Independent thinking for complex markets and current events
Inflation liquidity tech credit risks stacked simultaneously for the first time in 50 years US and Canadian investors at ~60% of assets in stocks near all-time highs Korean household loans exploding nearly 3x in one month straight into the market QQQ relative to M2 looking eerily like the dotcom peak The biggest setup in decades …
Retail call buying in tech is back near 2021 meme-stock extremes. Everyone chasing upside while put demand keeps getting cheaper. That’s fuel for melt-up conditions in the short term… but also the kind of positioning that can turn south fast if momentum cracks. pic.twitter.com/ubEgIJ8VB3 — TT3 (@TradingThomas3) May 12, 2026 Sure, it's not a bubble …
Paul Tudor Jones says the US is more dependent on equity prices than ever, and explains what a 35% correction would trigger in the economy: “We’re 252% of stock market cap to GDP. In 1929 we were 65%. In 1987 we got to ~85-90%. In 2000, 170%. If you think about the periodicity of significant …
Late 1999 saw similar volatility expansion with fading volume before the dot com peak rolled over. The erratic movements the S&P 500 is displaying right now are deeply worrisome. When wild, erratic price action appears during extremely elevated valuations exactly as we witnessed in the final stages of the dot-com bubble it has historically been …
Look, I’m not left or right, okay? But let’s be honest. The right usually trusts cops. The left usually doesn’t. That’s just how it shows up. Watch a protest. Right-leaning rallies? Flags, chants, speeches, maybe a little shouting, then done. Left-leaning protests? Sometimes a loud few block streets, clash with police, break stuff. Not everyone, …
People are fully long into the FOMC and rate cuts. Sentiment is at extremes. Careful out there. pic.twitter.com/wyrI3OccUq — THE SHORT BEAR (@TheShortBear) September 13, 2025 SERIOUS CREDIT CARD DELINQUENCIES CLIMB TO HIGHEST LEVEL IN 14 YEARS https://t.co/VjVIFGTOZk — The Coastal Journal (@1CoastalJournal) September 13, 2025 And on top of this, Nets are still way …
Everyone sees the train coming, but no one wants to leave the tracks. We are living in the largest Bubble ever. It is insane (….and it will burst)! Market Capitalization to GDP: Long-term average: 88%Typical historical range: 70% – 115% Peak before Great Depression (1929): 81%Peak Dot-com Bubble (2000): 136%Peak before Great Financial… — Henrik …
The madness of the market never ceases to amaze. Seven billion dollars flooding into tech funds in a single week? That’s not smart investing—it’s sheer desperation, a frenzied herd chasing gains long after the easy money has been made. We’ve seen this story before: euphoric buying, absurd valuations, and everyone convincing themselves that this time …
In a financial spectacle, the Magnificent 7 stocks now wield a market cap larger than the entire stock market of any country, excluding the U.S., as per Factset. The dominance of these tech giants within the S&P index is unmistakable, and projections indicate that this gap will persist in the current quarter. Contrary to popular …
BY CHARLES HUGH SMITH Speculation has its own expiration dynamics, and they don’t depend on us recognizing speculative excess for what it is. They will unravel the excesses regardless of what we think, hope or deny. The Federal Reserve has so completely normalized speculative excess that these extremes are no longer even recognized as extremes. Rather, …
It’s probably going to get worse for a while before it gets better. I don't think we are being told the truth about true economic data like inflation or jobs numbers 🚨🚨🚨 pic.twitter.com/L6xrm2sBpp — Wall Street Mav (@WallStreetMav) October 20, 2023 Stock market valuations stand at one of the three great bubble extremes in U.S. …
In this era, market manipulation via the options market has reached unprecedented extremes: Today is quarterly opex. pic.twitter.com/XZJdj9ChtF — Mac10 (@SuburbanDrone) June 16, 2023 https://twitter.com/NorthmanTrader/status/1669638387911860226 BREAKING: Harvey Jones, who has been on the Nvidia, $NVDA, board since 1993, has sold nearly 120,000 shares this week, worth $48.3 million. He has sold more than $76 million …