Independent thinking for complex markets and current events
The very rapid reversal in #equity postioning suggest the recent rally probably needs to take a pause. pic.twitter.com/0R9SZTp7iw — Lance Roberts (@LanceRoberts) May 19, 2025
This market is running on fumes. There is no solid floor beneath it. No wave of earnings. No surge in demand. No real liquidity. It is all built on guesswork, misplaced optimism, and the fear of missing a rally that never had a base to begin with. The Fed keeps everyone waiting. But waiting for …
BTC/M2 is exhibiting a pattern similar to 2021, indicating the possibility of a rally through August, followed by a significant top. pic.twitter.com/t23WXeJmTv — Guilherme Tavares (@i3_invest) May 2, 2025 S&P 500 may not have bottomed warns Goldman Sachs 🚨🚨 pic.twitter.com/O2ETYoGk5Z — Barchart (@Barchart) May 2, 2025
S&P 500 earnings revisions have hit extremely negative levels pic.twitter.com/6cbNSE4GHa — Markets & Mayhem (@Mayhem4Markets) April 29, 2025 Is this all just a bear market rally? Time will tell. The average bear market rally lasts 44 days and yields a 14.1% return (before new lows are made). pic.twitter.com/pSaXPNSMj4 — Markets & Mayhem (@Mayhem4Markets) April 29, …
It’s hard to get excited about the rally in equities when Dow Transports look like this. 👇🏼 pic.twitter.com/fVnd7juFbL — Kalani o Māui (@MauiBoyMacro) April 25, 2025 🚨US bankruptcies are rising as if there is a CRISIS: 188 US large companies declared bankruptcy in Q1 2025, the most in 15 YEARS. This is up 35% from …
S&P 500 could plunge 33% to 3,700 warns Wolfe Research 🚨🚨🚨 pic.twitter.com/zBbOK715rN — Barchart (@Barchart) April 25, 2025 The S&P 500 could tumble as low as 3700 in a mild recession, according to Wolfe Research: “If uncertainty caused by tariff policy were to push the U.S. economy into recession in 2025, we’d expect $SPX EPS …
Gold just hit another all-time high, silver demand keeps breaking records, and Judy Shelton wants to bring back the gold standard. Some say it’s a rally. Others say it’s only the beginning of a historic trend… Are we ready for the next phase of monetary history? By Peter Reagan Your News to Know rounds up …
Bulls keep agreeing that everyone is bearish so it's contrarian to be bullish. In what can only be described as the biggest circle jerk in market history. Here is the put/call ratio since the Liberation Day shock which occurred on April 2nd. Which was followed by the China shock… pic.twitter.com/ZsFJjjEf4a — Mac10 (@SuburbanDrone) April 13, …
US stocks turned higher on Friday to cap a chaotic week on Wall Street, as investors weighed the latest tariff-related developments in the trade war between the US and China. The S&P 500 (^GSPC) rose 1.8% after seesawing earlier in the session. The tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite (^IXIC) climbed 2.1%. The Dow Jones Industrial Average (^DJI) …
“There are only two outcomes to this trade war. Option 1: China folds. They agree to Trump’s terms, drop the tariffs, and the trade war ends. Trump takes full credit, and the U.S. gains yet another strategic and economic edge over China. Option 2: China, an authoritarian regime with a long track record of playing …
With the global tariffs and the stock market chaos, Jamie Dimon states that a recession is on the horizon, warning that “we will see more credit problems than people have seen in a long time.” pic.twitter.com/HNmc9zZcW2 — Ian Miles Cheong (@ianmiles) April 9, 2025 Let’s just all admit it. The chances of a recession are …
pic.twitter.com/NhmmFyGNtI — Northstar (@NorthstarCharts) March 29, 2025 This is wrong… pic.twitter.com/sShE9waDfA — David Macêdo, PhD (@david_macedo) March 29, 2025 Most non-gold bugs are bullish on Gold but getting it very wrong. Think normie investors and Wall Street types. They think Gold will have a blowoff move to $3500 or $4000 and then they can go …
It's a bear market, ya know. $SPY pic.twitter.com/Pl6avZCdza — Steven Strazza (@sstrazza) March 28, 2025 BofA Fund Manager Survey reports largest drop in US equity allocation on record Time for a sentiment check… 1) Back in early March, the American Association of Individual Investors (AAII) survey showed over 60% of investors were bearish. That’s only …
