A hub for independent voices and hard truths
by confoundedinterest17 As Bidenomics (why Biden would brag about massive inflation in energy, food and shelter is beyond me), lurches forward, we have another shred of lousy economic news: US mortgage purchase demand fell -19% from the previous week and …
by confoundedinterest17 I am anxiously waiting for the US inflation report tomorrow, so I am just looking at the US Treasury yield curve, mortgage rates and cryptos today. The US Treasury 10Y-2Y yield curve stumbled (just like Biden and Bidenomics) …
by Glenn Reynolds IT’S A WORLDWIDE PROBLEM: Why China’s Young People Are Not Getting Married. Grace Zhang, a tech worker who had long been ambivalent about marriage, spent two months barricaded in the government lockdown of Shanghai last year. Robbed …
It is indeed a matter of great concern that the top 4 banks are currently facing monumental losses, amounting to a staggering $205 billion, on their bond assets. Moreover, the entire banking system has witnessed an alarming figure of approximately …
by confoundedinterest17 Biden’s massive spending spree (aka, Build Back Better) has a new name: Build Back Bankrupt! According to Epiq, Commercial Chapter 11 Filings Increased 68 Percent in the First Half of 2023. NEW YORK – July 03, 2023 — The 2,973 …
Where have all the babies gone? Australia’s fertility rate is near historic lows and there are signs it will fall further. The baby drought is most noticeable in our biggest cities. In the Melbourne City statistical region the fertility rate …
Automotive Credit Corp, a subprime lender, has begun cutting off select car dealers due to “ongoing concerns regarding adverse market conditions” This is exhausting — Car Dealership Guy (@GuyDealership) July 6, 2023 Serious Auto Loan Delinquency among people under the …
by confoundedinterest17 Joe Biden, or “Blow Biden” after the cocaine was discovered in the White House the other day, owns the abysmal mortgage and housing market thanks to The Fed fighting inflation caused by Bidenomics (massive Federal spending and massive …
From the WSJ: Unrealized losses on bonds and loans held by U.S. banks are expected to have grown in the second quarter, potentially reanimating an issue that made investors nervous earlier this year. Meanwhile, pressure on profits is rising. A …
“Inflation has… pretty much come from nowhere.” -Christine Lagarde European Central Bank President "Inflation has… pretty much come from nowhere." -Christine LagardeEuropean Central Bank President They printed trillions of Euros and had negative interest rates for years. Now they pretend …
by confoundedinterest17 Its the 4th of July, American Independence Day from England, but under Biden and The Federal Reserve, Americans are DEPENDENT on debt and Federal spending. In other words, Americans are addicted to gov. First, Bankrate’s 30-year mortgage rate index …
“The smart people have already paid the tab and gone home The remainder will wake up tomorrow with regrets” Don’t see a Recession? It’s Last Call at the bar The smart people have already paid the tab and gone home …
“Personal savings have plummeted following C19 It’s now at the lowest levels since 2013 WIth credit card debt and interest rates at their highest levels, consumers now face major headwinds” Personal savings have plummeted following C19 It’s now at the …
by UstaTheStockMan He stressed a need for more rate hikes ( Quantitative tightening ) after his one month tactical pause which was done to run bank stress test . He now says there is a need for two more rate …
We are digging into all of the data behind this new report. The unrealized losses seem to go well beyond just bond markets. Let us know if you'd like to see a Twitter thread explaining this situation in full detail. …
My banker just said they are doing tons of home equity loans. It's mostly to pay off the 20% credit cards with 8 to 10% home equity loans. Ask yourself if it's going to actually change the spending habits of …
“The median California home is $100k higher than they were 4 months ago.” Source: https://t.co/05dmw17NEg — Genevieve Roch-Decter, CFA (@GRDecter) June 27, 2023 May new home sales surged +12.2% m/m vs. -1.2% est. & +3.5% prior (revised down from +4.1%)… …
by BoatSurfer600 As rates rise and the economy slows, banks tighten their credit lending standards out of fear of higher loan losses. If the credit to the economy dries up more than anticipated, then the slowdown might accelerate. A credit-starved …
https://kingworldnews.com/peak-cheap-gold-and-a-world-in-chaos/ h/t BoatSurfer600
by Dismal-Jellyfish Norway: https://www.norges-bank.no/en/topics/Monetary-policy/Monetary-policy-meetings/2023/june-2023/ Policy rate raised to 3.75 percent Norges Bank’s Monetary Policy and Financial Stability Committee decided to raise the policy rate by 0.50 percentage point to 3.75 percent. The Committee’s current assessment of the outlook and balance of …
by confoundedinterest17 The good news? Mortgage purchase demand fell only -0.05% from last week. The bad news? Mortgage purchase demand is down -35% since Resident Biden was sworn in. And mortgage refinancing demand is down a whopping -90%. Reason? Mortgage …
The media are full of news about UK mortgage rates going higher. But when we get to the cost of living and inflation they ignore its impact over the past year.CPI 0%CPIH 0%RPI 55.1% Give the RPI the credit for …
I think another miscalculation they’ve made is that shopping is also partially a social activity. Grab some friends, go shopping, make some impulse purchases, have lunch, catch a matinee, and so on, is much more than just “buying stuff”. via …
Three million middle class homeowners are at risk of having their savings wiped out by the recent surge in mortgage costs, a leading think-tank has warned. Analysis from the Institute for Fiscal Studies (IFS) suggests 2.9 middle middle income mortgage …
by confoundedinterest17 Governor Waller cites slow progress on core inflation Richmond Fed chief Barkin says he’s comfortable doing more Two Federal Reserve officials said the central bank may have to raise interest rates further to tame price pressures that in some sectors …
by TheReignOfChaos Raise interest rates so the ‘sensible’ investment decision is to hold cash; why would they invest in assets and risk a market crash when cash is returning 5, 6, 7%? Meanwhile, buy assets as the currency inflates. Finally …
by confoundedinterest17 Biden’s “reign of error” is horrific. The inflation caused by Biden’s policies, The Federal Reserve and insane Federal spending has caused mortgage rates to soar 144% since Biden took office. While The Fed is likely to pause today, …
US cities where the tax rate jumps most between $100,000 and $250,000, per Bloomberg: pic.twitter.com/gQ5DojPsLS — unusual_whales (@unusual_whales) June 8, 2023 In New York and San Francisco, a $250,000 salary has the purchasing power of only about $83,000 after accounting …
US truckers and trucking companies are warning we’re in the middle of a freight recession worse than the 2008 crisis. As retail sales drop, and both manufacturing and import activity continue to slow down due to lower consumer demand in …
Some US banks are preparing to sell off property loans at a discount even when borrowers are up to date on repayments, a sign of their determination to reduce exposure to the teetering commercial real estate market, per FT. — …