Independent thinking for complex markets and current events
Fed better ignore this one off spike or risk the real pain. Do the math. 🧮 Headline: 172K. Leisure & hospitality – World Cup staffing – was 70K of it, vs. a 14K normal pace. Back out just the abnormal ~56K and you’re at ~116K. Back out the whole sector and you’re at ~102K – …
The scary part isn't the 14%. The scary part is the context of 2011 vs today. In 2011, defaults hit 14% because unemployment was at 9%. Today, we are hitting 14% while unemployment is supposedly 'low.' It proves the 'Vibecession' is real: Consumers have jobs, but the jobs don't… pic.twitter.com/gTnf9b9i97 — The Quantified Universe (@TheQuantUni) …
Gas prices slamming $4.55+ nationally with Illinois diesel hitting a insane new record at $6.06 has feeds exploding. Democrats are hammering Trump over the war link and inflation jumping to 3.8%. We’re paying $4.55 for a gallon of gas because Trump started a war with Iran based on a lie – just like the wars …
America is experiencing a cost of living crisis that’s forcing families to make impossible choices between basic necessities. In this video we examine the collapse of economic stability through real stories: SNAP benefits being cut before major holidays, full-time teachers unable to afford living, and workers spending entire paychecks on utilities alone. We explore how …
by Martin Armstrong 🚨BREAKING: United States Military members have been spotted on FOOD BANK lines in anticipation of their checks stopping on October 15. Is this the image Republicans want to project to the world? Trump’s shutdown is a complete embarrassment. pic.twitter.com/2Y1w8UN7lL — CALL TO ACTIVISM (@CalltoActivism) October 11, 2025 Veterans have been forced to …
I own 4 homes and I’m terrified. The real estate market feels like it’s standing on the edge of a cliff. My portfolio consists of 3 rentals and 1 primary. What used to feel like stability…now feels like risk. For decades, knowledge workers have fueled the housing market…the engineers, analysts, consultants, and sales reps buying …
The chart below shows that labor’s share and capacity utilization often move in opposite directions because higher utilization today tends to amplify capital’s pricing power rather than labor’s bargaining leverage. In the late 1990s, utilization pushed above 83% while labor’s share drifted down, as globalization and lean supply chains let businesses capture demand without raising …
Student loans should be like mortgages. You cannot get a loan for $1.5 million to buy a house that is only worth $400k. A college degree is an asset, which should be able to be valued. There should be an “appraisal” of the specific university and academic major before loan approval, and perhaps with annual …
Student loan collections are resuming on May 5th, with wage garnishment and tax refund seizures starting soon after. US Press Secretary Karoline Leavitt said: “The government can and will collect defaulted federal student loan debt by withholding tax refunds, federal pensions, and even their wages.” pic.twitter.com/1gknlNcyvG — unusual_whales (@unusual_whales) April 27, 2025
Kamala gave all their paycheck money to Bouncey, Katie Perry, and Oprah. I'm sure these generous celebrities will return the $$$ to pay these staffers. It's the right thing to do. — LLCoolG🇺🇸 (@LDHITE22) November 10, 2024
Each dollar in your paycheck has lost 17% of its value under Bidenomics, the appetizer for Kamunism. Check out @Heritage new personal inflation calculator to see exactly how much inflation is costing your family budget now! https://t.co/6BGc9O3vOq — Richard A. Stern (@RichAStern) September 11, 2024 Look what’s been quietly creeping up in price all year? …
by confoundedinterest17 Under Bidenomics and Fed monetary “policies”, we now have the wreck of the US middle class. To begin with, America’s paychecks are bigger than 40 years ago, but purchasing power of those larger paychecks is about the sames as it was 40 years ago. Great job Washington DC!!! … NOT!!!! Meanwhile, credit card delinquencies …
More Americans may be struggling to make ends meet. A majority, 65%, say they live paycheck to paycheck, according to CNBC and SurveyMonkey’s recent Your Money International Financial Security Survey, which polled 498 U.S. adults. That’s a slight increase from last year’s results, which found that 58% of Americans considered themselves to be living paycheck …
