index

Richmond Fed Manufacturing Index 6-month outlook for new orders -26. Economic output hits 16-month low in April. Goldman Sachs says to brace for a bigger stock drawdown, wider credit spreads and recession

🇺🇸 Richmond Fed Manufacturing Index 6-month outlook for new orders -26. An all-time record low! Chart: @zerohedge pic.twitter.com/wmKOQNUzGZ — Alex Joosten (@joosteninvestor) April 23, 2025 Goldman Sachs, $GS, says to brace for a bigger stock drawdown, wider credit spreads and recession — unusual_whales (@unusual_whales) April 23, 2025 JPMORGAN: MIGRATION CONCERNS HURTING U.S. TOURISM This is …

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Leading index sinks again pointing to worsening economic conditions. Americans considering filing for bankruptcy hits highest level since pandemic

The Conference Board Leading Economic Index (LEI) for the US declined by 0.7% in March 2025 to 100.5, after a decline of 0.2% in February. 👇🏼 pic.twitter.com/QaFvkXJliE — Kalani o Māui (@MauiBoyMacro) April 21, 2025 Americans considering filing for bankruptcy hits highest level since pandemic… Bankruptcy filings are on the rise in 2025. This year, …

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We’re on the verge of entering negative territory in the 10-year rolling performance of the DXY index.

There goes the euro again. I can't stress this enough: The US dollar is at a critical turning point, in my view. We're on the verge of entering negative territory in the 10-year rolling performance of the DXY index. pic.twitter.com/uBcv9cePPQ — Otavio (Tavi) Costa (@TaviCosta) April 16, 2025 Welcome to the era of gold. The …

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The Trade Policy Uncertainty Index is out for March

Credit to this site for the graph: https://www.policyuncertainty.com/index.html 2/ The US stock market has staged a sharp rally off recent lows This comes immediately after some of the most oversold conditions seen since 2020 Given that level of selling pressure, a relief rally was almost inevitable pic.twitter.com/SecPiDFPuY — Bravos Research (@bravosresearch) March 31, 2025 4/ …

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The Wells Fargo Housing Market Index Declines Again in March, Dismal Traffic

by Mike Shedlock Homebuilder confidence is lowest level in seven months. The NAHB/Wells Fargo Housing Market Index (HMI) dropped again in march. NAHB Key Findings March 2025 Current sales conditions fell three points to 43. Sales expectations in the next six months held steady at 47. Traffic of prospective buyers dropped five points to 24. 29% of …

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Corporate bond spreads surge, financial distress signals flash red. Recession fears mount as trucking index slides.

Markets are hanging by a thread, and most don’t see it coming. High-yield corporate bond spreads just spiked 60 basis points in a month—hitting a six-month high. Investment-grade spreads aren’t far behind, climbing to their highest level since September. These are stress fractures in the system, warning signs that something is breaking. 🚨WARNING🚨 S&P500 2008 …

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Mortgage Applications Increased 11.2 Percent From Last Week (Purchase Index Increased 8 Percent)

by confoundedinterest17 The US economy is gradually recovering from Bidenomics (government/donor dictated spending). Mortgage applications increased 11.2 percent from one week earlier, according to data from the Mortgage Bankers Association’s (MBA) Weekly Mortgage Applications Survey for the week ending March 7, 2025. The Market Composite Index, a measure of mortgage loan application volume, increased 11.2 …

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Surprise … NOT! Biden’s Failed Policies Resulted In Citi’s Economic Surprise Index Falling To -7.80 In February

by confoundedinterest17 In appreciation of German conservatives winning in their recent election, Citi’s economic surprise index fell to -7.80 in February. This is the remnant of Biden/Democrats horrible economic policies and fear of Trump’s tariff policies. Gold, Bitcoin and the S&P 500 are doing quite well on the prospects for growth in the US under …

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The Green Slime Effect! House Price Index Up 3.8% YoY In November As Fed Funds Rates Remain High (Fed Balance Sheet Remains Elevated)

by confoundedinterest17 One reason that US home prices remain high (and unaffordable for many) is The Federal Reserve (aka, The Green Slime). Former Fed Chair (and Biden’s Treasury Secretary is no Luciana Paluzzi, the Italian beauty from the James Bond film Thunderball. Yellen is just a far-left economic hack. Look at the Case-Shiller national home price index …

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The New Tenant Rent Index, which leads CPI Rent, declined sharply in Q4.

