Independent thinking for complex markets and current events
People always ignore the warnings when something shiny and new shows up, and AI is the latest shiny object. Just like in 1929, everyone wants a piece of the “next big thing” and convinces themselves it can’t fail, even when the numbers don’t make sense. Trillions are flowing into data centers and tech hype, while …
We’re likely going to see Winter make a big comeback just after Christmas as we approach and head into January. Out long range telloconnections all point towards cold air making its way into the central and eastern states once again, boosting the chance that more of us see snowstorms. Initially, we see a winter storm …
@grok when will this be confirmed — the special one (@the_specialtwi) December 12, 2025 Grok factcheck: The Bank of Japan’s policy meeting on December 18-19, 2025, is expected to confirm a rate hike to 0.75% and signal further increases, potentially to 1.0% by September 2026, based on economist surveys and reports from Reuters and others. …
by Mike Maharrey After barely rising in August, consumer debt grew modestly in September, likely reflecting growing debt stress on American households. The U.S. economy depends on consumers buying stuff. Persistent price inflation forced Americans to blow through their savings and then turn to credit cards to make ends meet. Credit card spending has slowed …
RIP to bears on Monday Any bears still alive ? Asking for a friend 😬 pic.twitter.com/tG0Z0GBRvK — Adam Khoo (@adamkhootrader) October 26, 2025 More details on the US-China “very successful framework”: Bessent says Trump’s threat of 100% tariffs on China is now off the table China expected to resume “substantial” US soybean purchases Beijing to …
Liberals to have another nuclear meltdown in … 4 … 3 … 2 … https://t.co/8FPRO9YKQJ — Catturd ™ (@catturd2) October 24, 2025
Larry Johnson, the former CIA analyst and author at Sonar21.com, tells The Trends Journal that President Donald Trump does not have the cards to end the Ukraine War, and risks losing his key Zionist base if he forces Israel to end its genocide in Gaza. Can there be a peaceful resolution? 01:15 – Tomahawk missiles …
If the shift accelerates, we could see a generation trapped in low-paying, unstable work while wealth concentrates in fewer hands, and social unrest flares where hope disappears. The next decade could make 2008 look like a warm-up, and nobody is ready for the consequences already stacking in plain sight. If you’re trying to compare today’s …
911K Job Growth Revisions Color me not surprised. https://t.co/xWCzOX1Im4 pic.twitter.com/jCjWB3pON3 — Samantha LaDuc (@SamanthaLaDuc) September 9, 2025 Big 50bps cut at the next FOMC meeting is a lock: https://t.co/thO5HFLVos — Sold At The Top (@soldatthetop) September 9, 2025 The US BLS overstated the number of jobs added by ~76,000 PER MONTH. In June, the US …
I honestly can’t believe how clueless the market is. We’re on the edge of a full-blown depression and it’s still acting like it’s 1999. Inflation is gone, the next 12 months will be nothing but deflation. We've been in a recession since 2024, they've just been hiding it. Credit card delinquencies are already as high …
Houses are everywhere, prices stop climbing, buyers rejoice eventually. Insanity. I don’t see how housing doesn’t struggle going forward. Wait until the boomers die off. There will be no one left that can afford to buy. https://t.co/aNWA55mzBY — QE Infinity (@StealthQE4) August 31, 2025 Among all recent grads living at home, the divide between men …
The Integrated Food Security Phase Classification, or IPC, said famine is occurring in Gaza City, home to hundreds of thousands of Palestinians, and that it could spread south to Deir al-Balah and Khan Younis by the end of next month.
The signs are screaming, but most people won’t listen. Bullish sentiment is collapsing even as the S&P 500 climbs, and history shows that kind of divergence precedes catastrophic market corrections. Market Crash Indicator – AAII vs SPX: Declining bullish sentiment of individual investors (AAII) as SPX continues rising to new ATHs has historically coincided with …
Berkshire’s earnings slump sends silent warning to euphoric market. Berkshire Hathaway Q2 operating earnings -3.8% Y/Y, cash pile slips to $344.09B pic.twitter.com/4D6811x5qU — Mike Zaccardi, CFA, CMT 🍖 (@MikeZaccardi) August 2, 2025 BREAKING 🚨: Berkshire Hathaway Buffett might have to cancel his retirement! $BRK.A now underperforming the S&P 500 by 26 percentage points since his …
Today is the day we most likely see blow off top for $SPY. Enjoy the ride while it last! — optionGeek (@StockShark16) July 29, 2025 I know bonds aren’t as fancy as stocks, but the BOJ failing to contain this after intervening twice is quite of a loud warning bell https://t.co/Ut1FNIydIS pic.twitter.com/eG2axuFeU4 — JustDario 🏊♂️ …
Online propaganda campaign pits Americans against each other with rage bait from all sides.
