Independent thinking for complex markets and current events
Oil prices fell more than 5% Wednesday after U.S. President Donald Trump said that Washington and Tehran are “in negotiations right now” and indicated Iran is keen to reach a peace agreement, despite the Islamic Republic denying any direct talks with the U.S. International benchmark Brent crude futures fell nearly 6% to $98.31 per barrel, …
Please don't panic! Minister insists UK CAN stop Iranian missiles despite alarm over lack of defences… and no need for fuel rationing 'as it stands' https://t.co/ju0DVCSzXU — Daily Mail (@DailyMail) March 22, 2026 A Cabinet minister tried to cool alarm about Iran’s ability to hit the UK with long-range missiles today. Steve Reed insisted the …
Authored by Mike Shedlock via mishtalk, Home prices are still too unaffordable. Existing home sales have had no traction since declining to this level in October of 2022. Mortgage rates peaked at 7.62 percent in October 2023 over two years ago. The National Association or Realtors reports Existing-Home Sales Rise 1.7 Percent in February following a 5.9 …
Mossad Commentary @MOSSADil 🚨 ISRAEL PREPARING FOR AN EARLY END TO THE WAR WITH IRAN Israeli officials believe the U.S. could soon push for a halt to the war. But based on the pace of American military preparations and coordination, Israel is not impressed that the fighting is actually nearing an end. Inside Israel, Trump’s …
Mario Nawfal @MarioNawfal 🚨🇮🇷 Iran doesn’t need surface ships to hold Hormuz. It never did. The Azhdar UUV (unmanned underwater vehicle) runs at 25 knots, patrols for four days, covers 600km on a single charge. Silent. Invisible to most radar. Impossible to intercept from the air. Combine that with swarms of cheap UAVs, anti-ship missiles, …
Factcheck: The Daily Mail headline makes it sound like the CIA sat on some miracle cancer cure for 60 years, but that’s really not what the document is. When you actually look at what was declassified, it’s just a Cold War–era translation of a Soviet scientist’s speculative idea that parasites might play a role in …
$SPX has been going nowhere for months. That's about to change. Price is tracing out a bearish B-Wave triangle. If not already complete, one more bounce into the Daily FVG at 6,883–6,915 and the triangle terminates. What follows is a sharp C-Wave decline to SPX 6,720-6500.… pic.twitter.com/4AEmMSJl7s — TRIGGER TRADES (@TriggerTrades) February 28, 2026 What …
🚨 NEW: Mitch McConnell is stalling the SAVE America Act by refusing to schedule it, effectively blocking the bill despite GOP support.pic.twitter.com/5ShlfZ3zNf — Derrick Evans (@DerrickEvans4WV) February 20, 2026
BREAKING: 🇺🇸Epstein documents mentioning Trump's name continue to disappear Another 71 Epstein Files with the word Trump deleted from the DOJ Website We are now down from 5,361 to 4,727 – 634 files are gone@RyanRozbiani pic.twitter.com/iuSrcBQG0A — Megatron (@Megatron_ron) February 15, 2026 Factcheck: Based on recent DOJ releases and analyses from sources like NYT, CNN, …
via confoundedinterest17 The gap between 2s and 10s Treasuies is now the widest it’s been since early 2022. According to the Atlanta Fed GDP Now report, the current real GDP growth rate is 3.7%. But the yield curve is a forward looking measure.
