indicators

Alarming economic indicators from Germany: Construction PMI hits a new low, factory orders decline, raising concerns about deflationary pressures ahead.

More disturbing news from #Germany. German #Construction #PMI cratered to 36.2 in November, approaching #COVID lows. https://t.co/rwnjssSGh5 pic.twitter.com/Xr82qi8J7y — jeroen blokland (@jsblokland) December 6, 2023 🇩🇪 The HCOB Germany Construction PMI 36.2 Lowest since April 2020!Excluding pandemic, lowest ever! Chart: https://t.co/ow763W0Jf1 #recession pic.twitter.com/8p3Nvnt1e9 — Alex Joosten (@joosteninvestor) December 6, 2023

Economic Slowdown Looms: Companies Expected to Cut Back as Indicators Signal Decline, JPMorgan Forecasts Challenges Ahead

As economic indicators signal a slowdown and companies prepare to cut back amid diminishing business activity, the prospect of a similar raise to the previous year dims for many workers. With the CFNAI pointing to a slowdown in economic growth in October and JPMorgan forecasting declines in key economic metrics, the landscape suggests a cautious …

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Unprecedented Freight Recession Triggers Wave of Bankruptcies and Layoffs as Economic Indicators Signal Deepening Crisis

In the midst of a severe recession in the freight market, marked by an oversupply of trucks and a scarcity of freight, the logistics industry faces a wave of bankruptcies, closures, and layoffs, with notable companies like Yellow Corp. and Convoy being casualties. This downturn, contrary to some analysts’ expectations, is not a mere reversion …

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Recession Warnings Intensify Amid Multiple Foreboding Indicators

Is the current economic situation indicating that we’re experiencing a recession at this moment? The harrowing sequence of consecutive declines in the Conference Board Leading Economic Indicators stands at an alarming 18, suggesting an ominous trajectory for the economy. Disturbingly, nearly half of recent homeowners reveal struggles in meeting mortgage obligations, attributing this challenge to …

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A recession is still likely — Many indicators are signaling that the US is at an increased risk of entering a recession, with the following indicators worsening from the prior quarter

by TonyLiberty 1) Worsening job sentiment indicators suggest that employees are growing more pessimistic about the economy, the labor market, and their ability to find a job. • If job sentiment is weakening, it implies consumers will pull back on discretionary purchases. This can negatively impact GDP growth as spending slows. It also signals potential …

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The +4.9% GDP growth, amidst worrying economic indicators, prompts a critical inquiry into its underlying source.

The apparent contradiction of +4.9% GDP growth amid concerning economic indicators raises questions about the true source of this growth. Notably, spiking continuing claims in unemployment and the drop in UPS shares, driven by decreased package demand and a collapse in U.S. demand for cardboard boxes, underscore the uncertainty surrounding the reported economic expansion. With …

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The US labor market is facing challenges, with job openings falling off a cliff, a trend that has only occurred three times since 2000. Leading economic indicators strongly point to a recession.

Yep this is one of the many metrics falling down in the labor market pic.twitter.com/fzMC6yWFGE — RecessionALERT (@RecessionAlert) October 12, 2023 Warning: The probability of a recession in 2024 is now over 60% This level has been seen only 2 times since 1960 Both times, it ended in severe economic downturns While the Fed still …

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Earnings being revised upwards despite leading economic indicators contracting; US deficit spending as a percentage of GDP is at its highest point outside of war or recession since 1960

Analysts are repeating the same mistake made during the 2008 Financial Crisis by revising earnings upwards despite a contraction in leading economic indicators, raising major warning signals. The US is experiencing deficit spending near 10% of GDP, reaching levels last seen in 2008, yet the Fed maintains that there is no recession in sight, leading …

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Bear markets often have strong opens and weak closes, as seen last week; Leading economic indicators point to a rapidly deteriorating economy

I will reserve judgement on today's strong open until we see the close. Because that's what happens in bear markets – strong opens, weak closes. What we saw all last week. But really, what could go wrong? pic.twitter.com/PnEtb0MYXR — Mac10 (@SuburbanDrone) August 7, 2023 Big divergence between S&P 500 industrials and leading economic indicators The …

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Corporate bonds yield 0.12% above Fed Funds rate, the lowest level since 2007, and several indicators suggest a severe recession.

Otavio (Tavi) Costa: “Corporate bonds now yield only 0.12% above the Fed Funds rate. The lowest level since 2007, preceding the Global Financial Crisis. Every time credit spreads were at historically suppressed levels, a hard-landing scenario followed. Perhaps this time is indeed different, but I would rather base my perspective on numerous indicators pointing towards …

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Institutions to dump tech stocks in second half after best first half in 40 years. Hedge funds shift to bearish dollar bet, flipping 20,091 contracts to short

Retail gamblers are trapped. After the best first half for Tech stocks in 40 years, institutions are dumping Tech stocks in the second half.https://t.co/It9OGJH69b Retail gamblers are trapped. pic.twitter.com/9ApQOQSKeP — Mac10 (@SuburbanDrone) July 10, 2023 Microsoft has been the most consistently dominant company of the past two decades. pic.twitter.com/7FiBWGSeS5 — Mac10 (@SuburbanDrone) July 10, 2023 …

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Leading economic indicators point to a worsening economy; Economy relies on credit; expensive credit impacts.

Despite the markets moving higher, leading economic indicators point to a worsening economy Current levels are comparable to those seen during: – Dot Com bubble– Financial Crisis– C-19 pic.twitter.com/puopTVKU12 — Bravos Research (@bravosresearch) July 10, 2023 An economy that runs on credit is about to find out what happens when credit is expensive https://t.co/Y9H8W1Nqxk — …

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Jun JobsReport lackluster, recession indicators, low payrolls, 3.6% unemployment rate. Increased part-time job demand due to economic conditions.

452k additional part-time jobs from economic reasons:“partially reflecting an increase in the number of persons whose hours were cut due to slack work or business conditions…"More people are trying to get full-time jobs at same time businesses are cutting them… — E.J. Antoni, Ph.D. (@RealEJAntoni) July 7, 2023 Revisions for Apr and May were negative …

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Stock market surge deviates from reality; fund managers buy overvalued stocks to catch up. Economic indicators diverge, earnings revised upwards, similar to 2008 financial crisis.

Recent stock market surge deviates from reality, with fund managers buying overvalued stocks to catch up, pushing the market higher. https://twitter.com/MFHoz/status/1674879653008359424 Look at NAIIM, they are fully invested now. — The Macro Pulse (@TheMacroPulse) June 30, 2023 Nine months down, and nine months up. And what a load of bull shit we've had to suffer …

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Fear & Greed Indicators Signal Extreme Greed Across Market Momentum, Stock Price Strength, and More

  7 Fear & Greed Indicators:* Market Momentum (Extreme Greed)* Stock Price Strength (Extreme Greed)* Stock Price Breadth (Extreme Greed)* Put & Call Options (Extreme Greed)* Market Volatility (Neutral)* Safe Haven Demand (Extreme Greed)* Junk Bond Demand (Greed) https://t.co/AR5REZUTVo pic.twitter.com/3C8MbfJiQI — Barchart (@Barchart) June 21, 2023 For the first time, (1) the S&P 500 earnings …

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