At the heart of China’s growth miracle since 1990 has been a massive housing bubble which is just beginning its bust. Major crisis assured.

Even China’s 1.4 billion population can’t fill all its vacant homes, former official says Unsold, completed: ~7.2 million homes, according to Reuters calculations, based on the average home size of 90 square metres. That does not count: the numerous residential projects that have already been sold but not yet completed …

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Consumer Credit Growth Plunges in July With Huge Negative Revisions (Wasting Away In Bidenomicsville!)

by confoundedinterest17 Bidenomics is terrible! Just a huge payoff to be big donors (the donor class) for green energy, Big Pharma and Big Defense. Now Biden is considering using ankle monitors to prevent illegal immigrants from leaving Texas and traveling to welfare-friendly blue states like California and New York rather …

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Bidenomics In 3 Charts! Net Cash Farm Income Growth Negative, Office Vacancy Rate Now Higher Than Financial Crisis, 19% Growth In Federal Debt And $194 TRILLION In Unfunded Liabilities (WEF’s Klaus Schwab Approves Biden’s Message!)

by confoundedinterest17 Bidenomics is a train wreck. But unlike E. Palestine Ohio, the site of a train derailment and massive toxic spill (for which Biden has yet to visit), Bidenomics is a continuing train wreck. The first chart is the record decline in US net cash farm income. Now in …

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Fed’s Beige Book August 2023: “Some Districts highlighted reports suggesting consumers may have exhausted their savings and are relying more on borrowing to support spending.” “Many contacts suggested “the second half of the year will be different” when describing wage growth. Ruh-roh…

by Dismal-Jellyfish https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/files/BeigeBook_20230906.pdf This report was prepared at the Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City based on information collected on or before August 28, 2023. Highlights: “Some Districts highlighted reports suggesting consumers may have exhausted their savings and are relying more on borrowing to support spending.” “Bankers from different Districts …

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Slippin’ Into Darkness! St Louis Fed Nowcast Q3 GDP Growth At -0.07% As M2 Money Growth Collapses (While Atlanta Fed GDPNow At 5.6% Growth?)

by confoundedinterest17 Slippin’ into darkness! Bidenomics, that is! Joe Biden is not a friend of the US middle class. The St Louis Fed’s real time GDP tracker known as Nowcast has Q3 GDP at -0.07%. This happening at M2 Money growth collapses. If you want to feel good, check out Atlanta Fed’s …

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“Strong” economic growth. LOL

Manufacturing has been in contraction for nearly a year and declining for two. Institute for Supply Management's Aug manufacturing PMI confirms sector is contracting and still signaling broader recession; new orders still falling; only 1 out of 9 manufacturing industries adding jobs; price pressures down as increasing number of firms …

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‘The era of free money, cheap debt & growth at any cost is over’…. ‘People are fighting inflation with debt they can’t afford’

Like houses, many people are locked-in to low auto loan rates. However, homes last much longer than cars do. As people sell cars bought over the last ~4 years, they are entering a much higher rate environment. Follow us @KobeissiLetter for real time analysis as this develops. — The Kobeissi …

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Bidenomics 101 (Income): Real Gross Domestic Income Growth NEGATIVE For 3 Consecutive Quarters As M2 Money Growth Worst Since 1933 And The New Deal (Only 187k Jobs Added In August And ALL Of Last Year’s Jobs Added Were Revised Downwards)

by confoundedinterest17 The glories of Bidenomics is on fully display. Despite what Lyin’ Biden says, Bidenomics is only working for the elites (top 1%). How Soviet/CCP command economy of him! Here is an ugly chart showing Bidenomics in action! We all know that Covid unleashed a torrent of Fed monetary …

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Bidenomics! US Payrolls Were Likely 306,000 Lower Than Previously Estimated (July Jobs Growth Slowed To 2.2% YoY As M2 Money Growth Slowed To -3.7% YoY)

by confoundedinterest17 Preliminary benchmark revision smaller than some had projected Biggest payrolls adjustment in transportation and warehousing Are you surprised that the Biden Administration has been lying about job creation?? Not really since Biden compulsively lies about everything. Including his corruption. US job growth was probably less robust in the …

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Bidenomics In One Chart! Hourly Pay UP 12% Under Biden, But Inflation Is UP 16% (REAL Wage Growth Is -4%)

by confoundedinterest17 The themesong of Bidenomics is Randy Newman’s “Mr. President,” Have pity on the working man instead of paying off green energy BIG donors. The massive green enegy spending spree by Biden and Congress (disguised as Inflation Reduction Act) is the keystone of Bidenomics. Or loadstone. Since Biden became President, hourly …

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Inflation Alert! New York Fed Business Survey (New York State, northern New Jersey and southwestern Connecticut): “Employment continued to increase slightly, and wage growth picked up. The pace of price increases was somewhat higher than last month”. Inflation is not slowing down!

by Dismal-Jellyfish https://www.newyorkfed.org/medialibrary/media/Survey/business_leaders/2023/2023_08blsreport.pdf Wages and Prices expected to continue rising over the next 6 months. TLDRS: New York Federal Reserve Bank’s August 2023 Business Leaders Survey shows the region’s (New York, southern New Jersey, and southwestern Connecticut) service sector activity as stable for the second month in a row. Remember, …

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Employment growth remains positive in first 8 months of 10Y3M inversions; next 8 months should be concerned.