The New Tenant Rent Index, which leads CPI Rent, declined sharply in Q4. pic.twitter.com/tx68aJFd8c — Augur Infinity (@AugurInfinity) January 22, 2025 Powell has mentioned the Cleveland Fed "New" rents vs. that of "All" rents, knowing that New will lead the All. New rents just came in at -2.43%. pic.twitter.com/1sQf9eCaiQ — Randy Woodward (@TheBondFreak) January 22, …

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CBOE Volatility Index $VIX drops to lowest level this year

CBOE Volatility Index $VIX drops to lowest level this year 🚨 pic.twitter.com/4vQP04S7r9 — Barchart (@Barchart) January 22, 2025 The CBOE Volatility Index (VIX) has plummeted to a startling 15.06 on January 21, 2025, marking its lowest level this year. This drastic drop in the market’s “fear gauge” suggests a troubling complacency among investors, who appear …

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The markets are clearly set for a massive downside crash. The Fed can’t save you without fueling inflation. The sync movements of yields, the dollar index, and gold are a harbinger of a financial catastrophe.

Its never been more obvious the markets are setting up for an epic downside crash. I know you have been spoiled on the “up-only” markets, but the FED cannot save you without causing massive inflation. They have to let equity markets fall. Its coming, its obvious. Its never been more obvious the markets are setting …

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Central banks pulled liquidity, and Apollo sees a 40% chance of rate hikes next year. Commodity prices are surging, with the CRB Index hitting its highest level in 14 years

Central banks have just engineered the worst crisis we've ever seen and now it's ready to go. By pulling the liquidity rug away they've set the stage for another crisis, all that's needed is the trigger/narrative. https://t.co/2RhyVZhH5c pic.twitter.com/tas2TgrN22 — Financelot (@FinanceLancelot) January 6, 2025 There goes the 10 year yield, climbing its way into the …

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Inflation 2.0 reignited. Yields, dollar index, and gold all rise. SPY The trap has been set.

Inflation 2.0 reignited. Breaks 77 and holds yields explode. pic.twitter.com/M5wyYmdqP0 — The Great Martis (@great_martis) January 5, 2025 The US 30Yr minus the 3-month Spread is on the verge of a big move higher if it can clear 55 bps. pic.twitter.com/6jFk08m6yi — Michael J. Kramer (@MichaelMOTTCM) January 6, 2025 Strong U.S. Data Could Propel 10- …

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Classic Wall Street — Since Goldman upgraded China to a “BUY,” $BABA has dropped 28% and the Hang Seng index has fallen 18%.

Since the day Goldman upgraded China to BUY:$BABA down -28%Hang Seng index down -18%“BUY EVERYTHING!” Tepper in hiding Great job. Truly. Chef’s kiss. 👏 👏 👏 pic.twitter.com/hE8l1vMfHg — Wasteland Capital (@ecommerceshares) November 26, 2024 BREAKING 🚨: China Chinese ETFs on track for largest monthly outflow in history pic.twitter.com/zobT1JFGNi — Barchart (@Barchart) November 27, 2024  

Core Consumer Prices Rise For 53rd Straight Month, Hit New Record High (Shelter Index Increased 4.9 Percent YoY)

by confoundedinterest17   There is one way out of the inflation trap. And it’s drill, baby, drill! For the 53rd straight month, core consumer prices rose on a MoM basis in October with the YoY pace re-accelerating to +3.33%. The shelter index increased 4.9 percent over the last year, accounting for over 65 percent of the total 12-month increase …

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ISM manufacturing index hits 15-month low, revealing deepening employment issues and production cuts.

