Independent thinking for complex markets and current events
🚨HISTORIC DECLINE IN TRADING LIQUIDITY Bloomberg reports the two-week drop in the S&P liquidity index is the worst on record since 1996. “That’s pretty surprising given that conditions are nowhere near as bad as they were during the GFC or Covid” OUCH. — Genevieve Roch-Decter, CFA (@GRDecter) August 9, 2024 Wild chart… Equity Liquidity evaporated …
Gold prices refuse to sustain below $2,400/ounce The market is prepping for its next leap higher. Only a general market liquidity-crash can slow the bull down pic.twitter.com/14NTpO2Hvl — Peter Spina ⚒ GoldSeek | SilverSeek (@goldseek) August 8, 2024 Inflation-adjusted US government spending in less than 4 years now exceeds the combined spending of: – World …
The “pain trade” is back… That means for traders it's a good time to consider smaller position sizing, wider stops and much more discerning execution. – Smaller size to reduce total exposure – Wider stops to account for illiquid, volatile trading conditions – Discerning execution to limit overtrading — Markets & Mayhem (@Mayhem4Markets) August 6, …
This is awesome and a must watch. We’ve all been wondering where all of this liquidity is coming from in the markets. Stealth QE was being done somehow. Now we have the answer! It’s all in the Treasury increased t-bill issuance. QE has now been replaced by ATI. pic.twitter.com/BJKVgvkEVM — QE Infinity (@StealthQE4) July 31, …
The #BTFP is currently being drained as banks have to pay back their loans. This is now draining liquidity out of the markets. Here is what it means going forward and why the bank stocks have not fully crashed yet: The Bank Term Funding Program (BTFP) allows banks to borrow… pic.twitter.com/rxD21yDYhJ — The Coastal Journal …
Tech earnings are bracketed by Netflix this Thursday and Apple two weeks later with most of the other mega caps in between, except Nvidia which is off cycle. This earnings period is the lowest liquidity period of the year due to summer volumes and stock buyback blackouts. Here… pic.twitter.com/AfMizxDkxt — Mac10 (@SuburbanDrone) July 15, 2024 …
Yet they are still allowed to do share buybacks and pay dividends with OUR taxpayer dollars. Why this doesn’t infuriate the country I’ll never understand. Just know that this is a giant scam funded by YOU and we do nothing to stop it. Meanwhile most Americans get poorer — QE Infinity (@StealthQE4) July 9, 2024 …
BREAKING: Rosbank’s website is down. Customers can’t login. Multiple Russian banks are preventing clients from logging in because they don’t have liquidity to give clients their money, due to new US sanctions. Is this the start of a Russian bank run? pic.twitter.com/swI1LUv7st — Visegrád 24 (@visegrad24) June 13, 2024 Russian banks limitingTransactions#Russia #Finance #RussianBanks#RubleToDust https://t.co/pyyYDQP9Tu …
The key player in this monetary plumbing operation won't be Powell and the Federal Reserve. But rather Secretary Yellen and the US Treasury department! How? 2/ — Alf (@MacroAlf) April 1, 2024 This excess cash flows into the TGA when the Treasury has issued bills or bonds and ''raised'' money but it hasn't spent it …
The Federal Reserve has significantly reduced its balance sheet. Some analysts predict a market downturn due to the decrease in liquidity, which has been exacerbated by 11 interest rate hikes that typically take 18 months for the market to digest. h/t theSilverVigilante
The International Monetary Fund (IMF) is closely monitoring potential market liquidity risks as countries move to refinance debt issued during the pandemic, warns Gita Gopinath, the IMF’s first Deputy Managing Director. Expressing concern over the already elevated debt levels, Gopinath points out the additional worry of projected fiscal deficits surpassing pre-pandemic levels. This highlights the …
China’s economic woes deepen as the Hang Seng Index plunges 4% in response to another round of disappointing macro data. The persistent question arises: how long until China resorts to injecting substantial liquidity despite its rapidly escalating debt? Concerns grow over the limited list of quality Chinese stocks, given the government’s authority to cease businesses …
