Conference Board Leading Indicator Records Alarming -7.8% Drop, Echoing Historical Precedents of Economic Downturn Over Six Decades; High Default Rates in Loan and Bond Market Also Signal Sharp Slowdown

The sustained 18-month decline in the Conference Board Leading Indicator is a worrying trend reminiscent of historical economic crises, particularly in 1973-74 and during the Global Financial Crisis. The current -7.8% decrease aligns with significant economic downturns over the past …

READ MORE

Market Shifts Toward Credit Risk From Interest Rate Risk as PPI Takes a Hit; Fitch Foresees Ongoing Struggles for US Regional Banks; Corporate Bankruptcies Surge

As we approach the new year, a shift toward credit risk is expected, replacing interest-rate concerns, according to Mohamed El-Erian. The recent steep drop in October’s Producer Price Index (PPI), the largest since April 2020 during the Covid lockdown, heightens …

READ MORE

The credit market is going to blow up

When the yield on corporate bonds gets close to the yield on treasuries, it can signal that investors are choosing the safer treasuries over corporate bonds. This shift suggests that investors are favoring the lower-risk treasuries, leading to less investment …

READ MORE

Biden’s Mortgage Market! Mortgage Demand (Applications) Increase By 2.5% From Previous Week As Mortgage Purchase Demand Down -20% From Last Year (Refi Demand Down -7% From Last Year While Mortgage Rate Is UP 169% Under Biden)

by confoundedinterest17 US inflation is lower than it was a year ago (cheers from The View CNN and MSNBC cheerleaders), but inflation remains stubborning above The Fed’s 2% target rate and will likely remain above 2% for the nexf few …

READ MORE

The US housing market is at its most unaffordable level in 39 years. Monthly mortgage payments now consume nearly half of the median household income. Do you think the housing market is headed for a crash?

by TonyLiberty The US housing market is at its most unaffordable level in 39 years, with mortgage rates at record highs near 8%. Monthly principal and interest payments on a median-priced home have surpassed $2,500 for the first time since …

READ MORE

The US housing market is facing ongoing challenges.

US housing situation keeps getting worse pic.twitter.com/aTjlWu6cDi — Bravos Research (@bravosresearch) November 2, 2023 https://www.salon.com/2023/11/02/maga-and-christian-nationalism-bigger-to-america-than-hamas-could-ever-be/

An exceptionally sophisticated market disruption could be approaching.

Super advanced fuckery market might come soon.. lower bond yields amid mild economic slowdown and china trying to stimulate the economy. Macro furus in McDonaldzuela — Alessio (@AlessioTMAD) November 1, 2023 https://twitter.com/RJRCapital/status/1719812124522828021 https://twitter.com/texasrunnerDFW/status/1719801829775585724 Blackstone Shareholders Get Mini-Tender Offer From MacKenzie …

READ MORE

The worldwide stock market appears to be in a precarious state.

The collapse of the Dow Jones Transportation Average accelerated today. https://t.co/Lsn8Lg7H49 pic.twitter.com/5pqku3Qdjs — Financelot (@FinanceLancelot) October 26, 2023 Asian financial crisis 2.0? 👀 https://t.co/cMtcHCOXhb — Financelot (@FinanceLancelot) October 26, 2023 What BofA said couldn’t happen, just happened. pic.twitter.com/WTZWlN5CZ9 — Mac10 …

READ MORE

Bidenomics! New Home Sales Exploded In September, As Homebuilders Eat Soaring Mortgage Costs (Highest Mortgage Rate Since 2000 And Still Plenty Of Fiscal Stimulus Distorting The Market)

by confoundedinterest17 Bidenflation, a name for the combination of reckless Federal spending and excess monetary stimulus related to Covid, is still causing severe pain for the middle class. The massive Federal spending splurge is still working its way through the …

READ MORE