Independent thinking for complex markets and current events
by AdMaleficent2789 Goldman Sachs expects core inflation to fall enough for the Federal Reserve to start cutting rates in Q2 2024, but economists leave the door open for a higher-for-longer scenario. By Q2, “we expect core PCE inflation to have fallen below 3% on a year-on-year basis and below 2.5% on a monthly annualized basis, and …
The Biden administration has canceled an offer to buy 6 million barrels of oil to replenish America’s Strategic Petroleum Reserve (SPR), multiple outlets have reported. Last year, President Biden drew criticism when he sold off 180 million barrels of oil from the SPR, resulting in a near 4-decade reserve low, which he claimed helped to …
by confoundedinterest17 Josef Stalin of the old Soviet Union used to be called County Joe. But Biden has so many possible nicknames: Corrupt Joe, Pay-for-play Joe, Sleazy Joe, Bully Joe, etc. How about Green Joe? Green Joe (or the Nasty Green Giant?) along with his energy goon Jennifer Granholm, have drained the strategic petroleum reserve …
by Dismal-Jellyfish Table 1 (PDF) | Table 2 (PDF) | Charts (PDF) Wut Mean?: Commercial and Industrial (C&I) Lending: Banks tightened standards for C&I loans to businesses of all sizes. All loan terms for C&I loans, like rate spreads, premiums on riskier loans, credit line costs, and many others, were tightened. Both large and other banks tightened C&I lending …
by Simon Black The Federal Reserve– the most critically important central bank in the world– is completely, hopelessly insolvent. This isn’t some wild conspiracy theory or overly dramatic interpretation of the facts; we’re extremely data-focused in this organization and base our conclusions on indisputable, open-source figures. And the facts in this case are crystal clear: …
Let’s see what happens. Muammar Gaddafi and Saddam Hussein didn’t fare too well when they bucked the system. Maybe this is the underlying reason for World War 3. BRICS payment system will replace SWIFT in new ‘non-Western world’ – AFROCOM head The continent will be part of a multipolar world with completely new economic relations, …
by Dismal-Jellyfish Source: https://www.federalreserve.gov/publications/files/large-bank-capital-requirements-20230727.pdf Wut mean?: Following its stress test earlier this year, the Federal Reserve Board today announced the individual capital requirements for all large banks, effective on October 1. Large bank capital requirements are in part determined by the Board’s stress test results, which provide a risk-sensitive and forward-looking assessment of capital needs. The …
via notayesmanseconomics: Today is the morning after the night before and let me hand you over to the Financial Times to explain why. The Federal Reserve raised its benchmark interest rate by a quarter of a percentage point on Wednesday to the highest level in 22 years, as it wrestles with how much more to …
by Dismal-Jellyfish https://public-inspection.federalregister.gov/2023-14556.pdf Prerule Stage: SOURCE OF STRENGTH (SECTION 610 REVIEW): Purpose: The Federal Reserve, along with the Office of the Comptroller of the Currency (OCC) and the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation (FDIC), is working on a proposed rule. What It’s About: This rule, as mandated by the Dodd-Frank Wall Street Reform and Consumer Protection Act, wants bank …
via Doug French: Caitlin Long tweeted over the July 4 weekend, “BIG NEWS for #fintech! A sixth US state—Idaho—is willing to charter uninsured, non-lending, 100% reserve banks that are eligible for Fed master accounts (the other states are CT, ME, NE, VT & WY). This trend could turn the ‘bank-as-a-service’ (#BaaS) model on its head!!!!!” As Long explained …
If you don’t hold it, you don’t own it. h/t Simian_Stacker
Darth Powell knows: This is the result of economic and social terrorism caused by the elite/donor class and Federal Reserve. Rewarding the most worthless, least productive members of society (asset price speculators) over actual production/innovation. https://t.co/UhRkGnrXJL — Darth Powell (@VladTheInflator) July 25, 2023 How long can the Fed & its PE accomplices delay the inevitable? …
by Dismal-Jellyfish https://www.federalreserve.gov/newsevents/pressreleases/files/enf20230724a1.pdf The Federal Reserve Board on Monday announced a consent order and a $268.5 million fine with UBS Group AG, of Zurich, Switzerland, for misconduct by Credit Suisse, which UBS subsequently acquired in June 2023. The misconduct involved Credit Suisse’s unsafe and unsound counterparty credit risk management practices with its former counterparty, Archegos …
by Dismal-Jellyfish Source: https://www.federalreserve.gov/newsevents/pressreleases/other20230720a.htm The Federal Reserve on Thursday announced that its new system for instant payments, the FedNow® Service, is now live. Banks and credit unions of all sizes can sign up and use this tool to instantly transfer money for their customers, any time of the day, on any day of the year. …
by confoundedinterest17 So far, President Biden has drained almost 50% of the Strategic Petroleum Reserve (SPR) under his Reign of Error. And regular gasoline prices are up 48% since Biden assumed the Presidency on Jan 20, 2021. We have massive caverns for oil storage that are sitting empty. Then we have the US Dollar, down -12.5% …
