Independent thinking for complex markets and current events
Summer vacations about to get brutally expensive as jet fuel and diesel go through the roof. Hochstein basically just said the energy party is over and the hangover starts now. "I've never seen anything like it before." Oil storage tanks in the United States will run empty "somewhere in the July 4 period," Carlyle's Jeff …
UBS quietly nuked every rate cut fantasy while the suits still scream everything is fine. https://x.com/sayonarashorts/status/2052106342840815922 Oil at $100 for months quietly wrecks the global economy without ever needing to hit $200. Here’s the reality. Oil doesn’t need to go to $130, $150 or $200. It just needs to stay around $100 a barrel for …
Ten thousand contracts print instant $125 million profit as oil crashes twelve percent on the planted leak. Iran flips the script with Persian Gulf Strait Authority and oil rips back eight percent after the shorts already cashed. BREAKING: According to our analysis, ~$920 million worth of crude oil shorts were taken 70 minutes before an …
Budget carriers pin their collapse on skyrocketing fuel tied straight to Middle East conflict. JetBlue is now formally warning us of a potential bankruptcy as fuel costs continue to skyrocket due to the Trump war. One analysis put their odds of filing for bankruptcy at 75%. Frontier is also on Bankruptcy watch with the same …
Hedge fund billionaire Ken Griffin criticized New York City Mayor Zohran Mamdani’s video this evening, calling it “creepy and weird.” He said the mayor’s spotlight on his $238 million penthouse has made him feel unsafe and has led him to expand Citadel’s footprint in Miami. The move is expected to impact jobs and tax revenue …
Europe already canceling flights and gutting schedules as jet fuel turns very very tight. US next in line because record American exports leave domestic refiners fighting the same barrels. The CEO of Chevron just said it out loud. "We're starting to see risks of supply outages in some of these economies." Europe is already there. …
The enemy within explodes, New Jersey Dem candidate Adam Hamawy testified for Blind Sheikh, the 1993 World Trade Center terror boss, Years of personal ties to the cleric whose crew bombed New York, yet he still runs for Congress anyway. New Jersey Dem Congressional Candidate Testified on Behalf of Terror Mastermind ‘Blind Sheikh’: Adam Hamawy, …
Scott Jennings tells punk 'get your fucking hand out of my face.'pic.twitter.com/J4C4MvQoqC — Citizen Free Press (@CitizenFreePres) May 2, 2026
“Data is power” sounds less like a mission statement and more like a warning. Power without clear limits, transparency, and accountability doesn’t protect people. it controls them. This isn’t about being anti-tech. It’s about asking who benefits, who gets watched, and why… pic.twitter.com/K6HHvKiZZj — THEWATCHTOWERS (@THEWATCHTOWERS) April 22, 2026 Palantir’s official X account just posted …
Consumer Sentiment Plunges to Lowest Level in 50+ Years byu/meifx inStockMarket Consumer sentiment plunged to 47.6 which was is all time low. Inflation expectations came in at 4.8% which is a point higher than March. Sentiment was down 10% from March. I can’t wait to see the April economic numbers. If I had to guess …
THE U.S. STOCK MARKET IS ABOUT TO CRASH COMPLETELY. 2008 GFC Crash: – S&P 500 dumped 20%, then pumped 14% before another 53% drop. 2020 Covid Crash: – $SPX dumped 15%, then pumped 9% before another 30% drop. 2025 Tariffs Crash: – SPX dumped 10%, then pumped 5% before another 16% drop. 2026 Dump: – …
Markets been walking down the stairs for a month and permabulls celebrating because the market picked its foot up to take the next step down. 🤪😂 pic.twitter.com/h1R0aPLTlU — Nathan (@idkwimbiktimi) April 1, 2026 Israeli Broadcaster: Israel does not believe an agreement will be reached between Iran and the US. — FinancialJuice (@financialjuice) April 1, 2026 …
Oil prices fell more than 5% Wednesday after U.S. President Donald Trump said that Washington and Tehran are “in negotiations right now” and indicated Iran is keen to reach a peace agreement, despite the Islamic Republic denying any direct talks with the U.S. International benchmark Brent crude futures fell nearly 6% to $98.31 per barrel, …
Everyone’s watching the $VIX. Almost nobody’s watching the VVIX. $VIX drops 13% and the timeline relaxes. But options on the $VIX itself? Still at the 88th percentile. That’s institutional hedgers quietly keeping their crash insurance fully loaded. Surface calm. Expensive tail protection underneath. That’s not contradiction. That’s a tell. $IWM round-tripped its entire intraday rally …
