Independent thinking for complex markets and current events
By Jonny Haycock In this latest Gold Sessions, Jonny Haycock, Partner at VON GREYERZ, is joined by Alasdair Macleod to examine what may be shaping up to be a perfect storm for global markets. The discussion begins with Japan’s emerging role as a potential warning signal of wider sovereign debt stress, alongside accelerating de-dollarisation and rising geopolitical …
Private credit firms sold a record amount of debt to themselves last year as the buyout sector’s slowdown pushed them to find new ways to generate cash from loans to companies owned by private equity. Private lenders struck so-called continuation deals worth $15bn globally in 2025, up from almost $4bn the previous year, according to …
Our entire market and economy is a house of card of debts — ZeroSumTruths (@ZeroSumTruths) January 26, 2026 Meanwhile: TD Cowen had a data center themed analyst letter today that said that Oracle may lay off 20-30,000 people or sell Cerner to keep up with the debt on the data centers it’s building for OpenAI. …
If BlackRock is taking hits now, who is next in private credit? Friday evening news drop Troubled Loans Hammer BlackRock’s Private Credit Fund “A BlackRock Inc. private debt fund expects to mark down the net value of its assets 19% after a string of troubled loans weighed on results, marking the latest sign of pressure …
Not just in China. US margin debt is rocketing too – this will end badly.https://t.co/CmZQAysuRy — Common Sense Investor (CSI) (@commonsenseplay) January 23, 2026
Japan’s debt is a ticking time bomb and the whole world is about to get shredded while everyone pretends zero interest rates fixed anything. You've got to start asking: who's going to pay Japan's debt? Population growth is negative. Aging demographics are overwhelming the working. People aren't starting families. So who wants to buy their …
"I'm $6K Behind": Maryland Power Bill Crisis Sparks Debt Panic As 14,000 Residents Cry For Help Online https://t.co/5KseR0FZIF — zerohedge (@zerohedge) January 20, 2026 The Maryland power bill crisis first came to our attention in August 2024, when years of poor power-grid management by Democrats (mostly due to backfiring ‘green’ policies) in the state collided …
Guys – NO ONE wants to hold debt right now. Not mortgages, not governmental. Bond buyers earn their paychecks over time from interest payments. Risk of default is part of it, but when you factor in the time value of money as central banks obliterate currency value with excessive deficit spending, there is very little …
via Mike Maharrey Consumer borrowing cratered further in November, likely reflecting growing consumer stress, as price inflation persists and credit cards become maxed out. That’s bad news for a U.S. economy that depends on consumers buying stuff. Persistent price inflation forced Americans to blow through their savings and then turn to credit cards to make …
The market is junked up on margin debt and teetering like it did in 2000 and 2007, ready to implode on anyone dumb enough to stay in. The increase in #margin #debt has outpaced the rise in the #market, as leverage provides additional buying power. However, while the current level is elevated, it is now …
https://truthsocial.com/@realDonaldTrump/posts/115855894695940909 U.S. National Debt is growing by $1 million every 15 seconds — $6 billion increase every day. https://www.usdebtclock.org/
(Bloomberg) — Venezuela’s government has hired Rothschild & Co. as a financial adviser to provide an overview of its foreign debt obligations, according to sources with direct knowledge. Rothschild is working to determine what the administration owes and to whom, said the people, who spoke on condition of anonymity because it was a contract that …
Japan just flipped the switch after decades of easy money and the markets are starting to feel it. The Yen is about to dance, rates are climbing, and every risk asset is waking up to the new reality. 🚨 BOJ GOES FULL HAWKISH MODE 🇯🇵 Bank of Japan Governor Kazuo Ueda says rate hikes will …
People keep calling bonds “safe,” but that’s a straight-up lie. Long bonds in 2021 looked boring and secure, but inflation turned them into a nightmare. “Bonds are a safe-haven asset” is one of the biggest lies in financial markets. Bond performance is heavily dependent on the inflationary environment. – Disinflation -> bonds up– Inflation -> …
This is the reason our country is in debt. It must be stopped. — Suzee Q (@SusieM414141) December 30, 2025 WTH 😳It's just been exposed that Minnesota AG Keith Ellison's Son has been collecting a $110,000 salary & $57,000 living expense stipend from the Minneapolis City Council while attending Harvard. pic.twitter.com/4Dpi4qWlmP — 🦅 Eagle Wings …
