$175B AI capex test begins Wednesday

Microsoft and Alphabet to report earnings; market demands “AI proof” in cloud… Azure constant-currency growth pegged at 38%—anything less triggers a derating… Google Cloud RPO (Backlog) becomes the “Scoreboard” for enterprise AI demand… Hyperscalers projected to spend $185B in 2026; …

READ MORE

CAPEX investements “competition” will now be replaced with who of MAG7 borrowed more. BofA: only Microsoft generating cash flow in excess of capex in FY26. Someone is buying $17M+ worth of $QQQ puts for 3/6

CAPEX investements "competition" will now be replaced with who of MAG7 borrowed more. — Alex_Swiss_Investor (@Alex70848763197) February 9, 2026 Per Grok: These SEC filings allow companies to prepare for issuing securities like stocks or bonds. Google’s 424B5 prospectus supplements a …

READ MORE

Low rates push SPY valuation to 25× forward earnings, NVDA trades at 45× earnings, far above historical norms. The three longest and dominant US CAPEX cycles suggest a CAPEX downturn until early 2036.

When CAPEX history meets nosebleed valuations, the only direction for risk is down. “What lower short term rates have done is keep stock prices elevated & valuations stretched. That distortion shows up clearly in the data. The $SPY currently trades …

READ MORE

Manufacturing Contracts, Goldman’s Capex Tracker Dips, and Business Inventory Nears Contraction Levels, Echoing Troubling Precedents

The convergence of contracting manufacturing, a downward trend in Goldman’s Capex tracker, and business inventory nearing contraction levels raises ominous parallels with past economic downturns. This alarming pattern, witnessed during the Dot Com bubble, the Financial Crisis, and the Pandemic, …

READ MORE