Independent thinking for complex markets and current events
The U.S. told Iran on Wednesday that it will not agree to Tehran’s demands to change the location and format of talks planned for Friday, two U.S. officials told Axios. Why it matters: The standoff could block the diplomatic path and convince President Trump to opt for military action. Driving the news: The U.S. and …
Here is the source of the vibecesson We have outright deflation in rent, gas, eggs and milk vs last year but blue collar workers are expecting the squeeze to continue… inflation expectations are near 7%! They aren’t thinking about 12m changes and saying problem solved. They… pic.twitter.com/i38oCwNB6P — The Long View (@HayekAndKeynes) January 28, 2026 …
🚨🇮🇷 BREAKING: EXPLOSION REPORTEDLY HEARD AT ONE OF IRAN'S NUCLEAR SITES Reports emerging of a 'major blast' near Iran’s sensitive Parchin nuclear site. It's unknown whether this was an accident, a sabotage, or neither. The reports remain unconfirmed and difficult to verify… https://t.co/3hgEFgSYB1 pic.twitter.com/mV8JUuW6ef — Mario Nawfal (@MarioNawfal) January 27, 2026 🚨 BREAKING: Explosion at …
🚨BREAKING: Trump Says NO MORE ELECTIONS. pic.twitter.com/9aqWF67uNh — Spencer Hakimian (@SpencerHakimian) January 15, 2026 On January 6, 2026, President Trump told House Republicans that Democrats “should cancel the election” due to their policies, but clarified he wasn’t advocating for it, saying media would call him a dictator. This was amid warnings about potential midterm losses …
APMEX is currently listing 2026 American Silver Eagles at around $97–$103 per coin depending on payment method and quantity, which effectively puts them at or above $100 for most buyers. View post on imgur.com According to APMEX’s live listing for the 2026 1 oz American Silver Eagle (BU): Check/Wire: $97.31–$99.31 depending on quantity Credit Card …
With bond yields spiking and crude pessimism at extremes, the market is quietly flashing a warning. SPX:TLT Buy/Sell Indicator: While not as reliable as other indicators, this chart is nonetheless flashing an SPX sell warning right now. The last time the $SPX: $TLT ratio tagged the upper channel resistance rail in April of last year, …
If even half of this is real, the system is being looted in plain sight There is NO WAY that any sane person can look at this “high speed rail viaduct” in California and conclude there was no waste, fraud, or abuse in the $20+ BILLION spent on it $20,000,000,000.00!!!!! The more they get away …
The $16 billion company is pushing more into the transaction side of the real estate industry, which Jeremy Wacksman calls ‘a better business to be in.’ On his Zillow account, Jeremy Wacksman has “favorited” every home he’s ever lived in, just to keep tabs. Among them: a two-story, 2,500-square-foot house with four bedrooms, 2½ bathrooms …
@khamenei_ir , you have been warned 🍕 https://t.co/S6pAdaoQjg — Pentagon Pizza Watch (@pizzintwatch) January 5, 2026
China is building hundreds of missile silos so the US can’t tell which ones actually have nukes. That’s the whole point. It forces America to assume the worst every time. China is readying intercontinental missiles The US Department of War identified fields of missile silos in three remote areas in northern and western China: Hami …
Back in October, foreigners sold a massive $61.2 billion in LT UST assets, the most since April. While that may sound like the “sell America” and Treasury rejection narrative from the summer, it’s actually proof that the Fed’s bank reserves are irrelevant. Remember October? Repo rates soaring. Use of the Fed’s repo facility skyrocketed. Cockroaches …
People say they feel broke and miserable, then swipe the card anyway. That is not confidence, that is muscle memory mixed with denial. Low layoffs and steady paychecks keep the spending alive even while people feel uneasy and stretched. This usually means the slowdown shows up late and hits harder, after everyone already told you …
by Michael It is hard to believe that 2025 is almost done. This year has flown by, and it has been absolutely packed with historic events. Unfortunately, I fully expect 2026 to be even more chaotic. We are facing all sorts of economic challenges, terror attacks are becoming more frequent, and nations all over the globe are preparing …
BOJ rate decision this week.💹 The bond market has decided for the BOJ, which is why it’s most likely they will hike rates and it would be a colossal mistake if they don’t. More importantly, the BOJ is likely to pledge continued gradual rate hikes this week. This could trigger the carry trade unwind and …
When the Fed cuts rates while $SPY is trading near all-time highs (within 1%), the market usually falls sharply 2–3 months later. That aligns closely with our model’s prediction of a serious correction beginning in February 2026. Every time rate cuts begin near market peaks, the aftermath has been very bad. Historically, the pattern is …
