Can the Housing Market Really Stabilize?

by Clean_Army_4675 It is my belief that home prices can only really rise or fall. I do not think stability is possible because in the US housing is seen as an investment as opposed to a commodity. A large amount of the demand for homes that exists is people trying …

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Housing: The Foundations of the Middle Class Are Crumbling

Authored by Charles Hugh-Smith via oftwominds, Bottom line: with the loss of predictability, we’ve also lost any sense of future financial security. Home ownership has been the foundation of middle-class stability and security for so long that it defines middle-class status as much as income. From the end of World War …

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House Latitudes? Mortgage Applications Down -6.6% Since Last Week, Housing Starts Down -9.8% Since December (Riders On The Storm)

by confoundedinterest17 I call this the house latitudes. Horse latitudes is a belt of calm air and sea occurring in both the northern and southern hemispheres between the trade winds and the westerlies. And when the ships motion stalled, the crews would jetison their cargo of horses to the delight of sharks! So, we are …

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Delistings spike in housing market.

Demand meet supply. https://t.co/9ISi7E3g6B pic.twitter.com/RbuyDgeXVA — Mr.Awsumb (@MrAwsumb) February 14, 2025 via WSJ: An uptick in December delistings is the latest sign of dysfunction in America’s housing market. Nearly 73,000 homes were pulled from sale after they failed to find a buyer in the final month of last year, data …

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The Fed’s intervention in the housing market is one of the biggest overlooked stories.

The Fed’s sustained purchase of mortgage-backed securities post-crisis isn’t just an oversight; it’s a massive market distortion. For years, they created artificial demand that kept mortgage rates unnaturally low, making homeownership seem more accessible while inflating home prices. The truth is, we’ve been living in a housing bubble held together …

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Mortgage Crisis Looms in Canada: Arrears Rates Surge by 50%, and It’s Just the Beginning. Even Earning $100K+ Are Drowning in Housing Costs.

1/ Mortgage Meltdown Incoming? The share of 🇨🇦 mortgages in arrears (90+ days overdue) has jumped 50% since hitting historic lows. The latest rate of 0.21% might seem small, but here’s why it’s a ticking time bomb for the housing market. pic.twitter.com/ZPhxPWHTQF — Shazi (@ShaziGoalie) January 4, 2025 3/ For …

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Riders On The Storm! Buying Conditions For Housing Rises To 39, But Remains In The Doldrums (Home Prices UP 35.4% Under Biden, Mortgage Rates UP 148%)

by confoundedinterest17 We are all riders on the Biden housing storm. Existing-home sales have finally started to improve on a seasonally adjusted basis after a three-year decline. Cause? Raging home prices combined with higher than normal mortgage rates. Home prices are up 35.4% under Biden while conforming 30Y mortgage rates are …

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Soft landing? US Capacity Utilization is declining – currently at 76.8%. Housing prices aren’t falling but the infrastructure of the industry is being obliterated.

Tell me again about that “Soft Landing” – how the Economy is getting stronger…. US Capacity Utilization is declining – currently at 76.8%. So… why would businesses be hiring people with this capacity utilization? Tell me again about that "Soft Landing" – how the Economy is getting stronger…. US Capacity …

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The housing bubble has definitely popped in the South and Mountain West. Midwest and Northeast likely a slower unwind. The institutionals are trying to quietly offload properties.

……..and almost no demand at these prices… pic.twitter.com/uzqEYs3ybc — Saw Chuck (@Saw_Chuck2023) December 18, 2024 Distressed sellers inbound. They keep droping the rates on these townhomes. 2.99% interest rates. I drive by it every day and I don't see cars. They also stopped building at the halfway point. Apartments all …

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Housing Starts Decreased To 1.289 Million In November, Down -10.2% YoY

by confoundedinterest17 Government didn’t build this country. The private sector did. Housing Starts: Privately-owned housing starts in November were at a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 1,289,000. This is 1.8 percent below the revised October estimate of 1,312,000 and is 14.6 percent below the November 2023 rate of 1,510,000. Single-family housing …

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Unlike 2008, we have both a historically overpriced housing bubble AND stock market bubble.

The median renter in America has a net worth of $10,400. The median homeowner’s net worth is $400,000 Wall Street Pours Billions Into Build-To-Rent Communities, Betting Big Against Home Ownership Amid High Prices and Interest Rates While the pillars of the stock market are highly concentrated in just a few …

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BIG Bubbles? Biden/Democrats Spending Spree + FED = Massive Asset Bubbles = OVERVALUATION In Stock Market And Housing (Buffett Indicator, SP500 Mean Reversion, Shiller PE Ratio, CaseShiller To Gov Spending)

by confoundedinterest17 Apparently, the late Hawaiian crooner Don Ho foresaw Biden’s irresponsible spending spree. That is, BIG BUBBLES. Let’s start with the Buffett Indicator (Warren, not Jimmy!). It indicates that the stock market is STRONGLY OVERVALUED. The S&P 500 Mean Reversion Model also shows the stock market to be STRONGLY OVERVALUED. How about …

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2024 Housing Market Slowest in Three Decades

“The year is on track to have the slowest housing market in three decades, with a projected four million home sales, according to the National Association of Realtors — making 2024 the second straight year of historically anemic sales” Record low demand and sales, stubborn sellers holding out for higher …

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The housing market is frozen. No buyers, no sellers, as prices aren’t agreed on. Annual income needed to buy a house reaches a 125-year record high.

Yup. So the housing markets just sits here and does nothing. No buyers no sellers because they can’t agree on an affordable price https://t.co/UFEektfCKe — QE Infinity (@StealthQE4) December 12, 2024 Annual income needed to buy a house over last 125 years. pic.twitter.com/RD57b008BQ — Nick Gerli (@nickgerli1) December 12, 2024

Scams evolve: Penny stocks to crypto, housing, AI; Algos echo July’s momentum loop; only large stocks peak, crash imminent. Todays bubble compared with 1999 and 2008

Everything feels so high. SPX with 120 month moving average. Dec 2024: SPX 6000, 120MMA 3400. Its funny how the same bullshit scams repeat, but just in VERY slight variation. Penny stocks – CryptoHousing shortage – Housing shortageDotcom – AI My dad started day trading in the late 1990s and …

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Public housing didn’t fail in the US. But it was sabotaged. A brief history of how America’s public housing experiment was designed to fail

“The projects” I’ll NVR forget the old starret city in Brooklyn. Literally a war zone Jimmy Carter had made some law, that when you build new residential communities builders had to include a section minimum 10 public housing units or something like that. Can’t recall but I’m close . (My …

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