Independent thinking for complex markets and current events
ONS projections show England and Wales reaching a turning point in 2026 where deaths are expected to begin exceeding births on a sustained basis for the first time in decades. The projection estimates around 584,000 births versus 588,000 deaths in 2026 to 2027, marking the start of a period where natural population change turns negative. …
The telehealth leader reported a strong start to 2026 tonight, raising its first quarter revenue outlook to a range of $600M to $625M… Adjusted EBITDA margins are holding at 9% as the company successfully scales its subscription model in a high inflation landscape… The stock is seeing a “healthcare hedge” bump in after hours trading, …
JUST IN: Democratic Socialist Nithya Raman, dubbed "the next Mamdani," is now projected to win the LA mayoral election. 60% chance she leads the City of Angels. pic.twitter.com/28tU0saLuH — Polymarket (@Polymarket) April 30, 2026 Nithya Raman, the Democratic Socialist city councilmember often called “the next Mamdani,” is the current favorite to win the Los Angeles …
by Michael A worst-case scenario could be just weeks away. Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz has been essentially paralyzed by the war with Iran, and there is a lot of speculation that the Houthis could soon bring commercial traffic through the Red Sea to a screeching halt. If such a scenario actually materializes, it …
Source: Goldman SachsH/T: @dailychartbook — Barchart (@Barchart) December 16, 2025
Wow. Tax refunds in 2026 are now projected to be the "largest in American history" pic.twitter.com/IWzZ8r4COd — Geiger Capital (@Geiger_Capital) November 26, 2025 Federal tax refunds often represent a family’s single largest check of the year, and next year’s refunds could be even bigger, with the average payment set to increase by about $1,000 per …
If you do the math. Food bank growth it’s exponential. That means by the end of this decade, nearly all of Canadians will be visiting food bank Complete communist state pic.twitter.com/Lm0rbtUhhK — Marc Nixon (@MarcNixon24) October 15, 2025 Poverty and food insecurity in Canada has risen almost 40% over the past two years, placing Canada at a historic …
Banks are always the first to fall. pic.twitter.com/gx7JYpc91Y — Spencer Hakimian (@SpencerHakimian) October 14, 2025 BREAKING 🚨: Japan Japanese Yen forms a Death Cross ☠️ against the U.S. Dollar 📉 pic.twitter.com/TrbyJDNYWG — Barchart (@Barchart) October 13, 2025 JPMORGAN CFO SAYS WE DON'T LIKE BUYING BACK STOCKS AT THE CURRENT LEVELS — *Walter Bloomberg (@DeItaone) October …
The shutdown was originally projected to last 5 days. Now it’s three weeks 🥳 The reason is Trump’s keeping the good stuff going and cutting the bad. So it’s not hurting Republicans — or voters — at all. https://t.co/W5tJ2pJoSv — Peter St Onge, Ph.D. (@profstonge) October 4, 2025 Fed employees always get back pay, so …
Gold and silver are about to explode in value while the dollar slowly crumbles. The elites have been quietly hoarding metals, but soon the masses will realize fiat is collapsing and crypto is just a trap to keep money flowing into U.S. debt. Every other asset will fall as the global debt bubble finally bursts …
The FBI just closed the door on one of the largest crypto Ponzi schemes in recent history. On July 8, federal agents arrested Michael Shannon Sims and Juan Carlos Reynoso for orchestrating a $650 million fraud through a fake investment platform called OmegaPro. The indictment was unsealed in the District of Puerto Rico. Sims was …
Morgan Stanley’s Adam Jonas just introduced the “Global Humanoid Model,” projecting 1 billion humanoid robots and $5 trillion in annual revenue by 2050. They believe the implications for global manufacturing, supply chains, and geopolitics are still under-appreciated. Morgan Stanley sees humanoids eventually eclipsing the global auto industry in size, with final equipment sales reaching nearly …
With rallies drawing tens of thousands and prominent analysts suggesting she has an early edge, Representative Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, a New York Democrat, is emerging as one of her party’s most formidable potential 2028 presidential candidates. The progressive congresswoman from New York has been barnstorming the country alongside progressive Senator Bernie Sanders, a Vermont independent, on …