by Dismal-Jellyfish Bank of America (PDF) Bank of New York Mellon Corp (PDF) Citigroup (PDF) Credit Suisse (PDF)***** Goldman Sachs (PDF) JPMorgan Chase (PDF) Morgan Stanley (PDF) State Street Corp (PDF) Wells Fargo & Co (PDF) ***** Credit Suisse submitted this plan pursuant to a deficiency identified in the firm’s December 17, 2021, resolution plan …
by Dismal-Jellyfish https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/beigebook202307.htm Overall Economic Activity Overall economic activity increased slightly since late May. Five Districts reported slight or modest growth, five noted no change, and two reported slight and modest declines. Reports on consumer spending were mixed; growth was generally observed in consumer services, but some retailers noted shifts away from discretionary spending. Tourism and …
by Dismal-Jellyfish https://www.rbnz.govt.nz/hub/news/2023/07/official-cash-rate-remains-on-hold Highlights: The RBNZ has decided to keep the Official Cash Rate (OCR) at 5.50%. Remember, this is the rate of interest which the RBNZ charges on overnight loans to commercial banks. The RBNZ expects the OCR to remain at this level for a while to ensure inflation returns to the target range …
Large Banks Experience Record $921B Deposit Drain in 40 Years, Outpacing Small Banks’ Decline Data from the Federal Reserve reveals that large banks in the U.S. are experiencing the fastest decline in deposits in four decades. Since April 2022, deposits at the 25 largest commercial banks have plummeted by $921 billion, a decline of 7.88 …
by confoundedinterest17 What is Bidenomics? It isn’t what Press Secretary Karine Jean Pierre thinks. She said Biden hates “trick down economics”. Instead, Biden prefers a Soviet-style command economy where The Federal Government spends trillions of dollars and directs where the money goes. We also have the Socialist Federal Reserve that relies on rate manipulation to …
by Dismal-Jellyfish TLDRS: FedACH, operated by the Federal Reserve, is the primary Automated Clearing House (ACH) service provider in the United States. ACH transactions include direct deposits of payroll, Social Security and other government benefits, tax refunds, and many other types of payment. Since FedACH services are affected, several impacts could occur: Transaction Delays: The …
The Federal Reserve has announced that 57 companies have completed the formal testing and certification process for FedNow, clearing them to begin using the new instant payment system once it launches later in July. https://www.kitco.com/news/2023-07-03/Federal-Reserve-reveals-the-57-companies-cleared-to-use-FedNow.html full list of participants https://www.frbservices.org/financial-services/fednow/organizations-certified Participants 1st Bank Yuma 1st Source Bank Adyen Alloya Corporate Federal Credit Union Atlantic Community …
by laflammaster Imagine if you could just say one thing and do the opposite all day with no personal consequences. No wonder these people will do everything they can to keep this system in place.
by Dismal-Jellyfish Source: https://www.fdic.gov/news/speeches/2023/spjun2223.html TLDRS: After the 2008 financial crisis, banks were found to be undercapitalized and over-leveraged, leading to a complete overhaul of capital requirements through a set of rules known as Basel III. The aim was to ensure banks held enough capital to weather economic storms. However, Basel III is not yet complete, with …
by Dismal-Jellyfish Source: https://www.federalreserve.gov/newsevents/pressreleases/monetary20230614a.htm Recent indicators suggest that economic activity has continued to expand at a modest pace. Job gains have been robust in recent months, and the unemployment rate has remained low. Inflation remains elevated. The U.S. banking system is sound and resilient. Tighter credit conditions for households and businesses are likely to weigh on …
by Simon Black On August 4, 1964, two US Navy destroyers were conducting intelligence patrols in the Gulf of Tonkin off the coast of Vietnam, when the task force commander grabbed the radio and reported that they were under attack by three North Vietnamese torpedo boats. The news traveled very quickly all the way to …
Usage of the US dollar as a reserve currency is on the decline, per Bloomberg: pic.twitter.com/MDklE702ti — unusual_whales (@unusual_whales) June 8, 2023
https://t.co/J8joLEILkG — Win Smart, CFA (@WinfieldSmart) June 8, 2023 No it isn't. https://t.co/Yz6TjPCYMI pic.twitter.com/ns9EdXBrd1 — Financelot (@FinanceLancelot) June 7, 2023 Treasury Secretary Yellen warns of commercial real estate ‘issues’ that could strain banks (by the time Yellen the Felon notices something is an “issue,” trust me, it’s a full-blown crisis) The Fed fixing the economy …
by confoundedinterest17 Fed inferno! One has to wonder about The Feral Reserve. Since The Great Recession of 2008, The Federal Reserve has printed a staggering amount of money (know as QE). There is still about $8.3 TRILLION in monetary stimulus sloshing around the economy. And M2 Money printing is up 167% since November 2008. So, …
