s decision to extend the trial, suggesting it’s influenced by political motives and interferes with his constitutional rights. David Pecker said Trump knew nothing about payments …
Go to a Supreme Court case. He is on lockdown by a corrupt judge who is severely biased and not following the law. Stopping the largest candidate on the election ticket from campaigning is election interference. Suprme Court needs to shut this case down if its in their power. BREAKING: Donald Trump speaks out after …
The farmer protests are reaching Canada, particularly in Quebec, where protests are gaining momentum in recent days in the face of the crisis in the sector. Justin Trudeau is putting a 23% carbon tax hike on farmers and it's killing their livelihoods. 🔥🔥🔥 pic.twitter.com/F8oH30WgtQ — Wall Street Mav (@WallStreetMav) April 6, 2024 WARNING: Canadian bankruptcy …
The new regulation in Canada removes any legal requirement for continuing care operators to provide a minimum number of hours of nursing care to residents. This means that there is no longer a standard set for the amount of care residents must receive in these facilities. As a result, there is a risk that residents …
This is insane — Elon Musk (@elonmusk) March 9, 2024 This government-mandated DEI (Diversity, Equity, and Inclusion) is turning into a disaster. Chip manufacturers are scrapping American projects, moving overseas, all because of the idiotic rule that prioritizes skin color or sexual preference over competence. The competency crisis is escalating, with DEI now infiltrating even …
New York State becomes ‘legal banana republic’ – Prepare for mass exodus of businesses from NY via Foxnews: Legal experts analyzed what they called “breathtaking” civil penalties against former President Donald Trump, Donald Trump Jr., Eric Trump, former Trump Organization Comptroller Jeffrey McConney and ex-CFO Allen Weisselberg – warning other corporations based in the Empire …
“Iowa Rep Megan L Srinivas “Today, HSB 646 passed through subcommittee—a bill that prioritizes foreign corporate interests above Iowa farmers’ lives. This would grant immunity to pesticide, insecticide, & rodenticide companies. This includes the Chinese-government owned company (ChemChina) that bans its own pesticide within its borders due to health risks, but wants amnesty for poisoning …
Unacceptable! The border crisis is so bad that it looks like a movie scene! pic.twitter.com/0I9rMmmK7J — Matt Wallace (@MattWallace888) December 24, 2023 No signs of slowing down https://t.co/alknNTyGNt — Blake (@_BlakeHabyan) December 23, 2023 "Non-US Citizens Without Passports" Yes, this is a real line for people boarding domestic flights in Tucson Airport. The same regime …
Powell: dialling back policy restraint was a discussion topic for us at our meeting today FOMC: 3 cuts in 2024 Williams: We aren't really talking about rate cuts Bostic: 2 rate cuts Mester: Markets are a bit ahead on rate cuts Goolsbee: Fed is not precommiting to cutting… pic.twitter.com/R3qhuhkhDy — Simon Ree (@simon_ree) December 19, …
Inside the negative equity timebomb: US homeowners lost $108.4 BILLION in equity this year – leaving more than 200,000 at risk of going ‘underwater’ if property prices fall another 5% Homeowners are sitting on a negative equity timebomb after losing $108.4 billion on their property values this year, experts say. The average borrower saw their …