Whirlpool Corp. has announced it is letting go of 651 workers from its manufacturing facility in Amana, effective June 1, in the largest single Iowa layoff since Tyson Foods last spring shut down its 1,200-worker pork plant in Perry. A statement from Whirlpool blamed the layoffs on reduced consumer demand, primarily refrigeration units. “This is …
Americans are voting with their feet, fleeing Blue state tyranny for better run Red states. Projected 2030 congressional reapportionment: Minnesota -1🔵California -4🔵Wisconsin -1🔵Illinois -1🔵New York -2🔵Pennsylvania -1🔵 Arizona +1🔴Texas +4🔴Florida +4🔴North… pic.twitter.com/NCvMWsw6og — Charlie Kirk (@charliekirk11) March 24, 2025 Red states like Texas, Florida, and North Carolina gaining congressional seats. BREAKING – It’s been revealed …
The collapse of Snow White at the box office has become one of the most disheartening stories in recent Hollywood history. Disney’s once-golden brand now seems to be drowning under the weight of woke culture and mismanagement. The numbers are staggering: just $3.5 million in previews on Thursday, and projections for the opening weekend barely …
China’s population drops by 1.39 million—continuing a troubling trend for the economy. h/t IAmNotAnEconomist
Déjà vu 2008 pic.twitter.com/V6ZMYE5wKF — C invest (@mikael_aune) December 9, 2024 Government jobs keep making NFP look (a bit) stronger than it is. One might say, who cares whether the government or private sector created jobs? A job is a job. However, government jobs mostly don't add new value like private-sector jobs and over the …
BREAKING: New leaks indicate that Kamalas internal polling shows her losing blue states like Virginia and New Hampshire. — aka (@akafaceUS) November 3, 2024 Correct. As of yesterday’s data, D vs R early votes are 602k worse for D than 2020 when Biden only had an 80k margin of victory. That is almost 10% of …
(The Center Square) – As the 2024 election season gears up, a recently-released report predicts nationwide political spending will reach a record high $10.69 billion. The Political Projections Report predicts that California, Pennsylvania, and Arizona will have the highest levels of spending on advertising. The report was released on Monday by advertisement tracking company AdImpact. “This …
Under current fiscal policies, the Debt to GDP ratio in the US is projected to reach 200% within 20 years. Before 2020, the Debt to GDP in the US was approximately 100%, and prior to 2008, it was around 60%. Current estimates indicate that the US will accumulate $50 trillion in total debt by 2033. …
I've never encountered a Haley supporter, online or otherwise. Are they all in New Hampshire? https://t.co/x4k4psnRUQ — Scott Adams (@ScottAdamsSays) December 23, 2023
Consumers are opting for BNPL services despite potential financial risks. This is how you delay a banking collapse by continually extending credit. Yes, and these BNPL offerings are also happening as the personal savings rate has been in a downtrend since May.https://t.co/iytYsrl5X1 — David Sommers (@dgsommersmkts) December 20, 2023
The Chinese Pacific fishing fleet has grown more than 500 per cent to 564,000 vessels. China will account for up to 37 per cent of the global catch by 2030. The Chinese Pacific fishing fleet has grown more than 500 per cent to 564,000 vessels. China will account for up to 37 per cent of …
The U.S. deficit, as reported by The Wall Street Journal, is expanding at a pace twice as rapid as initially projected, primarily due to the previously undisclosed student loan debt. This trajectory points to a 2024 deficit that could surpass last year’s by a staggering $600 billion, representing a 40% surge within a single year. …
4/7 "The overall participation rate is expected to drop to 60.4% in 2032, according to the #Labor Department, mainly because of baby boomer retirements." pic.twitter.com/OBkde7cVKs — Kailash Concepts (@KailashConcepts) October 18, 2023
by DesmondMilesDant Caption: Atlanta Fed Q3 GDP est will update on Aug 1 which will be 3.9% up from 3.5%. Caption: Cleveland Fed suggests August cpi in September to be 3.9% but generally, it comes a % down. What this means is rates are 100% going 6% and then it upto our Jamie Dimon if …
