Independent thinking for complex markets and current events
I believe we are currently in the ‘Anxiety’ stage. The great bear market has begun at the start of 2025 🐻 byu/Fun_Slip_4350 inWallStreetbetsELITE Stock market facing poor breadth, overvaluation, rising interest rates, trade war risks, and problems with Apple & Nvidia. The stock market is suffering from horrible breadth, massive overvaluation, pressure from sharply rising …
by confoundedinterest17 Time to take a break from the Gavin Newsom/Karen Bass LA fire fiasco. And refocus on the Biden/Harris employment fiasco. After a year of ‘robust’ job growth private payrolls were subsequently revised by nearly 1 MILLION for April 2023 – March 2024. The most recent data points to additional huge revisions in Q2 …
China’s Unemployment Skyrockets Again, Hitting 50% @ALTtered_CLIpsSs India has 49 % already without any degrees of impact and you are only one percentage higher @Gabriel-mr5gf This is a great depression on steroids @Old-biker War is coming. I’m old enough to know the sighs. It has started and is spreading over the last few years. Take …
We are being primed for the great Weimar print-fest. "Bank to cut interest rates at least four times in 2025" https://t.co/hwj607IRfM — The Old Pretender (@Dioclet54046121) January 2, 2025 Delinquencies surge in subprime credit, commercial real estate; echoes 1990s property crisis. The choice now is either to print all the way to a chaotic Weimar …
A great example of retail over confidence in the WSJ A guy quit his job to invest full time 6 months ago, which he says is mostly holding MSTR, compares himself “humbly” to Warren Buffet and Charlie Munger. Dunning Kruger effect on full display https://t.co/RrgleWeUG0 pic.twitter.com/xM2TeUQ39A — Novacula Occami (@OccamiCrypto) December 22, 2024 MSTR’s latest …
"builders are dealing with the most unsold inventory since the Great Finance Crisis" — Darth Powell (@VladTheInflator) December 20, 2024 Home builders across America like Lennar and DR Horton are issuing massive warnings about the US Housing Market in 2025. Most recently, Lennar signaled a big decline in revenue YoY and a huge pile-up of …
You may also watch this ⬇️ Globalists are losing their power. People are waking up. Make Europe Great Again 🔥 pic.twitter.com/819d4YN0Yd — NomNom (@OmNomNomPL) December 17, 2024
by confoundedinterest17 Like a Great White Shark, Bitcoin has breached $100k! Gold, a competitor to the US Dollar, is down a bit today, but has been rising with the prospect of Trump deregulating the hamstrung US economy. Gold rose under Biden/Harris (and McConnel/Schumer’s) gross fiscal mismanagemment. Here is a picture of Bitcoin breaching the surface. …
The incoming Trump administration fills Russian state TV propagandists with glee. In mid-November, when president-elect Donald Trump started to announce his future appointees, state TV host Olga Skabeeva gushed, “All of them are totally wonderful!” Evgeny Popov, Skabeeva’s husband and the co-host of Russia’s 60 Minutes, concurred, describing Trump’s picks as his “radical dream team”. …
This is the way. pic.twitter.com/S49R1IABzH — @amuse (@amuse) October 4, 2024 Toyota Motor Corp. is planning to move away from DEI and pro-LGBTQ events after recently facing online controversy, according to a new report. Bloomberg reported the company sent out a memo to its U.S. employees Thursday saying it will “narrow community activities to align …
Carr's letter focused on @NewsGuardRating, so the company's response is worth reading – it says "every statement in the letter about NewsGuard is false, citing unreliable sources" pic.twitter.com/cd9lc4bFAU — Brian Stelter (@brianstelter) November 18, 2024 You can’t make it up. NewsGuard says it provides apolitical guidance on "misinformation.” Yet one of its own Advisory Board …
So, our Government used OUR tax money to fly a criminal illegal immigrant to a state where he murdered an innocent Laken Riley who for 17 minutes struggled and tried fighting back for her life. 🖕 you, Kamala, Briben and Democrats. There is a special place in heII for you. — Liberacrat™️ (@ViralVideos) November 18, …
Donald Trump’s decisive victory last week came as a shock to many. The president-elect looks likely to win the popular vote, having run up totals not only in the swing states but also in deep-blue strongholds. Most surprisingly, the Trump campaign put cracks in Democrats’ dominance of big cities. In fact, Trump most overperformed in …
With Trump’s election victory and a GOP-controlled Congress, significant economic changes are on the horizon. While these policies aim for long-term prosperity, they come with significant short-term costs. Here’s a discussion of just how much these plans will affect your finances… Key takeaways Costly Tax Initiatives: Trump’s proposed tax changes could significantly increase the national …