#BREAKINGNEWS: San Bernardino County firefighters responding to reports of crash possibly involving F-16 aircraft near China Lake https://t.co/Dh7bmvLASE — ABC7 Eyewitness News (@ABC7) December 3, 2025 Reports of an F-16C Fighting Falcon from the U.S. Air Force Thunderbirds crashed near Trona Airport, south of Death Valley, California. The pilot reportedly ejected safely, suffered minor injuries, …
via AIER’s The Daily Economy: The 2025 Thanksgiving season arrives with an unwelcome development: after last year’s brief and much-needed period of easing in several Thanksgiving staples, prices have begun to tick back up. As of September 2025, the AIER Thanksgiving Cost Index stands at 1904.72, less than half of one percent from its all-time high of 1912.30 (2023). …
Hundreds of airline catering workers blocked the entrance near Los Angeles International Airport on one of the busiest travel days of the year. “The demonstrations took place along Century Boulevard and outside the Los Angeles airport’s pickup and dropoff areas,” Fox 11 reported. “According to union leaders representing the LAX airline catering workers, the demonstration …
$SPY is in danger of forming a Head & Shoulders… A 675 rejection would form the right shoulder After that, a 654 break would give us maximum downside to 480s😬😬 pic.twitter.com/mrOgdFMA62 — ThiccTeddy (@ThiccTeddy) November 24, 2025 GROK: Based on current charts (as of Nov 24, 2025), SPY shows elements of a potential head and …
In anticipation of imminent U.S. airstrikes on Venezuela, 7 European and Latin American airlines announced the suspension of flights to and from Caracas effective today, following an FAA warning of “heightened military activity in the Caribbean region,” prompting carriers to… pic.twitter.com/hqqPmLDQhr — khaled mahmoued (@khaledmahmoued1) November 24, 2025 https://twitter.com/mhmiranusa/status/1993046599291777358 https://twitter.com/MilitaryObs2222/status/1993043873262969108 Multiple unidentified aircraft’s are flying …
Explosion at Key Power Plant Near Moscow Ukrainian drones struck the historic Shatura GRES power station. Footage shows major fires despite Russian claims of interception.Local reports confirm explosions and power outages.#Russia #Ukraine pic.twitter.com/YumBx0Dbsc — Jackie (@jackiek3o) November 23, 2025 💥#Ukrainian drones struck a thermal power plant in the #Moscow region The Shatura State District Power …
Corporate Insiders are dumping near all-time highs 🚨🚨 pic.twitter.com/8BmuyrgkZv — Barchart (@Barchart) November 14, 2025 BREAKING: 655 US large companies have gone bankrupt year-to-date, the highest number in 15 years. This has already surpassed all previous full-year totals since 2011, except for 2024. Since 2022, bankruptcies have risen nearly +100%. This comes as 68 companies …
BREAKING: TOP TRUMP OFFICIALS ARE HIDING INSIDE MILITARY BASES – SOMETHING BIG IS COMING Multiple senior Trump officials have quietly relocated into military housing around Washington, D.C., citing “concerns for their personal safety.” According to The Atlantic: • Stephen Miller and his family reportedly fled their Arlington home after protests – moving into military base …
City mayor Craig Greenberg: “There are multiple injuries and the fire is still burning.” pic.twitter.com/Naft7TROav https://t.co/mbvdUvobP1 — Republicans against Trump (@RpsAgainstTrump) November 5, 2025 LOUISVILLE, Ky. (TNND) — Police and fire crews are responding to a plane crash near Louisville Muhammad Ali International Airport that sent black smoke and flames shooting into the sky. Officials have …
JUST IN: The Trump White House has caught reporters SPYING on Karoline Leavitt, putting their ear to Leavitt’s office door during sensitive conversation with CABINET secretaries. As a result: “We’ve had to chase reporters down who started strolling into restricted areas towards the Oval. Total absence of boundaries.” The press acted like jackals and truly …
https://polymarket.com/event/new-york-city-mayoral-election?tid=1761673595743
Two people, including a 16-year-old boy, are dead and 11 others were injured in a mass shooting at a North Carolina Halloween party that got out of hand, police said. Police were called to the house party at an address in the town of Maxton, about 30 miles southwest of Fayetteville, at approximately 1:15 a.m. …
One person has died and 10 were injured after a “mini tornado” knocked down three construction cranes in the north of Paris on Monday, authorities said. A 23-year-old construction worker died on a building site and 10 others were injured, with four left in critical condition, regional prosecutor Guirec Le Bras said. The head of …
Household savings collapsed from a 32% pandemic peak to near 3%, leaving consumption far more exposed to wages and credit. byu/MonetaryCommentary inEconomyCharts The U.S. personal saving rate hovered around 7% during the 2010-2020 period, as households maintained a steady buffer of disposable income. But the sudden shock of Covid‑19 and accompanying shutdowns sent the rate …
PLANE CRASH. BATH TOWNSHIP MICHIGAN. 3 DEAD. OUTSIDE. LANSING NEAR CLINTON. Police, Fire & Rescue at the scene. BATH TWP. – Three people are dead after a plane crash east of downtown Bath, according to local authorities. A plane crashed the evening of Oct. 16 near the intersection of Clark and Peacock roads, Ryan Fewins-Bliss, …