Markets are teetering on the edge and the tension is growing by the hour. Michael Hartnett warns that if the S&P 500 falls to roughly 6,600, policymakers may feel forced to act. At the same time, Jerome Powell is expected to signal that stagflation risks are rising, meaning slower growth coinciding with higher inflation. This …
The percentage of voters with significant levels of confidence in the Supreme Court has dropped to its lowest point since NBC News began polling on the question in 2000, according to the most recent survey. The latest NBC News poll shows that 22% of registered voters nationally said they have a “great deal” or “quite …
TraderHC @traderhc The dollar just broke below 99 during a genuine risk-off episode. Read that situation carefully. $DXY is supposed to rally when $VIX is at 25 and fear gauges are flashing. That’s the Dollar Smile theory. Crisis means dollar strength. Instead, the greenback is making new lows. The 2-year yield at 3.56% tells the …
Saudi Arabia has started reducing oil production as the near-blockage of the critical Strait of Hormuz starts filling storage tanks, according to a person familiar with the matter, even as it rushes to reroute some supplies through the Red Sea. The cuts by the kingdom, the world’s biggest oil exporter, follow the United Arab Emirates, …
Republican Rep. Tony Gonzales dropped his reelection bid for his Texas congressional district on Thursday, after admitting to an affair with a staffer who later died by suicide. “After deep reflection and with the support of my loving family, I have decided not to seek reelection while serving out the rest of this Congress with …
Footage shows multiple explosions going off into a plume of smoke in an Iranian city. 🚨 JUST IN: CENTCOM drops bad*ss footage of the US military blowing up MULTIPLE key Iranian regime sites, obliterating their ability to strike back even further "The Iranian regime's ability to impact U.S. forces and regional partners is rapidly declining, …
For tomorrow market – I see premiums are really bullish. When I check option by option I see this First image: FULL BEAR MODE, $SPY PUTS AT 675Second: FULL BEAR MODE, shorting $SPY calls at 684 But the third: some puts are being shorted (third image). But this 665 friday… pic.twitter.com/R41OBvDSj8 — Data Driven Stocks …
US President Donald Trump hinted that Ali Khamenei’s potential successors will be killed as the conflict with Iran escalates. “Their leadership is just rapidly going. Everybody that seems to want to be a leader, they end up dead,” Trump said on Wednesday. https://www.iranintl.com/en/202603043711
U.S. Navy guided-missile destroyers are delivering unrelenting, overwhelming firepower from regional waters. DAY and NIGHT. pic.twitter.com/3YTiFkFc1V — U.S. Central Command (@CENTCOM) March 3, 2026
Netflix is walking away from a deal to buy Warner Bros. Discovery’s studio and streaming assets after the WBD board on Thursday deemed a revised bid by Paramount Skydance to be a superior offer. Earlier this week, Paramount raised its bid to buy the entirety of WBD to $31 per share, up from $30 per …
Donald Trump is now officially the least popular politician to hold office in the history of America. — Jo (@JoJoFromJerz) February 24, 2026 No, the claim isn’t accurate. Lowest historical presidential approval was Truman at 22% (Gallup, 1952). Trump’s current job approval averages ~40% approve / ~56% disapprove (RCP, NYT, Pew, WaPo-ABC as of Feb …
🚨 CRYPTO LIQUIDITY JUST HIT A LEVEL LAST SEEN DURING THE FTX COLLAPSE USDT supply has fallen over -$3B in 60 days — matching conditions near Bitcoin’s 2022 BOTTOM. When stablecoins supply shrink, it means investors are pulling capital out. But historically, these liquidity… pic.twitter.com/TD6f3fQR9G — Coin Bureau (@coinbureau) February 23, 2026 Commercials are extremely …
https://twitter.com/EndWokeness/status/2024301214255423590
🚨KEVIN O'LEARY just SHOCKED a leftist CNN panel by DROPPING TRUTH on the SAVE America Act! “EVERY country, Europe, France, Switzerland, Australia, SOLVED this problem DECADES ago! A: You gotta be a CITIZEN to vote, and you gotta PROVE IT!” Pass it! pic.twitter.com/0INQds3iqw — Gunther Eagleman™ (@GuntherEagleman) February 17, 2026 Kevin O'Leary finally reached his …
Today the HHS DOGE team open sourced the largest Medicaid dataset in department history. This dataset contains aggregated, provider-level claims data for a specific billing code over time. For example, using this dataset, it would have been possible to easily detect the large-scale autism diagnosis fraud seen in Minnesota. Download the data yourself: https://opendata.hhs.gov/ Today …
