Banks constrain liquidity, causing tightening as money market funds suck up deposits, provision for credit losses, impacting consumption

Banks are tightening lending standards consistent with levels that have ALWAYS led to a recession Buckle up pic.twitter.com/OjXqe4OpZN — Bravos Research (@bravosresearch) September 4, 2023 https://twitter.com/RJRCapital/status/1698498854453227530 The current yield curve inversion is at the same level as 1928. Let that …

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Liquidity Fairy Alert! Up and up it goes! Bank Term Funding Program usage above $100B for the 13th consecutive week ($107.527B vs $107.386B 8/17). An over reliance on central bank funding that is growing faster than the rate of inflation, BTFP is a moral hazard!

by Dismal-Jellyfish Borrowing from the Bank Term Funding Program hit a NEW all time high–the 13th consecutive week above $100 billion! What we are monitoring: Bank Term Funding Program (BTFP) Discount Window/Primary Credit “Other Credit Extensions” I hope to shed …

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Treasury yields reach highest since 2007; Liquidity issues in Treasuries; Investors demand higher compensation for US government debts and elsewhere.

Treasury Yields Reach Highest Since 2007 Amid Elevated Rate Fears: Rising Real Yields Reflect Firmer Economy and Higher Deficits; 10-Year Yield Surpasses 4.34%, Marking Highest Level Since Financial Crisis The US bond-market selloff resumed Monday, driving 10-year yields to a …

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Liquidity Fairy Alert! Bank Term Funding Program usage UP AGAIN (.4% to $107.242B vs $106.864B 8/9), marking the 11th consecutive week over $100B. This looks more and more like there’s an over-reliance on Fed Funding–growing faster than inflation ‘should be,’ I believe the BTFP is a moral hazard!

by Dismal-Jellyfish Borrowing from the Bank Term Funding Program hit a NEW all time high–the 11th consecutive week above $100 billion! What we are monitoring: Bank Term Funding Program (BTFP) Discount Window/Primary Credit “Other Credit Extensions” I hope to shed …

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Liquidity is flowing out of banks paying piddly .15% interest on accounts, as yield seekers flock into money markets & other higher-yielding financial instruments. Cue worsening liquidity crisis at local and regional banks in 3-2-1…

Assets in money market funds have hit a record $5.5 trillion. With yields above 5%, this trend should continue. pic.twitter.com/gpRrtgBjoL — Charlie Bilello (@charliebilello) August 3, 2023 Bear Stearns Collapse March 16, 2008Lehman Brothers Collapse September 15, 2008 Silicon Valley …

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Federal Reserve Alert! July 2023 Senior Loan Officer Opinion Survey on Bank Lending Practices. Banks plan to further tighten lending standards across all loan types. Why? Expected decline in collateral value, Anticipated decrease in credit quality, Predicted liquidity challenges, & Deposit Outflows.

by Dismal-Jellyfish Table 1 (PDF) | Table 2 (PDF) | Charts (PDF) Wut Mean?: Commercial and Industrial (C&I) Lending: Banks tightened standards for C&I loans to businesses of all sizes. All loan terms for C&I loans, like rate spreads, premiums on riskier loans, credit …

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Well, having liquidity problems?

Bank of England set to incur £150bn loss from bond sales after interest rate rises Higher interest rates will force the Bank of England to make a loss of £150bn from the sale of bonds bought to shore up the UK’s financial …

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Liquidity Crunch Squeezes Margins and Earnings of community banks

by WarrenBuffe Community Banks to Face Margin and Earnings Pressures in 2023 – Rising Rates and Liquidity Crunch Shift the Landscape for US Banks https://www.spglobal.com/marketintelligence/en/news-insights/research/community-banks-margins-earnings-squeezed-by-liquidity-crunch https://www.spglobal.com/marketintelligence/en/news-insights/research/liquidity-pressures-put-funding-in-the-crosshairs-at-community-banks  

Liquidity Fairy Alert! Bank Term Funding Program usage rose this week ($102.927B vs $102.305B on 7/12), marking the 7th straight week over $100B. It’s looking more and more like there’s an over-reliance on Fed Funding. I believe this be a moral hazard.

by Dismal-Jellyfish Borrowing from the Bank Term Funding Program is on the increase again! What we are monitoring: Bank Term Funding Program (BTFP) Discount Window/Primary Credit “Other Credit Extensions” I hope to shed light on the recent uptick in borrowing …

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Pre-FOMC silent period with 96% chance of July rate hike, peak earnings, and lowest liquidity. This impending global asset meltdown and attendant bailout failure is now at level ’11’ biblical risk.

That's the week. We have now entered the pre-FOMC silent period. 96% probability of July rate hike. Peak earnings. Lowest liquidity period of the entire year. Nothing can go wrong now. pic.twitter.com/TEXdXB3q2w — Mac10 (@SuburbanDrone) July 14, 2023 Anyone who …

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Liquidity Fairy Alert! Bank Term Funding Program usage rose this week ($102.305B vs $101.959B on 7/5), marking the 6th straight week over $100B. It’s looking more and more like there’s an over-reliance on Fed Funding. Could this be a moral hazard?

by Dismal-Jellyfish Borrowing from the Bank Term Funding Program is back on the increase! What we are monitoring: Bank Term Funding Program (BTFP) Discount Window/Primary Credit “Other Credit Extensions” I hope to shed light on the recent uptick in borrowing …

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China rapid change of mind! Defend the #RMB!! PBOC has DRAINED >1tn RMB liquidity this past week

#China rapid change of mind! Defend the #RMB!! pic.twitter.com/OYA0cTisHw — CrossBorder Capital/ GLIndexes (@crossbordercap) July 10, 2023 Watch #usd and #yen in coming weeks. Has JPY been 'weaponized'?! @acrossthespread https://t.co/dMly80PxGg — CrossBorder Capital/ GLIndexes (@crossbordercap) July 10, 2023 China's Economy …

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Banks would lose $541 billion in ‘hard landing’ contingency… Most investors believe there will be no recession in 2023… Retail has been wonderful exit liquidity for big players.

Banks would lose $541 billion in ‘hard landing’ contingency: Fed The Federal Reserve said Thursday that banks are well capitalized enough to endure a severe recession but stand to lose $541 billion if the economy heads south. The findings came …

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