Sometimes – you don't have to be great – you just gotta be average… pic.twitter.com/H2vpjXzWZJ — Don Johnson (@DonMiami3) August 15, 2023 Biden called and he wants his 1980 Senate seat back pic.twitter.com/cbPod1B6ip — Don Johnson (@DonMiami3) August 15, 2023 Nice chart Eric👍 Also, employment growth is always positive in …

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Everything indicates that growth will be slower: US industrial companies experience significant business slowdown in China; Student loan payments resume in September.

Industrial US companies are seeing their businesses in China slow down considerably. DuPont, Dow and Caterpillar have cut their sales outlook for the country into this year. https://t.co/LJ0ARJ9jMW Tesla cut prices in China again. https://t.co/tuTnwNZFSO — Lisa Abramowicz (@lisaabramowicz1) August 14, 2023 Everything is fine … 🔥🔥🔥 Student loan payments …

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Bidenomics: The Good, The Bad And The Ugly (Atlanta Fed GDP At 4.12% For Q2, Bank Credit Growth Goes Negative, Confernce Board Leading Indicator Goes Negative, REAL Gross Domestic Income Growth = -0.82%)

by confoundedinterest17 Bidenomics, which is also Yellenomics (the former Fed Chair and current Treasury Secretary) has The Good, The Bad and The Ugly to say for it. First, The Good! The Atlanta Fed’s GDP Now real time GDP tracker has Q3 GDP at … 4.12%. Pretty good, but bear in mind that …

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The Commercial Real Estate/Small Bank Boogie! CRE Crisis Could Cause Small Banks To Collapse (Bank Credit Growth Now Negative As 10Y-2Y Yield Curve Remains Inverted)

by confoundedinterest17 We are back in the USSR! And the economy taking commands from Washington DC! Introduction During the COVID-19 pandemic the occurrence of remote work jumped, out of sheer necessity. The technology was already available, but the pandemic accelerated its adoption and bypassed the hesitation of employers to allow people working …

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KJP: “Bidenomics Is Indeed Working!” … If The Goal Is NEGATIVE Real Weekly Earnings Growth Of -3.57% YoY, Then Bidenomics Is Working! (Even Worse For Blacks At -6.23% YoY)

by confoundedinterest17 “Bidenomics is indeed working!” claims Karine Jean-Pierre. “Cost is going down … wages going up, that is Bidenomics.” Excuse me Karine. REAL weekly earnings growth remains negative as inflation outpaces weekly earnings growth. As of Q2 2023, REAL median weekly earnings growth is a dismal -3.57% YoY. And …

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July Jobs Report Disappoints! Only 187k Jobs Added, Wage Growth Of 4.4% Still Lower Than Core Inflation Rate Of 4.8%, Rent CPI (June) Is Still Roaring At 7.8% YoY (May and June Figures Revised Sharply Lower)

by confoundedinterest17 The Federal Reserve is watching July’s jobs report carefully. According to the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS), the US economy added 187k jobs in July, less than the expected 200k. US average hourly earnings continued at 4.4% year-over-year (YoY). However, the last core inflation reading was 4.8% YoY, so real …

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Bidenomics? C&I Lending Growth Crashes Along With Bank Credit Growth (WTI Crude Oil UP 1% This Morning) 30-year Mortgage Rates At 7.27%

by confoundedinterest17 Bidenomics, aka the Federal government takeover of the US economy with Soviet-style economic central planning, is highly dependent on loose Federal Reserve monetary policy (Janet Yellen and Powell’s wild overreaction to the massively inappropriate Covid shutdowns), So, how is Bidenomics working out? On the bank lending front, commercial …

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U.S. Bank lending on the decline! Commercial and Industrial loans slide for two weeks straight. Meanwhile, GDP up 2.4% last quarter? Is it sustainable growth or fueled by mounting debt? #Economy #BankLending #GDP #Debt”

by Dismal-Jellyfish Reminder, while banks have the liquidity fairy, ‘we’ get the promise of 2 more rate hikes this year, Atlanta Fed President Raphael Bostic yet again enrichens himself inappropriately from his position. What I want to talk about this afternoon is–Commercial and Industrial Loans, All Commercial Banks. What are Commercial and Industrial …

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Bidenomics In One Chart! Bidenomics Benefits The Elites (Top 1%) Far More Than The Common Man (Bottom 50%) In Terms Of Net Worth (Bank Credit Growth Crashing To Earth)

by confoundedinterest17 I wanted to play Aaron Copland’s Fanfare For The Common Man, but thought that The Federal Reserve theme song (laughing song from “Death in Venice”) was more appropriate given their insane money printing since 2008 then 2020 with Covid. Yes, The Fed is laughing at us. Bidenomics, massive spending on green …

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Bidenomics At Work! US Pending Home Sales Crash -14.8% YoY As Fed Pushes Rates Up, Negative Growth For 24 Of Last 25 Months (Is Fed Chair Powell Actually Mr. Freeze?)

by confoundedinterest17 The Biden Administration is gushing about Q2’s Real GDP report of 2.4% QoQ. Wow, after trillions of dollars of stimulus spending and The Fed going wild with monetary stimulus, all we got was 2.4% growth?? But let’s turn the cameras on the housing market. Pending home sales crashed …

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