Independent thinking for complex markets and current events
History shows (12 out of 12 times since 1947) when unemployment rises, it rises hard and it rises fast. This time will not be different. pic.twitter.com/aTzJEzO9He — Bob Hyneman (@BobhynemanUSA) September 6, 2025
🇺🇦🇷🇺 MASSIVE RUSSIAN STRIKE MAP SHOWS KYIV UNDER FIRE A new battlefield map reveals the intensity of Russia’s overnight assault. Waves of missiles and Shahed drones launched from multiple directions tore through Ukraine’s skies, converging on Kyiv and other major cities… https://t.co/kbZBWCXJ0Y pic.twitter.com/2Q3DCf5V0s — Mario Nawfal (@MarioNawfal) August 28, 2025 🇺🇦🇷🇺 ZELENSKY: WE HAVE AT …
JUST IN 🚨: The odds of a rate cut at this month's FOMC have plummeted overnight from 25% to less than 5% pic.twitter.com/BsgMUCKAQC — Barchart (@Barchart) July 3, 2025 Rate cut expectations pic.twitter.com/GZ01ookcEz — zerohedge (@zerohedge) July 3, 2025
Inflation fears return money flood reignites pressure… 📈 U.S. M2 Money Supply Hits Record $21.9 Trillion in May 2025 The U.S. M2 money supply—comprising cash, checking deposits, and other liquid assets—rose to a record $21.94 trillion (seasonally adjusted) in May 2025, up 4.5% year-over-year. Although below the long-term average… pic.twitter.com/Qb7iuJnj11 — Econovis (@econovisuals) June 30, …
The riots in Los Angeles started on June 6. They weren’t spontaneous. They followed the arrest of a union leader accused of obstructing ICE operations. Within hours, coordinated social media calls went out. Protesters flooded downtown. Some carried signs. Others carried gas masks and earplugs. By nightfall, it turned violent. Over 550 arrests. Nearly 20 …
Senate Republicans released updated text for their sweeping domestic policy bill late Friday, as leadership prepares to start voting as soon as Saturday. Republican leaders viewed releasing the text as a key step for trying to nudge several senators, who have not yet said if they will back the bill, to come off the fence. Republicans don’t …
Meanwhile, in Japan………🇯🇵 pic.twitter.com/8MSA3iIWOX — The Great Martis (@great_martis) June 25, 2025 I’d love to know so badly which financial institution is in such a poor shape they cannot find 21m EUR anywhere else but with the ECB https://t.co/viqhwXStOE — JustDario 🏊♂️ (@DarioCpx) June 25, 2025 ⚠️FED NEWS: DISCOUNT WINDOW • The Federal Reserve has …
ROME DIDN’T FALL – IT BLED OUT IN GOLD, TAXES & DEBT (AND WE’RE NOT IMMUNE) The Roman Empire, once a beacon of power and prosperity, crumbled under the weight of internal mismanagement, with reckless spending and currency devaluation playing pivotal roles in its decline. Rome’s vast empire required an immense military to defend its …
JOE ROGAN: WHAT IF QUANTUM COMPUTING ENDS ENCRYPTION? “What is money essentially right now? It’s all ones and zeros, right? And what is the bottleneck? Well, the bottleneck is encryption, right? So that’s how you protect people from stealing your ones and zeros. But what if it gets to the point where we’re all using …
MSNBC replaced Rachel Maddow with Jen Psaki, bc they were losing so many viewers..and on her debut she lost (53%) more viewers than did Maddow The demise of the Fake news media is glorious to watch The Winning hasn't stopped since Jan 20th, I love it pic.twitter.com/I3YbezmtGr — @Chicago1Ray 🇺🇸 (@Chicago1Ray) May 30, 2025
In April 2025, 56,000 home deals collapsed—making it the second-highest April cancellation rate on record, according to Redfin. That’s 1 in 7 pending home sales gone. What’s driving this sudden spike in cancellations? Economic fear. Sky-high mortgage rates. Sticker shock. And way too much inventory in places like Florida and Texas.