BREAKING: BLS estimates the US economy ADDED +130,000 jobs in January, above expectations of +55,000. Over 60% of employment gains came from healthcare. The unemployment rate declined to 4.3%, from, 4.45 and below expectations of 4.4%. Revisions reduced job growth in November and December by a combined -17,000 versus prior reports. In other words, ALL …
🚨 WTF?! A jury in Louisville recommended 65 years in prison for a convicted RAPlST KIDNAPPER, and an activist judge cut it in HALF Because he’s BLACK. The convict made CRYSTAL CLEAR he didn’t have any remorse, and didn’t care about the victim. IMPEACH! pic.twitter.com/38vigX8h6f — Nick Sortor (@nicksortor) February 9, 2026 Per Grok: Fact …
The economy looks fine on paper while people struggle just to get by. As Statista’s Felix Richter reports below, according to the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, 9.3 million Americans reported working multiple jobs in November 2025 – the highest number ever recorded since the BLS started tracking multiple jobholders in 1994. https://www.activistpost.com/9-3-million-americans-work-multiple-jobs-to-make-ends-meet/ https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/LNS12026620 FED'S …
🚨BREAKING: Arnold Schwarzenegger just ended CNNs Jake Tapper to his face "In New Mexico 45% of the people voted for Trump… zero is sent to the House 0 representatives for the Republican Party”Would be a shame if this went viral on 𝕏 Thoughts……?? pic.twitter.com/1jsp4fYAtc — Diva (@DIVA_DIVA226688) February 8, 2026 🚨 Gov. Wes Moore just …
Despite Trump's ambitions, the odds of the U.S. acquiring any part of Greenland are declining. 21% chance.https://t.co/GGe6isYEMg — Polymarket (@Polymarket) February 2, 2026 US still seeks takeover of Danish Arctic island, Greenland’s PM Nielsen says Greenland mental health survey reflects anxiety over US pressure Neilsen calls situation ‘completely unacceptable’ COPENHAGEN, Feb 2 (Reuters) – Greenland …
by Michael How would the American people respond if they suddenly saw images of a U.S. aircraft carrier burning after it had been destroyed by an overwhelming Iranian assault? If the U.S. attacks Iran, and that appears to be very likely at this stage, the USS Abraham Lincoln will almost certainly be targeted by the …
Here is the source of the vibecesson We have outright deflation in rent, gas, eggs and milk vs last year but blue collar workers are expecting the squeeze to continue… inflation expectations are near 7%! They aren’t thinking about 12m changes and saying problem solved. They… pic.twitter.com/i38oCwNB6P — The Long View (@HayekAndKeynes) January 28, 2026 …
Thomas Massie’s political snapshot 📸 pic.twitter.com/UxeHd76b3Y — Politician Pages (@politicianpages) January 19, 2026 Proud to be voting for him again! https://t.co/oQYpwal0nm — Kacee Allen (@KaceeRAllen) January 19, 2026
They are dumping to every country. Retaliation will occur. — duane2020 (@duane2020a) January 14, 2026
Everything’s lining up for a Q1 shock. THE YEN PARADOX 82,640 contracts betting against the yen. Second highest since July 2024. The Bank of Japan just confessed this morning they have barely begun. After hiking to a 30 YEAR HIGH at 0.75 percent, the yen did not strengthen. It collapsed to 157.77. Finance Minister Katayama …
🚨JPMorgan Did NOT File an 8k Dec. 27th Disclosing $4.875 Billion in Unrealized Silver Losses 🚨 Accounts like @shanaka86 claimed they verified the info, but the last 8k filed by JPM was on Dec. 7th for insider trading. However no 8k filings were placed by JPM on December… pic.twitter.com/OggA6vRRoS — SilverTrade (@silvertrade) December 29, 2025
by confoundedinterest17 Well, tariffs didn’t turn out to be a lethal weapon as Democrats predicted. The US economy continues to grow! The GDPNow model estimate for real GDP growth (seasonally adjusted annual rate) in the third quarter of 2025 is 3.5 percent on December 16, down from 3.6 percent on December 11. After this morning’s releases from the US Census …
Old enough to remember. pic.twitter.com/nj4emql7a4 — BellaliberTea (@bellaliberteaa) December 8, 2025 How can Weingarten blame Trump after opposing his reopening plan in 2020?
Crazy to think that money supply is expanding this aggressively even as global central bank balance sheets have been contracting. We’ve seen a $10T increase in global money supply in just the past 12 months. Now imagine what happens once central banks inevitably need to expand their balance sheets again — which, in my view, …
US farmers are saying we “just need temporary help, until things get better.” Here’s the thing. US farm exports- which are mostly soy- CAN’T get better. Other countries are now fillingl China’s demand. We’ve walled ourselves out of the global market, folks. This is it. The thing is, this isn't even the first time US …
https://finance.yahoo.com/news/taiwan-not-agree-50-50-002030899.html Taiwan will not agree to a deal with the United States for half of all semiconductor production to take place in the country, the island’s top tariff negotiator said on Wednesday after returning home. U.S. Secretary of Commerce Howard Lutnick told U.S. television network News Nation over the weekend that Washington’s pitch to Taiwan …
PCE 0.3% MoM, Exp. 0.3% PCE 2.7% YoY, Exp. 2.7% PCE Core 0.2% MoM, Exp. 0.2% PCE Core 2.9% YoY, Exp. 2.9% But the trend is one – inflation goes UP pic.twitter.com/TmrXCFoc3C — Data Driven Stocks (@stockdatamarket) September 26, 2025 The Fed has to keep cutting rates. The cost of borrowing is far too high …
Iron Ore Hits Six-Month Highs Despite UBS Calling It "Least Discussed" With Investors https://t.co/Beue6dTikp — zerohedge (@zerohedge) September 10, 2025 Singapore iron ore futures have perked up over the past week, extending gains into a sixth straight session and approaching a six-month high as signs of revived Chinese demand emerge into the tail end of …
