Independent thinking for complex markets and current events
by confoundedinterest17 Joe Biden said that Republicans will impeach him in the House of Representatives since inflation is coming down. Huh? No Joe, it is because your are the most corrupt President in history, a compulsive liar and your economic policies are pure World Economic Forum mandates (open borders, Central Bank Digital currency, green energy, …
by confoundedinterest17 Commercial real estate (CRE), particularly office space, reminds me of the Arthur Brown tune “Fire!” except that Jerome Powell of The Federal Reserve is the God of Hellfire! While fighting inflation caused by … The Federal Reserve and insane Federal spending (aka, Bidenomics). Call this the Over, Under, Sideways Down economy. The top 1% are doing quite …
by Dismal-Jellyfish https://www.bea.gov/news/2023/personal-income-and-outlays-june-2023 Wut mean?: In June, people earned $69.5 billion more, which is a 0.3% monthly rise–more money earned more money to spend, adding to inflation… Prices of things people bought (PCE price index) went up slightly by 0.2%. Even if we leave out the usually volatile food and energy prices (like the Fed does …
by TrueGritttt Here is how inflation works, and why it doesnt hurt the economy or wall street 1.) Govt spends money it doesnt have. It does this by printing the defecit money, and promising to “pay it back” someday into the economy 2.) the Govt is the Govt and nobody can force them to pay …
by DesmondMilesDant Germany is in Stagflation ( 1973 vs 2023 )
The International Monetary Fund (IMF) has encouraged India to remove restrictions on export of non-basmati rice, saying that the country’s decision would put additional pressure global inflation. The Indian government had banned the export of non-basmati white rice on July 20, in order to enhance domestic supply and stabilise local retail prices during the approaching …
Despite the Biden administration claiming ‘Bidenomics’ has kick-started an economic renaissance and the Conference Board’s Consumer Confidence Index for July rising, cautionary signs from corporations suggest inflation continues to crush the pocketbooks of the working class. The latest warning comes from Coca-Cola’s CEO, who highlighted a trend of consumers becoming more budget-conscious and switching to …
pic.twitter.com/oGs5JsTJ3M — StockCats (@RealStockCats) July 26, 2023 2-years ago… Powell predicted inflation will be "transitory" pic.twitter.com/ipmIKCwu8Y — StockCats (@RealStockCats) July 26, 2023 *FED CANCELS RECESSION FORECAST – POWELL pic.twitter.com/3xmb6ceNFd — Don Johnson (@DonMiami3) July 26, 2023
By Graham Summers, MBA The Fed has raised interest rates from 0.25% to 5.25% in the span of 16 months. And yet…inflation has yet to disappear in any significant fashion. As I noted earlier this week, the ONLY data points in the CPI that are DOWN year over year are energy prices. When you strip …
HSBC's Kettner: The danger is “we're all getting sort of lulled into, ‘Oh yeah, everything's fine…inflation is going to slow itself. One of the concerns that we have is that headline US inflation on our measure is going to reaccelerate” https://t.co/KV5rI02Ruh — Lisa Abramowicz (@lisaabramowicz1) July 26, 2023 #Gasoline, #Jet #Fuel, #Oil are all going …
US consumer confidence is soaring to a two-year high as a robust job market and easing inflation foster renewed optimism. pic.twitter.com/hbr0xT2Agm — Quiver Quantitative (@QuiverQuant) July 25, 2023 https://finance.yahoo.com/news/consumer-confidence-hits-highest-level-in-two-years-155813210.html We shall see how confident many consumers are when student loan payments resume. My bet is that stores valuing low prices will be able to ride …
By Graham Summers, MBA Yesterday, I noted that inflation has very likely bottomed for 2023. No one in the media is discussing this, but the only parts of the inflation data that is actually falling are energy prices. See for yourself. Everything else is still going UP in price, though the pace is slower (this …
via mishtalk: The US Manufacturing PMI improved a bit but remains in contraction as service sector growth weakens. S&P reports US expansion loses momentum as service sector growth slows in July. S&P US Composite PMI™ Key Points Flash US PMI Composite Output Index at 52.0 (June: 53.2). 5-month low. Flash US Services Business Activity Index at …
By Graham Summers, MBA Inflation has very likely bottomed for 2023. The inflation data published in the U.S. is based on year over year comparisons. When the Consumer Price Index (CPI) comes out at 5%, what it’s really stating is that a basket of goods and services costs ~5% more currently than it did a …
2/ Rising bankruptcies coincides with bond yields hitting 4%, a level previously associated with the Silicon Valley Bank collapse and UK pension fund crisis pic.twitter.com/tcC6aBY9UD — Bravos Research (@bravosresearch) July 20, 2023 4/ A Deutsche Bank survey indicates that over half of market professionals anticipate market stress due to higher rates While 20% foresee minimal …
by pman6 People like to focus on YoY inflation compared to previous year, ignoring 2-3 years ago. Things went from relatively stable 2-3% yoy inflation prior to covid, to a quick jump during 2021-2023. So cpi July 2021 was 5% over July 2020, July ’22 was 9% over 2021. July ’23 will be 3% over …
High interest rates continue to cause rapid inflows to money market funds from bank deposits This should put pressure on banks causing them to maintain tight lending standards pic.twitter.com/wzZaFSQKjW — Bravos Research (@bravosresearch) July 19, 2023 Beware: Falling inflation is a major headwind to earnings, since the latter is calculated on a nominal basis pic.twitter.com/6pfHKixGLd …
INFLATION: Re-Accelerating big time here in July pic.twitter.com/YOlL7l8P1V — Keith McCullough (@KeithMcCullough) July 19, 2023 The War Against Inflation Still Has a Long Way To Go Despite recent reports indicating a slowdown in inflation, the battle against soaring prices is far from over, painting a bleak picture for the economy. The consumer price index …
by Michael Inflation is going down! Isn’t that wonderful? When many less educated Americans hear this news, they will think that prices are going down. But that is not true at all. In fact, prices are still going up. They are just going up at a slower rate than they were before. According to the …
by Dismal-Jellyfish Source: https://www.bls.gov/news.release/cpi.nr0.htm All items less food and energy: Inflation and Housing: The overall index for items excluding food and energy increased by 0.2% in June. The cost of housing, represented by the shelter index, rose by 0.4% in June. Rent increased by 0.5%, and owners’ equivalent rent (for homeowners) increased by 0.4%. However, …
by bitkogan Sure, 3% is better than 9%. But given the new record highs in stock indices, it’s still not better enough to expect the Fed to start cutting interest rates anytime soon. Firstly, 3% is still above the Federal Reserve’s long-term target. Secondly, the low (relatively speaking) figures for the general consumer price index …
by Dismal-Jellyfish Remember, CPI tracks the loss of the purchasing power of your dollars, & thereby the purchasing power of your hard earned labor. Source: https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/CUUR0000SA0R#0 Let’s zoom in on this since 2020: CPI tracks the loss of the purchasing power of your dollars, and thereby the purchasing power of your hard earned labor: June …
via YAHOO: Joe Biden’s race to embrace electric vehicles risks overwhelming US charging infrastructure and creating disastrous supply shortages, two of the world’s biggest carmakers have said. Toyota and Vauxhall owner Stellantis accused the President of being “overly optimistic” in his push for a rule that would require two thirds of new vehicle sales …