I have a feeling there were almost no jobs created at all. This is strongly supported by the fact that payrolls largely haven’t grown and these companies lie about actively hiring in order to get free loans. We’re living in the cheater’s economy. Everyone suffers, but the CEOs suffer less because they can make these …
DEI for first responders sounds like a great idea! 🤦🏻♂️ — JeromeBrown (@jerome_brown) October 16, 2024 Related: Federal employees are dusting off their resumes and delaying purchases as they fear losing their jobs if Trump wins in November: “We need all the savings we can get.” https://t.co/YKHKukRMuF — POLITICO (@politico) October 15, 2024
This seems to be the headline time series. Adjusting those retail sales for the 20+% inflation of last 4 years would show an even bleaker environment. Closer to how many people are actually feeling. — Christian Takushi (@ChrisTakushi) October 9, 2024 OUCH! The German govt sees Germany contracting for 2nd consecutive year. The govt revises …
If just 10% of the billionaires were like Elon Musk and tried to make the country & world a better place we would be 100 years into the future and no war. But for some reason 99% want to destroy this country & the world. Most are part of the Death Cult. We are lucky …
by confoundedinterest17 The University of Michigan consumer survery is out and the results are startling. Under Biden/Harris, buying conditions are far worse than under Trump/Pence. In fact, buying conditions were extremely favorable (above 100) under Trump and dismal under Harris. Particularly for housing (where higher than normal mortgage rates and high housing prices made the …
by Tom McClellan The drop in the number of publicly traded U.S. companies is continuing. I last reported on that here back in April. Since then, the losses in the Nasdaq have leveled off just a little bit, but the NYSE continues to lose listed issues. Several different factors have affected these totals over time, …
This kid is clearly an intelligent young man raised by great parents. He can see Trump crowds vs Kamal busses. pic.twitter.com/bZPkCskSkZ — floridanow1 (@floridanow1) September 26, 2024
🇺🇸JAMIE DIMON: ELON’S GOVERNMENT EFFICIENCY PLAN IS A GREAT IDEA Speaking at the India Investor Summit, JPMorgan Chase CEO praised Elon’s idea to reduce U.S government wastage and bureaucracy: “So Elon, this idea about having an efficiency commission, I actually like the idea.… pic.twitter.com/uFUz36qFMv — Mario Nawfal (@MarioNawfal) September 25, 2024 JPMorgan Chase CEO Jamie …
by One-Hovercraft-1935 I believe $TLT is a great investment for the next 3-5+ years. With the current macroeconomic environment, there is a lot of potential here for capital gains. This claim is based on the recent lowering of interest rates. I have ALWAYS been bullish on the U.S stock market. Despite that, I have a …
Warren Buffett won’t sell a stock due to short- or mid-term issues; he aims for long-term value. If it weren’t a serious issue with the stock, he wouldn’t sell. BoA may be in big trouble. Warren Buffet aka Berkshire Hathaway sells $900m BofA stock Berkshire Hathaway resumed sales of Bank of America stock in recent …
Milton Friedman: "The Federal Reserve intentionally caused the Great Depression" 1929 https://t.co/W1xfe4U3Go pic.twitter.com/sA3eJjrIek — Financelot (@FinanceLancelot) September 13, 2024
by Mike Shedlock Let’s compare current Beige Book conditions to those at the beginning of the Great Recession. Beige Book January 2008 Let’s take a look at the Fed’s Beige Book Summary of Economic Conditions in the 12 Fed districts in January of 2008. The Great Recession had begun. Reports from the twelve Federal Reserve Districts suggest …
by Michael It is incredibly sad to watch the U.S. economy slowly but surely come apart at the seams all around us. For most of our history, the rest of the world marveled at our economic performance, and that is because we embraced economic values that led to great blessing. In recent decades, we have …
By Gail Tverberg The current economic landscape shares striking similarities with the late 1920s, marked by high debt, wealth inequality, and low energy consumption growth. Historical data suggests a strong correlation between energy supply growth, economic growth, and income equality. The world economy may be transitioning from growth to shrinkage due to declining energy resources, potentially …
A series of bizarre developments that have unfolded in Great Britain over the last few weeks suggest that its financial system came to the verge of collapse, probably as a consequence of Ukraine’s debt default. The last thing the people in power will tell us is the truth, but if we dig in dark places …