Independent thinking for complex markets and current events
https://finviz.com/futures.ashx Stock futures bounced on Tuesday in a slight reprieve from the market turmoil sparked by President Donald Trump’s tariff rollout that led to the biggest equity losses since the pandemic. Dow Jones Industrial Average futures rallied 1,243 points, or 3.3%. Futures tied to the S&P 500 were up around 3.1%, while Nasdaq-100 futures also …
The markets got a rude awakening. Investors have been conditioned to expect a soft hand from Washington, one that props up asset prices at all costs. That era is over. Trump’s tariffs have sent futures into freefall, exposing just how fragile the markets have become. The Dow futures crashed more than 1,000 points. The S&P …
https://twitter.com/leadlagreport/status/1906506520457584641 NASDAQ Brace for a tear drop event. pic.twitter.com/dJClQNyT2o — The Great Martis (@great_martis) March 31, 2025 Ladies and gentlemens I present to you Minus 1400. pic.twitter.com/YKiCuF7hw8 — The Great Martis (@great_martis) March 31, 2025 Who’s excited for the stock market tomorrow 🔴 pic.twitter.com/I9W8x6sEHM — Evan (@StockMKTNewz) March 31, 2025 https://twitter.com/leadlagreport/status/1906504583427367252
pic.twitter.com/NhmmFyGNtI — Northstar (@NorthstarCharts) March 29, 2025 This is wrong… pic.twitter.com/sShE9waDfA — David Macêdo, PhD (@david_macedo) March 29, 2025 Most non-gold bugs are bullish on Gold but getting it very wrong. Think normie investors and Wall Street types. They think Gold will have a blowoff move to $3500 or $4000 and then they can go …
President Trump has tapped Elon Musk and his team at the Department of Government Efficiency to investigate Signal Gate, a national security nightmare where a journalist was mistakenly added to a classified Signal chat. This wasn’t just any chat—it involved high-ranking officials discussing military operations in Yemen, including details on weapons and deployment timelines. The …
NEW YORK (AP) — Stocks rose in morning trading Monday as Wall Street tries to navigate through the uncertainty of a trade war. The S&P 500 jumped 1.6%. It is coming off its first winning week after a four-week losing streak. The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 533 points, or 1.3%, as of 11:01 a.m. …
Reality is finally starting to set in for a lot of people who thought they would never have to pay back a lot of the debt taken out during the pandemic, specifically student loan debt. Now student loan borrowers who are more than 90 days Delinquent are seeing their credit scores plummet by as much …
Stock futures were down sharply on Monday on concern about an artificial intelligence stock bubble popping because of the emergence of Chinese startup DeepSeek that possibly made a competitive AI model for a fraction of the cost. Futures tied to the Dow Jones Industrial Average dropped 430 points, or 1%, while S&P futures shed 2.3%. …
by Born_Bag_3244 Not an expert whatsoever, but I feel like all these signs are pretty bad omen. Your thoughts?
⚠️US HOUSEHOLDS STOCK ALLOCATION HIT A NEW RECORD⚠️ Americans' exposure to stocks as a % of financial assets rose to a record 43.4% in Q3 2024. The percentage has DOUBLED over the last 15 years. It has now surpassed the 2000 Dot-Com Bubble levels by 5 percentage points. pic.twitter.com/2cegQ67N3s — Global Markets Investor (@GlobalMktObserv) December …
An all-time high 43% of investors think there is a less than 10% chance of a stock market crash occurring in the next 6 months 🚨 pic.twitter.com/c46U09cdsC — Barchart (@Barchart) December 6, 2024 This is wild: The Euphoriameter, an indicator measuring investor sentiment, hit a record 1.1 points, according to Topdown Charts. This metric uses …
80% OF VOTERS PRIORITIZE CANDIDATES’ POSITION ON ISSUES OVER PERSONAL QUALITIES IN CASTING THEIR VOTE 71% OF VOTERS SAY ELON MUSK’S ENDORSEMENT HAD THE BIGGEST IMPACT ON THE ELECTION NEW YORK and CAMBRIDGE, Mass., Nov. 18, 2024 /PRNewswire/ — Stagwell (NASDAQ: STGW) today released the results of the November Harvard CAPS / Harris poll, a …
S&P 500 2025 earnings and margins are starting to come down. #earnings #sp500 pic.twitter.com/B8YEVDsdpp — Michael J. Kramer (@MichaelMOTTCM) November 1, 2024 Supercore PCE back to 2.9% on a 3-month annualized rate. pic.twitter.com/PTAYPpZgk0 — Michael J. Kramer (@MichaelMOTTCM) October 31, 2024 And the economic mess is 36 basis points away from starting… https://t.co/OhmypgRcn3 pic.twitter.com/KpJkI4dAHD — …
