Independent thinking for complex markets and current events
WE HAVE NEVER BEEN THIS BROKE… Searches for ‘can’t pay credit card’ smash records… 11% of accounts now seriously delinquent… Savings rate vanishes… 🚨 Americans have never been this broke before. Google searches for “can’t pay credit card” just hit an all time high. At the same time, US consumer confidence has collapsed to one …
They keep doing the same things hoping for a different result. Interesting how these big numbers keep showing up right when things look frothy. This pattern feels familiar, wonder how long it can go. The Federal Reserve is still buying T-Bills despite markets hitting new all-time-highs every week. Jerome Powell said he would only be …
Alphabet and Microsoft lead strong Q1 recovery as cloud revenue surges… AI infrastructure spending arms race adds $4 trillion in market value… Amazon leads gains while analysts flag divergence from industrial fatigue… Investors monitor Elon Musk lawsuit against OpenAI naming Microsoft as defendant… Alphabet shares surged as Google Cloud crossed the $20B quarterly milestone with …
S&P 500 hits new all-time high as investors shrug off Iran war oil price spike The S&P 500 hit a new all-time high Wednesday, a remarkable turnaround for the broad-based stock index while the war with Iran continues and rising energy costs threaten global growth prospects. The S&P 500 closed higher by 0.8% pushing the …
LONDON, April 7 – European and Asian refiners are paying record high prices of near $150 a barrel for some crude oil grades, far exceeding prices for paper futures, highlighting the worsening supply crisis from the U.S.-Israel war with Iran. The Iran war has forced the shutdown of at least 12 million barrels per day …
JPMorgan's Dimon: Obviously, gas prices going up going to hurt people a little bit, but they still have money to spend and they still have jobs… I hear people say they were not imminent threat. These people have been doing something bad for 47 years. These are bad people that… pic.twitter.com/xgNAHo1LHy — unusual_whales (@unusual_whales) April …
Markets been walking down the stairs for a month and permabulls celebrating because the market picked its foot up to take the next step down. 🤪😂 pic.twitter.com/h1R0aPLTlU — Nathan (@idkwimbiktimi) April 1, 2026 Israeli Broadcaster: Israel does not believe an agreement will be reached between Iran and the US. — FinancialJuice (@financialjuice) April 1, 2026 …
Median family income in the US increased from $10,000 in 1971 to $106,000 today, a 10x increase. However, the median cost of homes increased from $25,000 to $445,000, a 17x increase. And the median cost of cars increased from $3,600 to $50,000, a 14x increase. The median cost of college increased from $2,900 a year …
Recession into All-Time Highs™️ and you thought I was kidding#K https://t.co/XlcrVptauj — Samantha LaDuc (@SamanthaLaDuc) February 11, 2026 Stocks are ridiculously overvalued but it never seems to matter 🤷♂️ https://t.co/8nPSA5UrCL — QE Infinity (@StealthQE4) February 10, 2026 JUST IN: US stock trading hits $1 trillion in a day – highest since 2020 — Kalshi (@Kalshi) …
Mag 7 cutting buybacks and borrowing while private credit guys talk about heavy drawdowns and yields keep grinding higher is not “AI strength,” it’s stress showing through the paint. Money isn’t cheap anymore, lenders are pulling back, and somehow people still act like companies can burn billions a quarter forever. Then you look at the …
All-time highs in dollars just expose how fast the currency is collapsing. Trump just celebrated the S&P 500 hitting an all-time high. But look at the chart below. This is the S&P 500 priced in Gold (Real Money). It isn't going up… it's free falling. We just broke a 10-year support line and the US …
ADP National Employment Report And What the Headline Misses About Today’s Labor Market ADP says private employers added 41,000 jobs in December, framing it as a rebound. But when you slow down and look at where those jobs came from, the picture changes. Nearly all of the net… pic.twitter.com/D1zs99G6CR — EndGame Macro (@onechancefreedm) January 27, …
Trump is wrecking America like he bankrupted his 7 businesses. pic.twitter.com/qFDqGZ3hu5 — ADAM (@AdameMedia) January 26, 2026 US dollar index hits lowest since September while silver and gold surge. BREAKING: 🇺🇸 While the silver and gold skyrocket, the US Dollar Index extends losses to -1.5% this month, now at its lowest level since September 18th. …
Japan can’t print fast enough to save the party this time. BOJ Is Said to Start Selling ETF Holdings as Soon as January Bloomberg pic.twitter.com/m19QDzvpYS — Daniel Lacalle (@dlacalle_IA) January 16, 2026 JAPAN WILL CRASH THE MARKET IN 3 DAYS!! They’re currently sitting on $10 TRILLION in debt. Every Japanese government bond yield just hit …
Both Fannie and Freddie report that serious delinquencies in multifamily are rising to multi year highs. 👇🏼 pic.twitter.com/BmgxaYA14C — Kalani o Māui (@MauiBoyMacro) January 15, 2026 Florida condo crash happening in real-time. Seller cut price to $256k. Back in 2022, it was valued at over $1 million. 75% haircut in 3 years. And 50% over …