Autism isn’t one condition but four, according to new research that could help children get diagnosed earlier and receive more tailored support. Scientists in the US analysed data from more than 5,000 children and found the disorder falls into four clear types, each with its own set of traits, risks and causes. The findings could …
Bitcoin The cattle is excited over a 3% rise and will likely get more excited with a further 5% increase. Little do they know an 80% drop awaits them. Hope this helps. pic.twitter.com/PjcWJL0Yoa — The Great Martis (@great_martis) July 9, 2025 Microstrategy $MSTR is in for a wild ride. https://t.co/aOmYIOWpdn pic.twitter.com/iCqTh36gZo — Financelot (@FinanceLancelot) July …
Dow faces major resistance at current level… Dow Jones. It makes sense for markets to sell off at current levels.(Major resistance) A 4% sell-off is nearly guaranteed.42,000 will act as major support; below that, it gets ugly. Hope this helps. pic.twitter.com/p09gxmJxXk — The Great Martis (@great_martis) July 5, 2025 $VIX August is seasonally the best …
Carlos Gutierrez, former U.S. Commerce Secretary, says complex negotiations and tough trade demands are delaying deals. He expects reciprocal tariffs soon, but a China deal will likely take longer.
*FED STAFF SAW RECESSION “ALMOST AS LIKELY’ AS MAIN FORECAST *FED MINUTES: TARIFFS MUCH LARGER, BROADER THAN EXPECTED pic.twitter.com/GoXICkMydr — Investing.com (@Investingcom) May 28, 2025 Federal Reserve officials are raising concerns over inflation, tariffs, and the weakening labor market. The latest FOMC minutes reveal growing worries that inflation could remain persistent, forcing difficult tradeoffs between …
Moody's assessment is right. No other major developed economy is under pressure to grow its GDP by nearly 5% simply to service its debt. None. This is a central pillar of the bearish case for the US dollar. FX is a relative game and the urgency for rate cuts in the US is… pic.twitter.com/53XMF3p6f8 — …
It's very likely that the S&P 500 has just reached a short-term TOP. The Put/Call ratio is very contracted, and yesterday's market breadth was very poor. pic.twitter.com/B9ednkA6JU — Guilherme Tavares (@i3_invest) May 15, 2025 ALERT: Bitcoin has just triggered the EXACT signal that preceded the 2014, 2018, and 2022 bear markets Is history about to …
Artificial intelligence industry leaders who have openly stated a willingness to work on the emerging technology with China will testify to Congress on Thursday, likely facing a panel of U.S. senators urging them to instead pivot away from the global adversary. At the Senate hearing put together by Sen. Ted Cruz (R-TX), “Winning the AI …
by confoundedinterest17 The April Jobs report blew away the tariff crash hysteria. 177k jobs were added, far better than the doomsayers predicted. Even better, more jobs went to native-born workers than foreign-born workers. Even better still, Federal jobs decreased (thanks to Doge). The US labor market under the Biden administration “grew” almost entirely on the back of …
President Trump’s tariffs became very real for importers last month as the government collected more than $17.4 billion in “Customs and Certain Excise Taxes” during April. That was nearly double March’s haul of $9.6 billion, dwarfing the smaller spikes in revenue seen during Trump’s first term. All told, the duties have deposited more than $70 …
Some people believe that the tariff disruptions will settle down as more negotiations happen and greater thought is given to how to structure them to work in a sensible way. However, I am now hearing from a large and growing number of people who are having to deal with these issues that it is already …
FiveThirtyEight founder and prominent pollster Nate Silver has a bold take: Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, D-N.Y., is most likely the next Democratic presidential candidate. In a video posted to his “Silver Bulletin” website on Wednesday, Silver and political podcaster Galen Druke came up with draft picks for the Democratic Party’s next presidential nominee and settled on …
This is spot on. They NEVER truly reached restrictive levels and hot money has been allowed to slosh endlessly around the system particularly since COVID. Now Powell will be summarily dismissed in order to install an even greater Dovish lackey. — Sold At The Top (@soldatthetop) April 21, 2025 Central banks are buying.China is buying.Insiders …
