US households’ stock allocation hits all-time high at 43.4%, surpassing 2000 Dot-Com Bubble by 5 points. Is smart money running to the exit?

⚠️US HOUSEHOLDS STOCK ALLOCATION HIT A NEW RECORD⚠️ Americans' exposure to stocks as a % of financial assets rose to a record 43.4% in Q3 2024. The percentage has DOUBLED over the last 15 years. It has now surpassed the 2000 Dot-Com Bubble levels by 5 percentage points. pic.twitter.com/2cegQ67N3s — Global Markets Investor (@GlobalMktObserv) December …

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Fed’s Favorite Inflation Indicator Holds At 7-Month High

The Fed’s favorite (until it starts rising) inflation indicator – Core PCE – printed cooler than expected for November (+0.1% MoM vs +0.2% MoM exp) which held it steady at +2.8% YoY (below the expected 2.9%) – tied for the highest since April… Source: Bloomberg However, Headline PCE rose to +2.4% from +2.3% – its …

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Dow Jones bounced off major trend-line, lower high expected before decline. Trump rings the bell at the NYSE, and stocks collapse after.

Dow jones Update Keep it simple. Bounced off major trend-line (text book) Lower high expected over the weeks before it lets go. Unless it simply lets go. pic.twitter.com/hfCoiv0HnG — The Great Martis (@great_martis) December 20, 2024 https://twitter.com/leadlagreport/status/1870078316029313153 …..and how do you conclude "Soft Landing" based on this? Give me your best shot 💪 ["This time …

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The housing market is frozen. No buyers, no sellers, as prices aren’t agreed on. Annual income needed to buy a house reaches a 125-year record high.

Yup. So the housing markets just sits here and does nothing. No buyers no sellers because they can’t agree on an affordable price https://t.co/UFEektfCKe — QE Infinity (@StealthQE4) December 12, 2024 Annual income needed to buy a house over last 125 years. pic.twitter.com/RD57b008BQ — Nick Gerli (@nickgerli1) December 12, 2024

Gavin Newsom’s 24 Billion Dollar homeless solution meets Gavin Newsom’s 128 Billion dollar high speed rail

Gavin Newsom’s 24 Billion Dollar homeless solution meets Gavin Newsom’s 128 Billion dollar high speed rail. pic.twitter.com/hHsD9hXCwL — Kevin Dalton (@TheKevinDalton) December 11, 2024 Every day it’s worse. Every day you think this will be the tipping point. See you tomorrow — Kevin Dalton (@TheKevinDalton) December 11, 2024

Inflation is low but living costs are high. The gap between economists’ numbers and consumer feelings is due to outdated inflation measures.

This could explain a LOT about the November election. “The gap between economists’ measurements of economic well-being and what consumers actually said they were feeling puzzled many researchers.” Because the Fed and researchers measured the cost of living wrong. Still do. They lowered inflation in 1983 by changing the way they measured inflation. The red …

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If the economy wasn’t imploding, why is the Fed cutting rates when everything is at an all-time high?

1. Stocks: all-time highs2. Home Prices: all-time highs3. Bitcoin: all-time highs4. National Debt: all-time highs5. Core CPI Inflation: >3% for 42 straight months, longest run of high inflation since early 1990s6. Fed: cutting rates again in 2 weekshttps://t.co/rQuXrxVpWs — Charlie Bilello (@charliebilello) December 6, 2024 Let me be clear… The NFP numbers are BS! The …

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The Euphoriameter hit a record 1.1 points. An all-time high 43% of investors doubting a stock market crash. The Schiller P/E ratio has hit 23-year highs. Enjoy the euphoric exit pump!

An all-time high 43% of investors think there is a less than 10% chance of a stock market crash occurring in the next 6 months 🚨 pic.twitter.com/c46U09cdsC — Barchart (@Barchart) December 6, 2024 This is wild: The Euphoriameter, an indicator measuring investor sentiment, hit a record 1.1 points, according to Topdown Charts. This metric uses …

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Buying a home right now at these elevated prices makes absolutely zero sense with rates this high. You can smell the desperation of the agents any house you walk into.

Yeah, I go to open houses every weekend, because I would like to buy a house but by the end of the day I’m just depressed. Rates double from a few years ago, sky high prices, and most houses need some work. People are pricing their houses higher than what they paid in 2022. 🙄 …

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Charlamagne — Democrats do not have moral high ground.

