Independent thinking for complex markets and current events
🚨White House press briefing is set for 1PM today — expect tariffs to come up multiple times, and any new developments could move markets. Trump is scheduled to speak at 3:30PM, though he’s typically late, so odds are it gets pushed into after-hours. — TT3 (@TradingThomas3) April 15, 2025
‼️Central banks rate decisions scheduled for the next week: The European Central Bank is expected to cut rates by another 25 basis points down to 2.25% as the economy rapidly slowed. The Bank of Canada is likely to hold at 2.75% unless inflation significantly jumps on Tuesday. pic.twitter.com/XmTNpUBzCZ — Global Markets Investor (@GlobalMktObserv) April 13, …
$ES_F projected to touch near 5284 by tomorrow close.This is likely a dead cat bounce. pic.twitter.com/xKI5Hpvozg — optionGeek (@StockShark16) April 8, 2025 Both $TLT and $GLD sold off today — and that’s a warning sign. ⚠️ Cross-asset correlations are breaking, which often signals instability beneath the surface.Even though $VIX has likely peaked, the next phase …
In a preprint study from the Cleveland Clinic, employees that got the flu shot had a 27% HIGHER chance of contracting the flu. h/t External-Noise-4832
President Trump is completely SILENT: It has now been over 36 hours since the last tariff headline from President Trump. No mention of any potential tariff deals, phone calls, or delays in tariffs. “Reciprocal tariffs” will officially go live at 12:01 AM ET. President Trump… — The Kobeissi Letter (@KobeissiLetter) April 6, 2025 Talk of …
It's a bear market, ya know. $SPY pic.twitter.com/Pl6avZCdza — Steven Strazza (@sstrazza) March 28, 2025 BofA Fund Manager Survey reports largest drop in US equity allocation on record Time for a sentiment check… 1) Back in early March, the American Association of Individual Investors (AAII) survey showed over 60% of investors were bearish. That’s only …
The damage to the economy is becoming undeniable as we face government layoffs, spending cuts, tariffs, and increasingly strained international relations. The Trump administration’s policies have angered some of our closest allies, deported countless individuals, and led to the harassment of international travelers—some even facing imprisonment at the border. The economic fallout is beginning to …
by Truthmqne A contact at the agency just told me bombshell arrests will start to pile in regarding PPP loan fraud in the next 6-12 months. The PPP loans from Covid era are now being heavily investigated in all 50 states in America with heavy attention on New York, Ohio, Florida, Tennessee, Wyoming, Louisiana, Nebraska. …
So FHA is allowing 100% loans where the borrower never has to make a payment, many of which are actually fraudulent investor properties with MUCH higher default rates. pic.twitter.com/50qBesBiiK — Darth Powell (@VladTheInflator) March 13, 2025 Reading this now… you’re right @VladTheInflator – this has been on gigantic government handout that has probably created a …
Being married triples the risk of men becoming obese, research suggests. The chance of piling on the pounds increased for both sexes after marriage, however. Women’s risk of being overweight was 39% higher – and men’s 62% – compared with unmarried couples. But married men were 3.2 times more likely to be classed as technically …
More bad news for Canada. Looks like we’ll have even cheaper US lumber again! US President Donald Trump is ordering the Commerce Department to launch an investigation into the national security harm posed by lumber imports, laying the legal groundwork for new tariffs he’s pledged. Trump is simultaneously signing an executive order, titled “Freeing our …
Bond experts sense slowing momentum, and it’s hard to ignore the warning signs. Something’s shifting beneath the surface. Why are yields falling when the Fed is going to pause on Wednesday at FOMC? What’s the bond market seeing that we aren’t? A recession? 💀 https://t.co/UR5ugAL8IA — QE Infinity (@StealthQE4) January 28, 2025 Those are the …
(NewsNation) — After responding to a 911 call at an apartment complex, seven San Antonio, Texas, seven police officers were wounded in a shooting Wednesday night. The officers were initially responding to a standard call for someone who was committing suicide. When they arrived, a woman outside said that someone inside had begun shooting. The …
Link from Investing.com, Published 01/22/2025, 10:27 PM Updated 01/22/2025, 10:30 PM. The BOJ’s regional branch managers said wage hikes are spreading to companies of all sizes and sectors, meeting a key prerequisite for raising interest rates. As such, the central bank is likely to raise rates to 0.5% on Friday. Has the Yen carry trade already …
Compare to August. On the Monday after the jobs report, stocks gapped down and the VIX exploded. Monday open was the low of the week. Today, the market gapped down amid relative complacency. This morning BTFD bounce could be the high of the week. pic.twitter.com/PnHNYjtIWw — Mac10 (@SuburbanDrone) January 13, 2025 This incipient bear market …
by confoundedinterest17 Time to take a break from the Gavin Newsom/Karen Bass LA fire fiasco. And refocus on the Biden/Harris employment fiasco. After a year of ‘robust’ job growth private payrolls were subsequently revised by nearly 1 MILLION for April 2023 – March 2024. The most recent data points to additional huge revisions in Q2 …