by David Haggith And we haven’t even BEGUN to get to the bad part where the bottom falls out! Some market pundits said today that the market’s “correction” was nearly over, and the old bull will rise from the street and get back to bellowing again. Given that the market remains more overpriced than at …
Despite a nearly 3% rise and a big green candle, sellers dominated, as shown by the delta. This is an oversold rally & not a data driven one – one of the worst UMich reports on record – stagflationista galore. Technicals were at COVID crash bad and now resetting. pic.twitter.com/5NNqBljqSs — Don Johnson (@DonMiami3) March …
by David Haggith Although the stock market is flying high in another Trump Rally, similar so far to what it did right after his election in 2016, Larry Fink says that where the stock market goes from here is still up to the bond market. That fully supports what I recently wrote about as the …
This scenario isn’t just about market dynamics; it’s a warning sign. With the Fed seemingly powerless over the bond market, and with investments in everything from digital art to unprofitable tech ventures defying gravity, we might be in for a rude awakening, much like the one that followed the 1920s. Im just going to call …
Could President Trump’s Inauguration be a Sell the News Event? Could the stock market rally into Trump’s Inauguration to reach the upper boundary of the channel on the weekly chart to finish the blow-off top? More about that in a moment. The S&P 500 sold off as the Fed lowered expectations for rate cuts in …
‼️SELL SIGNAL FOR STOCKS TRIGGERED‼️ Cash levels* in global investors portfolios fell to 3.9%, triggering a “sell signal”, according to BofA. This is one of the lowest readings in history. It suggests lower returns ahead. *Survey of 171 fund managers with $450 billion assets. pic.twitter.com/4QUA3XbZrG — Global Markets Investor (@GlobalMktObserv) December 19, 2024 Bulls are …
This market better get rolling soon next week or the Santa rally is dead. The markets been terrible this December. Very unusual — QE Infinity (@StealthQE4) December 13, 2024 That’s why I’m not buying. — QE Infinity (@StealthQE4) December 13, 2024
What the elites eventually seem to forget is that if they don’t accept peaceful losses by democratic means, eventually, they may lose in some much worse way. A Coup Against Right Wing Movements Is Underway In Europe. In Germany the establishment is attempting to ban the increasingly successful AfD Party on the grounds that they …
The Dow Jones Industrial Average and S&P 500 rose to new heights on Friday amid a shortened trading day that capped a strong month for equities. The S&P 500 added 0.56% to 6,032.38, while the Nasdaq Composite jumped 0.83% to 19,218.17.The Dow climbed 188.59 points, or 0.42%, to end at 44,910.65. Both the Dow and …
Gold Shines as Tech Stocks Stumble: Four-Day Rally Continues Nvidia’s forecast disappoints investors Bullion up 4% so far this week Fed to cut rates in Dec, smaller reductions in 2025 – poll Nov 21 (Reuters) – Spot gold rose for a fourth consecutive session on Thursday, hitting an over one-week high as safe-haven demand soared …
Anyone who thinks this continues until the end of the year is smoking crack and/or your typical investment advisor. pic.twitter.com/QLqcgJr0tD — Mac10 (@SuburbanDrone) November 20, 2024 Flight to safety intensifies. https://t.co/VKUtt0tWsh pic.twitter.com/Yp57HNCMQg — The Great Martis (@great_martis) November 20, 2024 U.S. momentum peaks; billionaires and banks hoard cash. Bubble burst incoming. 🚨BREAKING NEWS🚨 THE U.S …
The gold reserves of Italy and France have each risen in value by roughly $85bn (£65) over the last two years. Lucky them. The Italians never accepted the “end of history” ideology, the beguiling notion at the end of the Cold War that there were no longer serious enemies and that bullion had become superfluous, …
