Small bank credit card loans 30+ days late reached 7.24%. University of Michigan consumer sentiment is levels last seen during 2008 Financial Crisis and 2011 Debt Crisis

Consumers face challenges. If banks borrow short and lend long, then a large % of their payments dries up, how do they pay back their lenders in full? (they don't) That eventuality is only growing larger: pic.twitter.com/N96oHRwUBG — Joe Consorti (@JoeConsorti) July 13, 2023 University of Michigan consumer sentiment is levels last seen during: – …

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California’s Unemployment Insurance Trust Fund Is Now ‘Structurally Insolvent’ Under Weight of Pandemic Loans

California’s Unemployment Insurance (UI) Trust Fund that pays out state benefits is now “structurally insolvent,” according to a recent report. The Legislative Analyst’s Office noted the debt crisis involving the California Employment Development Department’s (EDD) UI trust fund on July 7. The state report was released following last week’s “May Fund Forecast” report by the …

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The Debt Time Bomb is Ticking: Rising Delinquencies, Soaring Bankruptcies, and the Looming Detonation of Student Loans

by Dismal-Jellyfish Source: https://abi.org/newsroom/press-releases/commercial-chapter-11-filings-increased-68-percent-in-the-first-half-of-2023 The 2,973 total commercial chapter 11 bankruptcies filed during the first six months of 2023 represented a 68 percent increase over the 1,766 filed during the same period in 2022, according to data provided by Epiq Bankruptcy, the leading provider of U.S. bankruptcy filing data. Individual chapter 13 filings increased by …

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Sliding Commercial and Industrial Loans and the Bank Term Funding Program: How the Fed’s Two-Tiered System is Distorting Idiosyncratic Risk in the Market and Setting Us on a Risky Path Towards Moral Hazard.

by Dismal-Jellyfish Reminder, while banks have the liquidity fairy, ‘we’ get the promise of 2 more rate hikes this year, Atlanta Fed President Raphael Bostic yet again enrichens himself inappropriately from his position. What I want to talk about tonight is something new–Commercial and Industrial Loans, All Commercial Banks. What are Commercial and Industrial Loans? Commercial and Industrial …

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Rebound in Rates Puts Pressure on Banks, Holdings of bonds and loans likely fell in value for most lenders in the second quarter

From the WSJ: Unrealized losses on bonds and loans held by U.S. banks are expected to have grown in the second quarter, potentially reanimating an issue that made investors nervous earlier this year. Meanwhile, pressure on profits is rising. A resilient economy and a steadier banking system caused market values for debt to generally fall …

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Interest-Rate Pain: Expiring fixed-rate mortgages cause difficulties, potentially forcing home sales. More Americans are getting auto loans that exceed the worth of their cars

by BoatSurfer600 Borrowers with expiring fixed-rate or tracker mortgages face difficulties, with some saying they will be forced to sell their homes via theguardian For Steven, a media consultant from Guildford, and his wife, the remortgaging nightmare is only beginning. “People like me can’t sleep at night – it’s horrendous,” he says. “The mortgage for …

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More Americans Are Getting Auto Loans That Exceed the Worth of Their Cars

by scott_jr Used car loan-to-value ratios increased to 125 in the first three months of this year from 104 for the same period in 2021 Negative equity, or the amount that debt exceeds a vehicle’s value, has ballooned in recent years, with some consumers stepping into car dealerships $10,000 underwater. Vehicle values are expected to …

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Regional banks trying to unload commercial real estate loans as new crisis looms

via naturalnews: Regional banks are currently scrambling to sell down their commercial real estate loan portfolios to minimize their risk amid fears of more bank runs like those seen late last year. The stress seen in the commercial real estate sector right now is weighing heavily on banks and regulators alike, and it’s regional banks that are …

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Student loans are a large asset for Uncle Sam, accounting for 42.3% of total Federal assets.

Now you know why student loans will never be forgiven. https://www.advisorperspectives.com/dshort/commentaries/2023/06/09/feds-financial-accounts-what-are-uncle-sams-largest-assets https://www.fiscal.treasury.gov/reports-statements/financial-report/balance-sheets.html Then, drilling down on “Note 4.” https://www.fiscal.treasury.gov/files/reports-statements/financial-report/2022/notes-to-the-financial-statements4.pdf h/t PettyWitch

Biden Banks! Regional Banks Scramble To Unload Commercial Real Estate Loans, Fearing New Crisis (Analysts Fear CRE Exposure Could Spark Another Round Of Bank Failures)

by confoundedinterest17 Between work at home, Bidenflation and The Feral Reserve, commercial real estate and regional banks are suffering … and it could get a lot worse. And Joe Biden (aka, Negan) in general. Living in Negan Country! By Kevin Stocklin, Epoch Times The work-from-home trend has been taking its toll on office landlords and is now …

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Millions of Americans underwater on their auto loans

Repo men are going to be busy this summer. via automoblog: Early signs of a negative equity surge in the auto loans sector have begun to emerge in the first quarter of 2023. According to data from Edmunds, the average negative equity value of auto trade-ins was $5,341 in Q4 2022, up 29% from the …

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Sink The Economy! CMBS Storm Unfolds As Delinquent Office Loans Hit Five-Year High (They Call Biden “The Sleeze!”)

by confoundedinterest17 Biden and The Fed are playing their own version of Johnny Horton’s “Sink The Bismarck!” This version is called “Sink The Economy!” The commercial real estate space is experiencing stress following the recent turmoil in the regional bank sector, with the rapid rise in interest rates, tightening lending standards, and structural changes, such as sliding demand …

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In April, consumer credit (AKA consumer DEBT) increased at a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 5.7%. Revolving credit (credit cards) increased at an annual rate of 13.1% , while nonrevolving credit (student loans, personal loans, mortgages) increased at an annual rate of 3.2%.

by Dismal-Jellyfish Source: https://www.federalreserve.gov/releases/g19/current/g19.pdf Remember, From 1st quarter 2022 to 1st quarter 2023, total household debt has increased $1,205 billion to $17.05 trillion (+7.57%)–Mortgage balances ($864 billion), HELOC ($22 billion), Student loans ($14 billion), Auto loans ($93 billion), Credit Card debt ($145 billion), Other ($67 billion): Total household debt has risen by $148 billion, or 0.9 percent, …

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Banks are cutting losses on real estate loans due to higher interest rates, leading to a potential financial crisis. Vacancy rates on office space across the U.S has hit a record +16%.

Some US banks are preparing to sell off property loans at a discount even when borrowers are up to date on repayments, a sign of their determination to reduce exposure to the teetering commercial real estate market, per FT. — unusual_whales (@unusual_whales) June 6, 2023 Good Morning Everyone! Delinquencies spiked in May on mortgage bonds …

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Student loans are going back into repayment

🚨 Mea culpa. (And sneaky sneaky…) The final bill appears to show the date now being pushed back to the original “60 days after June 30…” despite McCarthy’s original proposal being 60 days after signing (today). Regardless, student loans are going back into repayment. 🫣… https://t.co/fzMvDBZfIK pic.twitter.com/n1a02zJdS5 — Neely (@NeelyTamminga) June 3, 2023

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