People are on the verge of losing their homes over the egregious property tax increases that many are facing across the United States. In this extreme example in Pompano Beach, Florida, one couple saw their property tax bill go from $15,000 a year to $91,000 a year due to renovations and their property being reassessed. …
Pennsylvania Gov. Josh Shapiro and his family were forced to evacuate the governor’s mansion after an arsonist set it on fire overnight while they were sleeping, he announced. The blaze broke out just hours after the governor posted a picture of his family celebrating the first… pic.twitter.com/p7Bi17w8gt — Melissa Hallman (@dotconnectinga) April 13, 2025 Pennsylvania …
The Nikkei is down over 2%, and an 80-basis-point spike in 2-month T-bills is no accident. That doesn’t just happen for no reason. This is the kind of spike that can only come from someone dumping billions of dollars, fast. Holy no…! https://t.co/FSwPRyh8wu — 문링 (@marrin_trading) March 28, 2025
Overnight Reverse Repo falls ~48% in one day?!? pic.twitter.com/ceRcSFQVm0 — Loren Boston THE FIAT WORLD IS WORRIED (@LorenBoston) February 4, 2025 Falling 49% in one day is unprecedented. It means sources of market liquidity are drying up quickly. When RRP falls to zero, and as the Fed continues to decrease its balance sheet (sell USTs), …
⁉️IS THIS THE MOTHER OF ALL BUBBLES⁉️ Magnificent 7 stocks have skyrocketed ~2900% over the last 10 years. This is more than TWICE than any other past market bubbles shown in the below chart. Will this performance continue in 2025? Remember, bubbles do not burst overnight. pic.twitter.com/zlD0Y1fi6M — Global Markets Investor (@GlobalMktObserv) January 3, 2025 …
FED to inject additional overnight liquidity for the next 4 days… ⬇️ https://t.co/yevigWhCa5 pic.twitter.com/gffxUFgmXE — Chad Steingraber (@ChadSteingraber) December 30, 2024 A key risk for the market is that if repo rates again surge unexpectedly, and dealers aren’t in a position to step in, hedge funds may not have properly factored in that risk, triggering …
With the dust barely settled on the 2024 election in California, the biggest political players in the state are constructing their post-mortems — determining what to make of the mixed results from the Democratic stronghold that saw a deep plunge in voter turnout. The state experienced a muted version of the rightward lurch that swept …
Overnight, the BOJ fueled a global RISK ON rally with their announcement that there will be no further rate hikes while markets are "unstable":https://t.co/nX1iahwa8M For pundits such as Zerohedge who are still asserting that a mere .25% rate hike imploded the global Ponzi… pic.twitter.com/38TOmfe5gR — Mac10 (@SuburbanDrone) August 7, 2024 Back to above 147 per …
https://twitter.com/FinanceLancelot/status/1818953185555268035 "For the JOLTS, response rates are barely above 30%, and numbers answering inflation and employment surveys have also dropped severely."@johnauthers pic.twitter.com/6Zx1QlRcwp — Daily Chartbook (@dailychartbook) August 1, 2024 Much of the head fake improvement in manufacturing in early 2024 was due to a non-cyclical increase in auto production. Meanwhile, the rest of the manufacturing …
On July 11, 2024, a dangerous fire erupted inside a four-story apartment building in Northeast Philadelphia near Cottman Avenue and Roosevelt Boulevard. Flames leapt above the building into the night sky, and the fire quickly grew from a 2nd to a 3rd alarm blaze.
JUST IN 🚨: Secured Overnight Financing Rate jumps to 5.4%, the highest level in history pic.twitter.com/M7i8gcvpTG — Barchart (@Barchart) July 3, 2024 🚨BREAKING **SOFR Surge – July 2, 2024** – **Current Rate**: SOFR jumped to 5.4%, highest EVER •A rise in SOFR typically signals 📉 liquidity in the market • When SOFR 📈, it can …
More than one million United Methodists have quit the church overnight over new rules about homosexuality. During a North Carolina conference in early May, the United Methodist Church – a global denomination of Protestantism based in the US – changed some regulations to allow gay pastors and same-sex marriage. The Ivory Coast division – which …
Opportunity. Community. Security. This is why I would introduce a bold new model of National Service 👇 pic.twitter.com/bNXTLwwBXV — Rishi Sunak (@RishiSunak) May 26, 2024 'Rishi Sunak has lost every single young vote overnight.' Former Labour MP Denis MacShane brand Rishi Sunak's pledge to introduce national service for 18-year-olds as 'potty'. pic.twitter.com/DpDH1tOD5p — GB News (@GBNEWS) …
SPC Upgraded the Moderate Risk Area. Another night-time event. Major metro areas: Indianapolis Louisville Cincinnati Columbus Dayton Toledo Lexington Shoreline South-end of Lake Michigan Stay tuned for updates. https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/day1otlk.html Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1210 AM CDT Tue May 07 2024 Valid 071200Z – 081200Z …THERE IS AN ENHANCED RISK …
Ukraine launched drone attacks on several Russian oil refineries overnight, Russian sources said on Wednesday, despite pushback from Washington urging Kyiv to reel in its strikes on Moscow’s oil infrastructure. Russia’s defense ministry said its air defenses had intercepted two Ukrainian uncrewed aerial vehicles (UAVs) over the Voronezh region bordering northeast Ukraine, another over the …
What is going on in our nation’s waterways? First, it’s the goods and supplies, now it’s the food. BREAKING: A company just spewed so much chemical fertilizer into a river in Red Oak, Iowa and Missouri that it has killed almost 800,000 fish over 60 miles. so far … 🚨🚨🚨 pic.twitter.com/5q6KWZwLCI — Wall Street Mav …
via DAVID JENSEN: On Wednesday January 3, 2024 the Bank of Canada (BoC) restarted its Overnight Repurchase (Repo) operation with an initial injection of $4.85 Billion CAD into the financial system – one or more bank or eligible financial institution lacked sufficient overnight liquidity and was unwilling or unable to sell assets to raise such …