$SPX Chart Update: I can envision maybe a little weakness to begin the week then dip buyers buy up to close the week before the inauguration on the 20th. So we can likely fill that Trump Bump gap around 5,782, maybe slightly overshoot to as low as 5,750 to hit that major support trendline before …
i am saying Fartcoin is worth nothing and will go to zero. fuck you and your memes. PVP draining each other when we should be upliftin' and shit https://t.co/ukYlPn6tqH — Martin Shkreli (@MartinShkreli) January 2, 2025 https://twitter.com/leadlagreport/status/1874888207080554993 Bitcoin Update Head and shoulders depicted. Soon Knees and toes. pic.twitter.com/ZBY4t4yG1a — The Great Martis (@great_martis) January 2, …
President Trump just posted this on Truth Social. The Ukraine war will likely have a ceasefire declared soon after January 20th. Trump will force Zelensky (or his replacement if Zelensky flees into exile) into peace talks. pic.twitter.com/lCwOQvCGtv — Wall Street Mav (@WallStreetMav) December 26, 2024
Corporate bankruptcies and defaults accelerating, unemployment continues to rise, and spreads blow out. Especially, after Powell said “we’ve avoided recession” and S&P Global is expecting the speculative-grade default rate to fall to 3.5% by September 2025. Moody’s pointed out… https://t.co/9tn3htvQQI pic.twitter.com/kPNU1t3OTz — WarnTracker 2.0 (@j77324) December 21, 2024 This is concerning: Non-farm payroll employment in …
1. The thought is the Fed could make homes more affordable by cutting interest rates So far, mortgage rates are doing opposite, and rising instead Why? Because mortgage rates move with the yield on the 10-year Treasury, which has surged this week pic.twitter.com/zk0c3UJi9Y — Michael Burry Stock Tracker ♟ (@burrytracker) December 20, 2024 3. A …
The US Dollar is wiping out currencies worldwide. What a mess. Some type of dislocation is coming. Where and when? Who knows. https://t.co/okZ4Ritxou — QE Infinity (@StealthQE4) December 19, 2024 BREAKING 🚨: Brazil Brazilian Real plunges to its weakest level against the U.S. Dollar in history pic.twitter.com/Pcfv1rpdef — Barchart (@Barchart) December 18, 2024 August 5th …
……..and almost no demand at these prices… pic.twitter.com/uzqEYs3ybc — Saw Chuck (@Saw_Chuck2023) December 18, 2024 Distressed sellers inbound. They keep droping the rates on these townhomes. 2.99% interest rates. I drive by it every day and I don't see cars. They also stopped building at the halfway point. Apartments all around this area with banners, …
We are on the same rate-cut path as 2007. Remember what happened in 2008? — Steven Van Metre – AI 👑 (@MetreSteven) December 18, 2024 https://twitter.com/Logisticsexpert/status/1869522799389454585 Maybe he is finally starting to see the stagflation? — David Sommers (@dgsommersmkts) December 18, 2024 Rates will rise until it collapses the stock market bubble Collapsing stock market …
14 DETAINED IN ARMED AURORA, COLORADO HOME INVASION ARE LIKELY ILLEGAL GANG MEMBERS: POLICE. Police in Aurora, Colorado, say the overnight armed home invasion at a local apartment complex that resulted in 14 suspects being detained was “without question a gang incident.” victimized their own race and their own ethnicity.” Just before 2:30 a.m. on Tuesday, …
I worry about this too. I don’t see how you have another stock market bull run given how overpriced equities are along with how bad the economy is. It’s going to get worse before it gets better. https://t.co/16VaPMt40N — QE Infinity (@StealthQE4) December 4, 2024 🇺🇸 S&P 500 Asset managers are buying US stock futures …
by Mike Shedlock It would take a miracle for Democrats to win the House Image courtesy of Wall Street Journal. House Chart Notes Gains and losses appear to be final numbers not yet established. I added the red squares. Any race with a difference under 1 percentage point in in red squares. The Maryland square …
An older man with a wise observation of what has been going on. It's heartfelt and he's spot on. "Go back to Donald J. Trump"🇺🇸 MSNBC. pic.twitter.com/T5bpq63tjP — floridanow1 (@floridanow1) November 1, 2024
Iran’s Khamenei seriously ill, son likely to be successor as supreme leader – NYT Khamenei has served as Supreme Leader since 1989 since the death of Ruhollah Khomeini, the first to hold the title. Iranian Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei, aged 85, is reportedly seriously ill, with his second oldest son, Mojtaba Khamenei, likely to succeed …
On October 12, 2024, a series of cyberattacks targeted critical Iranian infrastructure, including nuclear facilities, government sectors, fuel distribution, and ports. These attacks have caused major disruptions across multiple sectors. Many believe the cyber assaults could be a form of retaliation by Israel for Iran’s missile strike on October 1. https://english.mathrubhumi.com/news/world/cyber-attack-against-iran-nuclear-facilities-israel-hand-suspected-1.9981117 https://economictimes.indiatimes.com/news/defence/massive-cyberattacks-strike-irans-nuclear-facilities-and-government-agencies-is-israel-behind-it/articleshow/114192558.cms