Lost in the payroll mess, the ISM (manu) dropped to fifteen-month low not far off it. Worst part of it is how employment has dropped off during the summer, more evidence aligning with payrolls, hiring, layoffs, nominal incomes, etc. Firms have been cutting back production, trimming hours, reducing headcounts, and backlogs are still declining at …

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House Prices Still On Fire! Case-Shiller National Home Price Index Grows At 4.2% YoY

by confoundedinterest17 Biden/Harris started the fire! And the house market is still burning. S&P/Case-Shiller released the monthly Home Price Indices for August (“August” is a 3-month average of June, July and August closing prices). August closing prices include some contracts signed in April, so there is a significant lag to this data. Here is a graph of the …

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Running On Empty? Chicago Fed National Activity Index Stumbles To -0.28 In September From -0.01 In August

by confoundedinterest17 Jackson Browne appartently knew that the Biden/Harris economic recovery would run out of gas as soon as Federal spending started to slow down. The US economy is running on empty. Evidence? The Chicago Fed National Activity Index (CFNAI) decreased to –0.28 in September from –0.01 in August. Two of the four broad categories of indicators used …

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Mortgage Purchase Index Decreased 5 Percent From Previous Week (I’ll Feel A Whole Lot Better If Harris Loses)

by confoundedinterest17 I’ll feel a whole lot better … when Kamala Harris is gone. Mortgage applications decreased 6.7 percent from one week earlier, according to data from the Mortgage Bankers Association’s (MBA) Weekly Applications Survey for the week ending October 18, 2024. The Market Composite Index, a measure of mortgage loan application volume, decreased 6.7 percent …

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Changeling! Leading Economic Index For US Declines AGAIN By 0.5% In September (Down -2.6% Over 6 Months)

by confoundedinterest17 SF Woman. That is my name for Kamala Harris, the ultimate political changeling, taking full credit for the economy, then trying to distance herself from Biden. As the US economy continues to contract. The Conference Board Leading Economic Index® (LEI) for the US declined by 0.5% in September 2024 to 99.7 (2016=100), following a 0.3% …

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The Empire Strikes Out! Empire Manufacturing Index Crashed From +11.5 to -11.9, Lowest Since May (Yield Curve Remains Downward/Upward Sloping)

by confoundedinterest17 Perhaps Harris/Walz should adopt the Imperial March from Star Wars as their theme song. Between Biden/Harris uncontrolled immigration disaster helping to destroy New York City, Harris’ statement that she won’t do anything differntly from Biden/Harris is alarming. The NY Empire survey crashed from +11.5 to -11.9 – the lowest since May. That is the biggest MoM drop …

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Hong Kong’s Hang Seng index crashes to worst day since 2008

Crazy and volatile day in Chinese stocks. Hong Kong indexes fell 9-13%. Mainland Chinese indexes rallied 5-17% after being shut for a week. Both Mainland China & Hong Kong saw record turnover. Full summary https://t.co/Gg1GTkmcZH pic.twitter.com/RWdRJ32MW1 — David Ingles (@DavidInglesTV) October 8, 2024 JUST IN 🚨: Hang Seng Index falls by 9.41%, its largest loss …

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Kansas City Fed’s Manufacturing Index nosedives. Business confidence hits 11-month low, worsening economic slowdown.

September ⁦@KansasCityFed⁩ Manufacturing Index down to -8 vs. -5 est. & -3 prior … new orders slipped to -14 (-12 prior); workweek declined to -15 (-10 prior); production fell to -18 (+6 prior) … employment fell to -11 (-7 prior), taking out improvement in August pic.twitter.com/x0q2QUV1Y3 — Liz Ann Sonders (@LizAnnSonders) September 26, 2024 "There …

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US NFIB Business Optimism Index at 91.2, signals deep recession concerns; FedEx CEO highlights economic weakness.

FedEx CEO says “The magnitude of the Fed rate cuts . . . signals the weakness of the current environment,” as priority shipments between businesses, a bell-weather of the economy, dropped FedEx reported a steep quarterly profit drop and lowered its full-year revenue forecast on Thursday after its customers continued to trade down from speedy, …

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