Independent thinking for complex markets and current events
by Chris Black Hedge funds are positioning to short energy into 2024 (“reducing length”, likely in anticipation of recession), and while part of that does include selling longs, Goldman notes that the recent 10% plunge (marked with a red circle) in net trading flow into energy is driven by aggressive shorting: “Energy long/short ratio fell …
Sen. Ron Johnson Shares the Most Censored Chart in Congressional History Drug Adverse Event Comparison (01/01/1996 – 10/27/23): Ivermectin – 4,265HCQ – 28,823Flu Vaccine – 220,346Dexamethasone – 110,185Tylenol – 136,079Remdesivir – 9,290COVID Vaccines – 1,605,764 pic.twitter.com/DA68xlW51c — The Vigilant Fox 🦊 (@VigilantFox) November 14, 2023 Attorney Accuses the CIA and DoD of Being Deeply Involved …
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By Graham Summers, MBA The Fed didn’t raise rates yesterday. What it did do was update its projected dot plot for where Fed officials expect rates to be in 2024 and 2025. The Fed now only expects to cut rates twice in 2024, as opposed to four times. In very simple terms, the Fed sent a …
by Qplus17 The chart is behind a paywall here: https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2023-08-24/washington-s-top-middle-eastern-allies-move-closer-to-china?utm_source=website&utm_medium=share&utm_campaign=twitter If you add in India you’re up to $175bn/year.
by mark000 And projection for 2023 is another $1.5 Trillion. The current “USA economy strong” story is bullshit. It’s totally dependent on ongoing massive govt stimmy life support.
by InternationalTop2405 If domestic production is struggling TSLA a premium auto brand will definitely struggle going forward in China and the US.
by confoundedinterest17 The themesong of Bidenomics is Randy Newman’s “Mr. President,” Have pity on the working man instead of paying off green energy BIG donors. The massive green enegy spending spree by Biden and Congress (disguised as Inflation Reduction Act) is the keystone of Bidenomics. Or loadstone. Since Biden became President, hourly pay has risen 12%! Unfortunately, …
As long as companies are interested in generative artificial intelligence, Nvidia stands to benefit. Nvidia shares closed up more than 7% on Monday, underscoring how investors believe the company’s graphics processing units, or GPUs, will continue to be the most popular computer chips used to power massive large language models that can generate compelling text. …
Source: https://www.newyorkfed.org/research/capital_markets/ycfaq.html#/overview The yield curve as a leading indicator uses the 10y-3mo value to predict the probability of recession. July report came out a couple days ago and May ’24 is higher than any time in the last 40 years at 70.85%. This is not the fed’s official prediction but is a tool they build and …
by confoundedinterest17 I wanted to play Aaron Copland’s Fanfare For The Common Man, but thought that The Federal Reserve theme song (laughing song from “Death in Venice”) was more appropriate given their insane money printing since 2008 then 2020 with Covid. Yes, The Fed is laughing at us. Bidenomics, massive spending on green energy mandates while curbing fossil …
By Graham Summers, MBA The $USD is breaking down… in a big way. The greenback peaked in October 2022. After plunging some 11% from October 2022 to January 2023, the $USD has since been moving in a range or what trader’s would call a “consolidation phase.” There are a couple key issues to consider when …
via wallstreetonparade: Between March 10 and May 1 of this year, three of the largest bank failures in U.S. history occurred. On March 10 the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation (FDIC) seized Silicon Valley Bank after $42 billion in deposits had exited the bank the day prior with another $100 billion queued up to leave the …
by DesmondMilesDant Well in the first as written in the flash screen: Fed bal sheet – Tga – Rrp – Fed net operating losses. As for the second chart it’s the old measure: Fed bal sheet – Tga – Rrp. P.s. Not mark to mark but when paying up more in interest than receiving in …
by Dismal-Jellyfish Source: https://www.marketwatch.com/story/this-incredible-chart-shows-the-close-relationship-between-the-s-p-500-and-fed-liquidity-166542a7 Earnings, schmearnings. Is what really matters just liquidity? This incredible chart, from Apollo Global Management chief economist Torsten Slok, shows the close relationship between S&P 500 SPX, -0.37% performance and net Federal Reserve quantitative easing (QE) since the pandemic began. Here, Fed QE is defined as the Fed’s total assets minus the balance of the …