by Perry-Rodent This year the US has to roll over 7 trillion USD in bonds and finance an annual deficit of around 2 trillion on top of it. BRICS and Japan are nor going to buy US treasuries anymore. Up to now, US bond auctions did not fail because financial institutions had enough excess reserves …
via DAVID JENSEN: On Wednesday January 3, 2024 the Bank of Canada (BoC) restarted its Overnight Repurchase (Repo) operation with an initial injection of $4.85 Billion CAD into the financial system – one or more bank or eligible financial institution lacked sufficient overnight liquidity and was unwilling or unable to sell assets to raise such …
by confoundedinterest17 California is experiencing a pension inferno! One of the biggest public pension plans in the US plans to borrow tens of billions of dollars to maintain liquidity instead of triggering a fire-sale of its assets. Bloomberg reports the roughly $318 billion California State Teachers’ Retirement System (CalSTRS) plans to borrow $30 billion, or about 10% …
Last time when institutions wanted to buy cheap, the “articles” were all about how the market was about to crash (it soared instead). These market participants all have their own agenda, part of which is to transfer liquidity from retail’s pockets to their own pockets. The stock market could soar as much as 30% next …
by DesmondMilesDant So basically when global CB’s raises rates to fight inflation the yields on bonds started going up. Now if the money was moving from stock market to bond market to chase higher yields then why didn’t the market crashed coz the vol must have gone up. Reason being banks create SP’s that dampens …
Revised GDP at 4.9%, market distrust raises concerns of an imminent asset crisis. 🚨 US 🇺🇸 GDP came out at 4.9%, revised down from 5.2%. How do you justify lowering interest rates to stimulate the economy when the data shows the economy doesn't need stimulating? ⚠️ At the same time, US 10Y Treasury Note yield …
by DesmondMilesDant Vol up, Market up finally turned into Vol up -> Market down. Liquidity is deteriorating faster in India as compared to United States. #volmageddon Meanwhile in China: New day, new low!#China's Shanghai Composite Index down another 1% as markets across the globe rally. pic.twitter.com/l0rPyECOd4 — jeroen blokland (@jsblokland) December 20, 2023
🚨 Breaking: Federal 🖨️💵 💵 The Fed is injecting liquidity into the market through various facilities , raising concerns 📈 BTFP reaches a new record high, signaling heightened worries for banks 🔄 Repo 🖨️💵 on the rise, indicating stress in the financial plumbing. pic.twitter.com/ilmuMZSOpx — The Coastal Journal (@1CoastalJournal) December 15, 2023
by Virtual_Crow The RRP facility is used to take excess liquidity out of the system. Banks have a ton of extra deposits that they would loan out, and if there’s too little demand for loans they’d loan it at less than 5% (for short term loans). The Fed doesn’t want that because loaned deposits multiply …
UBS deposit withdrawal issues cropping up. Letter enclosed. HSBC in the UK also having issues. 🚨AS WARNED 7H AGO, CLEARLY THERE IS SOMETHING WRONG WITH $UBS 🚨 Here the summary of the many ⚠️ I posted so far on $UBS for a more convenient read.. we saw it coming form very far 🤷🏻♂️ ⚠️ #BankingCrisis …
JP Morgan: $1.3T rundown in Reverse Repo has been a massive non-QE liquidity boost The only thing that saved markets pic.twitter.com/br1umuNwAX — Roberto Rios (@peruvian_bull) November 17, 2023 It’s wild to me how much people can ignore Bank failures dwarfing 08/09 Swiss Gov sealing records of Credit Suisse failure for 50 years Commercial Real Estate …
h/t ChampionshipUsed985
via Reuters – Overnight borrowing costs for some Chinese financial institutions jumped to as high as 50% on Tuesday, as a month-end scramble for cash squeezed liquidity and stressed money markets. In addition to seasonal factors, the cash shortage was caused by an upcoming flood of government bond issuance, and traders also pointed to market …
-DXY breaking out towards 107 -10 yield is nibbling at 5% -Futures red and accelerating lower as I type this. -Cypto suflee is crushing down. Dollar Index DXY pic.twitter.com/SdGxqSuhcX — The_Chartist 📈 (@_chartitude) October 26, 2023 Despite the ongoing debates, the current economic cycle has unfolded much more like the 1970s period than the World …