We are 2 Latinos and gay couple who voted 🗳 for Trump 🇺🇸✌️. Also, my mother, father, sister, and my husband's family all of us latinos as well voting for Trump. pic.twitter.com/mykamQqwcR — 🇺🇸🐘✌️ (@orlymj) October 22, 2024
by Mike Shedlock Harris is also down 10 PP with Blacks but is up 5 PP with Whites. This has potential House ramifications. Chart Notes 2024 numbers are from a Berkeley IGS Poll, released October 10, 2024. 2020 numbers are from a 2020 CNN exit poll. In addition to the 21 percentage point drop for Harris …
DAILYMAIL: TRUMP Now WINS In 65.9% Of Simulations The former president has shot out to his biggest lead yet in our DailyMail.com/J.L. Partners election model: It shows that he now wins in 65.9 percent of simulations when the algorithm runs through all possible combinations of data. That is a big jump from Friday when the model was …
I can do “whatever I want” with Bitcoin? I can’t buy food, clothing or pay my mortgage with it. I can’t pay my taxes with it. I can’t use it to invest into Microstrategy (not that I want to). Brokerages don’t take bitcoin. If I want to protect my purchasing power, I am “forced to invest”. …
Harry Enten this morning on CNN. This is why Democrats are freaking out. 'Kamala is doing 6 points worse in polling than Biden in 2020.'pic.twitter.com/v4mIzjWLEI — Citizen Free Press (@CitizenFreePres) October 11, 2024 The Harris collapse has begun. https://t.co/4LILhoSbVf — Scott Adams (@ScottAdamsSays) October 11, 2024
Chances of 50 bps rate cut increase to 47% Bets on the size of the Fed’s cut have been volatile and were roughly even by late Friday. Expectations for a 50 basis point cut jumped to 49% from 28% on Thursday, according to CME’s FedWatch Tool, which showed a 51% probability for a 25 basis …
Vice President Kamala Harris is not leading in a single battleground state, according to a new poll. The survey, conducted by Navigator Research between July 31 and August 8, showed the Democratic presidential nominee and former President Donald Trump are tied in Michigan, North Carolina and Wisconsin, while Harris is behind in Arizona and Pennsylvania. …
I’ve said this many times over the past few days. Trump has said he’s not involved in Project 2025. Why do Democrats keep repeating this lie? It’s because: 1. They have nothing legitimate to campaign on so they campaign on a lie. 2. They have low information followers who… — Think for Yourself (@PhilipBLee) August …
"The Employee Motivation and Commitment Index fell 21 points in August, the largest month-over-month decline in data going back to January 2022 … [but] the index remains above its two-year average of 109."@ADP pic.twitter.com/KukCKTwbir — Daily Chartbook (@dailychartbook) August 21, 2024 The Employee Motivation and Commitment Index is a measure used to gauge how motivated …
by Mike Shedlock I suggest the latter. The market expectation is the former. Let’s discuss the case for a half-point. Image from CME Fedwatch, annotations by Mish. Market Expectation for September There is currently a 43.5 percent chance of a 50 basis point cut in September. The odds were 53.0 percent yesterday and 69.0 percent …
Angry man points out obvious hypocrisy with Paper Straws. “Then I can enjoy my ******* drink” pic.twitter.com/rH47CzG7Rp — Concerned Citizen (@BGatesIsaPyscho) August 7, 2024
🚨 New video from the deadly attack at Trump rally in Butler, Pennsylvania. The shooter actually pointed his rifle at rally attendees at one point. pic.twitter.com/asCvGIoQcX — 𝕿𝖍𝖊 𝕷𝖎𝖔𝖓𝖊𝖘𝖘™️ (@CL4WS_OUT) July 24, 2024 https://twitter.com/_/status/1815933780676444594 New footage has been released showing local Beaver County police officers and a Secret Service agent on the roof with the …
Dave Rubin went on the hunt for a video that shows Kamala Harris’ “brightness.” “I mean she’s been vice president, for God’s sakes; she must be a fairly bright woman, I would imagine,” he says. But of course, Dave is employing sarcasm, as there appears to be no footage that would suggest Vice President Kamala …
Democrats’ enjoyment of the Kamala Harris campaign’s “new car smell” may prove short-lived, as a brand new poll shows the vice president trailing former President Trump by a whopping 11 points among likely voters — matching up even worse than President Biden, who trailed by 10. The Forbes/HarrisX survey was conducted July 19-21 — that’s after the Republican convention …