Radio host Charlamagne tha God argued that Democrats’ recent controversies have lost them their claim to the “moral high ground” as a party. President Biden issued a sweeping pardon for his son Hunter on Sunday after he had repeatedly said he would not do so. The first son had been convicted in two separate federal …

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Oh, look mummy! Bubbles! The ratio of insider selling to buying has just hit a new 20+ year high

Oh, look mummy! Bubbles!🫧📌 pic.twitter.com/sMe3tN9RTk — The Great Martis (@great_martis) November 29, 2024 INSIDERS AND INSTITUTIONS KNOW A CRASH IS IMMINENT VERY SOON… 🚨 BREAKING NEWS 🚨 THE RATIO OF INSIDER SELLING TO BUYING HAS JUST HIT A NEW 20+ YEAR HIGH WHILE STOCKS ARE AT ALL TIMEHIGHS THE INSIDERS AND INSTITUTIONS ARE SELLING WHILE …

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Top approaching! The amount of wise guys calling for Bull Market to continue for 12 months or SP500 to continue to 7000 or higher is spiking! Small cap momo made a second lower high. NDX lows highest in a year. Pumpkin pie is ready.

Cattle lured in. My BS-indicator has moved into RED 😉 The amount of wise guys calling for Bull Market to continue for 12 months or SP500 to continue to 7000 or higher is spiking! Top is closing in! Not here yet – but soon😉 This is SO MUCH 2022 – just opposite end of the …

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GOLD spot hits a new all-time high, surging past $2,748/oz! Equal-weighted SPX has entered a BEAR MARKET versus gold

GOLD spot hits a new all-time high, surging past $2,748/oz! Have you bought gold in recent years? pic.twitter.com/YYKrsOihhl — Visegrád 24 (@visegrad24) October 23, 2024 🚨Equal-weighted SPX has entered a BEAR MARKET versus gold🚨The #SPX, #NASDAQ100 and #StockMarket are expected to follow soon #CapitalRotation pic.twitter.com/RGR5EPZ78K — Northstar (@NorthstarCharts) October 23, 2024 #Bitcoin looking VERY vulnerable …

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Home-Purchase Demand Destruction Accelerates, Prices Too High, Buyers’ Strike Deepens: Sales of Existing Homes Head for Worst Year since 1995

The extent to which demand for existing homes has collapsed and remains collapsed is astounding, but ultimately not surprising: Demand plunged in 2022 when mortgage rates soared, and plunged a lot further in 2023 as mortgage rates continued to rise to almost 8% by October 2023. But then as mortgage rates dropped starting in November, …

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Gold hits record high, diverging from dollar; Bank of America warns gold is last safe haven amid soaring U.S. debt.

Gold hits new all time high despite surging dollar; the precious metal has now completely disconnected from the greenback amid relentless central bank buying pic.twitter.com/4OfruCNNOV — zerohedge (@zerohedge) October 16, 2024 “Central banks around the world have also increased their share of gold as a portion of total reserves…” Source: https://t.co/SecOWikXrY. — Gold Telegraph ⚡ …

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US credit card interest rates hit 23.4%, a record high, with debt at $1.36 trillion. Soaring rates and low savings create a perfect financial storm.

With savings rates at near-record lows, you have the perfect storm. ⛈️ https://t.co/3h3h5vXzaP pic.twitter.com/ng2y457iqa — The Great Martis (@great_martis) October 8, 2024 They’ve maxed out their balances. There’s no more pretend money to spend. Credit Card Spending Tanked in August; The American Consumer Tapped Out? How close are Americans to hitting their credit card limits? …

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30-year mortgage rate rises to 6.88%, a 2-month high; Dow Jones momentum weakens with consecutive lower highs.

Fed flip flopping policy comes with consequence. https://t.co/0LzCCvKTbR — The Great Martis (@great_martis) October 8, 2024 Dow Jones Update✍️ Momentum falling off a cliff.Relative strength lower highs. The churn up against resistance is a Warning signal.⚠️ pic.twitter.com/97dKcEBD3B — The Great Martis (@great_martis) October 8, 2024 US30yr Probable path. pic.twitter.com/NBIfFtd8Hu — The Great Martis (@great_martis) October …

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Americans are tapped out and interest rates are high. The only surprise is that the pullback took so long.

🤣🤣🤣🤣 pic.twitter.com/G4rm6fl3jc — Darth Powell (@VladTheInflator) August 21, 2024 So the BLS prelim benchmark revision is -818k (in line with our 800k forecast). But the 1Q QCEW county data implies a bigger revision of -958k. To put this in context, the typical revision is 0.1% of payrolls…the past year was 0.5%, 5x as large. — …

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SCE Labor Market Survey: The proportion of individuals who reported searching for a job in the past four weeks rose to 28.4% from 19.4% in July 2023, highest since March 2014. The average expected likelihood of becoming unemployed in the next four months reached a series high.

Source: https://www.newyorkfed.org/microeconomics/sce/labor#/ TLDRS: The Federal Reserve Bank of New York’s July 2024 SCE Labor Market Survey reveals significant changes in the job market, with 28.4% of individuals actively searching for jobs, the highest level since the survey’s inception in 2014. The rise in job searches was particularly pronounced among those over 45, without a college degree, …

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