Independent thinking for complex markets and current events
Both parties cheat in their own way but this is truly next level. @JoeBiden and @TheDemocrats rigged the jobs data for all of the Biden years. Disgraceful. Build Back Better was Built on Lies. — Sold At The Top (@soldatthetop) September 9, 2025
A bartender can go to jail for serving a drunk guy who drives and kills someone. But a judge lets a 14-time violent offender walk, and when he murders a young woman, nothing happens? It’s absurd, bartenders face harsher consequences for one mistake than judges do for letting dangerous criminals loose. Accountability for judges could …
US Steel is shuttering production at a mill in November, but its hundreds of workers will keep their jobs – for now – thanks to an agreement the company reached with the Trump administration. US Steel will stop producing steel at its Granite City, Illinois, mill at the end of October, but the 800 workers …
According to the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis (FRED), based on official BLS data: 2022: 3.5% 2023: 3.8% 2024: 4.1% June 2025: 4.1% July 2025: 4.2% August 2025: 4.3%
Authored by Mike Shedlock via mishtalk, Interesting Combination Today: Gold, the long bond yield, and the dollar are all up strongly. Interesting Market Action Gold: +$85.00 to $3,602 (+2.4 percent) 30-Year Long Bond Yield: Up 5 basis points (0.94 percent) to 4.97 percent US Dollar Index: Index level up 0.57 points (0.57 percent) to 98.257 …
Gold is making new highs, measured, in this case, against the US dollar, which is making headlines. The chart below, however, is far more interesting. The asset management industry runs on two asset classes only: stocks and bonds. Sure, asset managers talk a lot about other asset classes or invest in ‘other’ asset classes that …
$46.7 billion in revenue. A 56% jump from last year. A figure no chipmaker has ever touched. And the stock still fell more than 5% after hours. That is not strength. That is fragility revealed. The illusion is scale. The reality is concentration. The world’s most valuable chipmaker is leaning on a single platform, a …
Ten live facial recognition vans will be deployed – but human rights groups argue the tech is “dangerous and discriminatory”. The police’s use of facial recognition technology is to be significantly expanded in an attempt to catch more offenders, ministers have announced. Under the plans, 10 live facial recognition (LFR) vans will be used by …
HOLY FCUK NEVER SEEN A HOTTER PPI OMG Expectation was .2 % It came in at 1% 😱 — tic toc (@TicTocTick) August 14, 2025 Blowout PPI pic.twitter.com/GIHSOuSS1o — TT3 (@TradingThomas3) August 14, 2025 PPI. pic.twitter.com/NYsazFsA0x — Heisenberg (@Mr_Derivatives) August 14, 2025 Core PPI has risen by 0.6% . The services sector inflation has risen …
Republicans are working hard to keep Cory Mills in office. Not because he is innocent. They need his vote. The Florida congressman faces serious accusations. These include threatening revenge porn, assaulting a woman in his Washington apartment, lying about his Bronze Star, and failing to explain a $1.8 million loan to his campaign. Ethics groups …
D.C. ranks 4th in murders per capita. Trump is not asking. He is acting. Washington D.C. is not just dysfunctional. It is lethal. CrimeGrade gives the city an “F” for murder risk, ranking it in the 1st percentile for safety nationwide. https://crimegrade.org/murder-washington-dc/ That is not a warning. That is a failure notice. Newsweek’s crime map …
It's interesting to see some people claim inflation is slowing. The equal-weighted commodities index is up 12% in the past year. That’s real-world inflation. Meanwhile, US money supply just hit a new high, and the dollar is weakening sharply against other currencies, including… pic.twitter.com/xYS56p7DeX — Otavio (Tavi) Costa (@TaviCosta) August 9, 2025 Commodities surged 12% …
“Payroll employment growth slowed sharply to only 35,000 jobs per month over the three months ending in July. This is well below the moderate pace seen earlier in the year, likely due to a significant softening in labor demand.” https://www.upi.com/Top_News/US/2025/08/09/federal-reserve-rate-bowman/1681754774717/ The Fed’s dual mandate is breaking down. Inflation’s near target. Jobs are slipping. Tariffs are …
BNPL firms are holding back repayment data from credit bureaus. Not to protect late payers. To stop on-time customers from getting punished. “We will not share loan info with the credit bureaus until we see concrete evidence that BNPL data reflecting responsible payment behavior will help, not hurt, the credit scores of our customers.” https://www.investopedia.com/these-2-bnpl-companies-wont-share-your-info-with-the-credit-bureaus-and-that-could-be-a-good-thing-11786128 …
The U.S. Treasury just tried to borrow $42 billion in a 10-year auction. The auction tailed. Demand was soft. Foreign banks didn’t show. The bonds cleared at 4.255%, nearly 0.01% above trader expectations. https://www.wsj.com/livecoverage/stock-market-today-dow-sp-500-nasdaq-08-06-2025/card/treasury-yields-extend-rise-after-lackluster-10-year-note-auction-HTBkouvfXmDCyCkNft6O 🚨The U.S. just tried to borrow $42B in a 10-year auction. The auction tailed, demand tanked, and even foreign banks stepped …
Secretary Noem says the new facility dubbed Alligator Alcatraz will be a model for similar ICE detention centers in other states. https://www.cbsnews.com/news/alligator-alcatraz-model-kristi-noem-homeland-security/ This makes no sense. FEMA money meant for emergencies is funding tents and wire in remote Florida swamps. Folks who oppose it warn it feels more like a stunt than strategy. The site’s …
NBC News Correspondent Vaughn Hillyard reports from Tucson on how Adelita Grijalva won the Democratic primary for Arizona’s 7th Congressional District and what the results mean for the future of the party.