🚨The number of US ETFs is going parabolic, and it exceeded 900. The risk appetite has been rising, and the industry has been responsive. However, I would not be shocked if the number of ETFs drop below 100 after the next bear market. https://t.co/ZHWs1nnAqo — BraVoCycles Newsletter (@BraVoCycles) December 28, 2025 🚨 Margin Debt Keeps …
Everything’s lining up for a Q1 shock. THE YEN PARADOX 82,640 contracts betting against the yen. Second highest since July 2024. The Bank of Japan just confessed this morning they have barely begun. After hiking to a 30 YEAR HIGH at 0.75 percent, the yen did not strengthen. It collapsed to 157.77. Finance Minister Katayama …
You can print debt forever, but you cannot print silver $318 Trillion in Debt Could Break the Silver Market There’s one number Wall Street doesn’t want you thinking about: $318 trillion. That’s how much global debt exists right now, and my cousin Asian Guy breaks down why this debt spiral could collide with a silver …
This isn’t some random commodities pop. This is what happens when governments fund deficits with short-term paper and quietly drain liquidity from the system. Money tightens, stress shows up first in hard assets, and suddenly everyone remembers what real collateral looks like. The market is front-running central banks because it knows the squeeze always breaks …
SINGAPORE/LONDON, Dec 24 (Reuters) – The U.S. dollar was on the back foot on Wednesday and set for its biggest yearly fall since 2017, possibly with more to come, as investors wagered the Federal Reserve would have room to cut rates further next year even as most of its peers look finished with easing. Tuesday’s …
The world is drowning in debt and nobody is sounding the alarm. Over $300 trillion owed globally, more than three times what the planet produces in a year. The U.S. alone carries $38 trillion, Europe’s biggest economies are maxed out, and developing nations are borrowing faster than they have in fifty years. Rates go up …
Sold a house got to a million and lost it all, now I owe the IRS 179k and I owe creditors 100k do not do options if you adhd byu/Stardazedlover inwallstreetbets Hello, Firstly I already know what most of you are thinking, how could you do this? Trust me…I know. I’m in an absolute low …
Oracle was planning to build a massive $10 billion AI data center in Michigan with OpenAI as part of their Stargate. initiative. But Blue Owl Capital, the investment firm financing it, just walked away from the deal. The reason? Oracle’s debt has exploded to $108 billion and lenders are getting nervous about whether the company …
The numbers finally crossed a line that people in Washington used to swear we would never cross, and now that we are here the reaction feels almost casual. The $38 trillion national debt to blame for over $1 trillion in annual interest payments America’s fiscal outlook continues to enter uncharted territory, with the Committee for …
The AI capex narrative looks far healthier than many assume. — Jordan | AI Investor (@HyperAICapital) December 16, 2025 The Sam Altman interview now reads like a local top. The AI buildout is still early so this pullback looks more like a reset than a bubble but it’s a great reminder that leadership posture matters …
The US economy is in a hiring recession byu/RobertBartus inEconomyCharts What kind of jobs are available to someone with a BA in "Communication"? BA in Spanish is nice, if you are ordering in a restaurant. BFA in Dance might get you a boyfriend. Everybody and their dog is a journalist today. Can you weld? That …
“4 distressed office buildings in Los Angeles, California. Brookfield and its lenders (and receivers and special servicers) are peddling four active offerings that total about 4.9M SF of Class A office space in the Financial District, roughly 18% of the total inventory. EY Plaza: Colliers is marketing the $275M, non-preforming note tied to the property …
The Fed just admitted markets won’t buy $9 trillion of federal debt coming due. So the Fed will. Last time the Fed did this in the 1940’s it led to 20% inflation. When Germany did it in the 1930’s it led to hyperinflation. pic.twitter.com/psiog1hcLo — Peter St Onge, Ph.D. (@profstonge) December 15, 2025 Before and …
Oracle debt to the moon 🚀🌓 by inwallstreetbets For the six-month period ending Nov. 30, Oracle generated $10.2 billion in operating cash flow and used $20.5 billion for capital expenditures. That works out to a negative free cash flow of $10.3 billion. Capital spending more than tripled year-over-year during the period as Oracle plowed ahead …
$MSFT news last week now this, what is SEC doing? https://t.co/ieuyGXnoC3 — TT3 (@TradingThomas3) December 12, 2025 Grok: Oracle stock fell after Bloomberg reported delays in some OpenAI data centers to 2028 due to labor/material shortages. Oracle denied it, stating no delays to contractual sites and all milestones on track. This echoes last week’s report …