Gold’s move toward $4,600 isn’t about jobs data or geopolitics – it’s about currency stress. Silver’s tightening supply tells the same story, while Venezuela’s gold dispute shows why central banks demand physical metal stored close to home… By Peter Reagan Your News to Know rounds up the most important developments in precious metals and the …
Fun fact: traders shorts on $VIX are heading towards ATH Shorting VIX (aka “Vol harvesting”) is one of the most popular strategies on Wall Street that can work for a very long time till a sudden jump wipes out many and brings things back to square one https://t.co/2GJr5biqiG pic.twitter.com/0ZDv3wThsy — JustDario 🏊♂️ (@DarioCpx) January 9, …
🚨The number of US ETFs is going parabolic, and it exceeded 900. The risk appetite has been rising, and the industry has been responsive. However, I would not be shocked if the number of ETFs drop below 100 after the next bear market. https://t.co/ZHWs1nnAqo — BraVoCycles Newsletter (@BraVoCycles) December 28, 2025 🚨 Margin Debt Keeps …
Recruiting didn’t fail because Americans got lazy or broken. It failed because a lot of potential recruits felt the military stopped caring about winning wars and started lecturing them. When Hegseth stripped that tone out and put combat first again, people showed up. Funny how “impossible” problems vanish once leadership actually wants a different outcome. …
BOJ rate decision this week.💹 The bond market has decided for the BOJ, which is why it’s most likely they will hike rates and it would be a colossal mistake if they don’t. More importantly, the BOJ is likely to pledge continued gradual rate hikes this week. This could trigger the carry trade unwind and …
BREAKING: Silver surges to a record $64/oz, now up +121% in 2025. Gold futures are officially back above $4,300 as rate cuts into stagflation resume. pic.twitter.com/sztfB9sFJn — The Kobeissi Letter (@KobeissiLetter) December 11, 2025 Cutting rates while bonds erode, lol. 2026 is going to be biblical for all the wrong reasons. — The Great Martis …
Playing out, sadly: RECESSION INTO ALL TIME HIGHS #Employment ADP commentary from Chief Economist Richardson: “Hiring has been choppy of late as employers weather cautious consumers and an uncertain macroeconomic environment. And while November’s slowdown was broad-based, it was led by a pullback among small businesses.” Playing out, sadly: RECESSION INTO ALL TIME HIGHS#Employment ADP …
Bitcoin is still in a downtrend, still making lower highs/lower lows and still warning the entire market but most traders won’t recognize it until it’s 30% lower. Yes, #Bitcoin may push toward $97–$100K. That lower high is still on the table. But none of that changes the thesis going into January. A counter trend rally …
$VIX down -44% in 5 days.Be fearful when others are greedy. — kpak (@kpak82) November 28, 2025 25% of the ~$3.2 trillion ($800bln) being financed via SOFR has been borrowed above the Fed’s upper bound …for almost three weeks now https://t.co/UisS8uif0j pic.twitter.com/nK5ZyNx9SI — Robert (infra 🏛️⌛️) (@infraa_) November 28, 2025 SOFR has now spent two …
$VIX looks calm, but the rate of change is not. Higher lows, higher closes, and a seven-month high while the market sits a few percent off all-time highs. The tape is tightening, not relaxing. pic.twitter.com/InUuwhFXkH — Kurt S. Altrichter, CRPS® (@kurtsaltrichter) November 27, 2025 can i have the permission to chart vix future? pic.twitter.com/IRJxCWvuCL — …
“US market liquidity STRESS is surging again: Banks’ demand for the Fed’s Standing Repo Facility (SRF) hit $14 BILLION this morning, and $11 BILLION on Tuesday, the highest since October, signaling rising pressures inside the short-term funding system. As a reminder, the SRF lets banks to borrow CASH directly from the Fed by pledging US …
Google's forward PE looks like a meme stock. Nearly doubled off the low. 👇 pic.twitter.com/USQ1q0pyru — Matt Cerminaro (@mattcerminaro) November 26, 2025 Google is up 86% in last 6 months and Cathie Wood added 174k shares. Weekly RSI at 4 year highs. She is buying at all time highs with technicals overheated. $GOOGL pic.twitter.com/yJ8fAX3aBg — …
Americans are worried about their jobs: Consumers aged 18–34 now perceive a ~33% chance of losing their job over the next 5 years, the 2nd-highest on record. The 3-month moving average of this metric has risen ~10 points over the last 3.5 years and now exceeds the 2008 peak. For Americans aged 35–54, the 3-month …
Corporate Insiders are dumping near all-time highs 🚨🚨 pic.twitter.com/8BmuyrgkZv — Barchart (@Barchart) November 14, 2025 BREAKING: 655 US large companies have gone bankrupt year-to-date, the highest number in 15 years. This has already surpassed all previous full-year totals since 2011, except for 2024. Since 2022, bankruptcies have risen nearly +100%. This comes as 68 companies …
The National Guard is building a “quick reaction force” (QRF) of some 23,500 troops trained in crowd control and civil disturbance that can be ready to deploy to U.S. cities by early next year, according to a leaked memo reported by multiple outlets Wednesday. The Oct. 8 memo, signed by National Guard Bureau Director of …