Retail sales stall again, mainstream hypes strength that isn’t there. While the mainstream #media was falling all over themselves yesterday to show how "great" the #retailsales number was as a sign of #economic strength, the reality is that retail sales haven't grown since 2022. By the way long, flat periods of retail sales have tended …
BREAKING: The Obama admin “MANUFACTURED” intelligence to create the Russia collusion hoax in 2016, per new documents declassified by @TulsiGabbard TIME FOR ARRESTS! A newly de-classified presidential briefing from Dec. 8, 2016 PROVED Obama knew it was a hoax, but pressed forward with it anyway. The brief read: “We assess that Russian and criminal actors …
The leaders of Australia and China sought to deepen trade ties despite their differences over regional security and human rights at talks Tuesday in the Chinese capital.
Many homebuyers, investors, and realtors are now wondering – will these Fed Rate Cuts stimulate the housing market? And cause more homebuyers to come back to the market? In this video, Reventure Consulting analyzes the data on home price affordability and finds that the U.S. Housing Market is a long way off from being affordable …
6.5M sidelined want work participation rate keeps falling… 1. Sector BreakdownJune job gains were led by gov’t, healthcare, and hospitality—low-wage, service-heavy sectors. Meanwhile, business services, manufacturing, and tech were flat or shrinking. This isn’t strength—it’s a shift toward unproductive labor. pic.twitter.com/STzuNl5NM8 — The Coastal Journal (@1CoastalJournal) July 3, 2025 3. People Not in Labor Force …
AMERICA’S LANDFILLS ARE COOKING PEOPLE ALIVE…LITERALLY Imagine living next to a garbage pile so big and hot it might secretly be on fire…but the company swears it’s not a fire. In Val Verde, CA, people are getting sick – headaches, nosebleeds, cancers – while the landfill next door spews out toxic gas and bubbling trash …
Despite their recent fued, Elon Musk gives credit to Donald Trump for the Gaza/Israel ceasefire deal. Can the two put their differences behind? pic.twitter.com/0WCMT6tjVj — Jesse Cohen (@JesseCohenInv) July 2, 2025 JUST IN: The Polymarket for Musk forming his own party by end of year are soaring. pic.twitter.com/JzGItsQIdl — unusual_whales (@unusual_whales) July 1, 2025 Greta …
President Trump is turning up the heat on Tokyo. With the July 9 tariff deadline closing in, he’s made it clear that Japan could face new duties of 30% to 35% on exports to the United States. The warning came during a press briefing and was later echoed on Truth Social, where Trump accused Japan …
BREAKING: The US Treasury posted a $316 billion budget deficit in May, the third-largest on record. This comes as total government outlays rose 3% from YoY, to $687 billion, per ZeroHedge. And, while tariff revenue surged 270% YoY, to a record $23 billion, it barely made a dent in the deficit. In the first 8 …
Woman refused to work for 18 years so she could get her Section 8 Housing Voucher to pay for her home It was a new build home and now she owns it, paid for by taxpayers “I work with Section 8 — This girl who is a nurse who has turned down several jobs because …
Israel’s market hit an all-time high today. Meanwhile, folks here in the U.S. remain jittery—missiles are falling like rain over there, yet their domestic market surges with unshaken optimism. pic.twitter.com/uxbIh3meKP — optionGeek (@StockShark16) June 17, 2025 While Iranian missiles tore through the skies over Tel Aviv, the Israeli stock market quietly broke a record. The …
The headlines keep flashing red. But when you follow the money, you get a different picture. Despite a world tangled in geopolitical tension and recession warnings, foreign investors are still gripping American stocks like they know something the headlines don’t. The numbers say it all. As of June 2024, Treasury data shows foreign holdings of …
