Independent thinking for complex markets and current events
Microsoft and Alphabet to report earnings; market demands “AI proof” in cloud… Azure constant-currency growth pegged at 38%—anything less triggers a derating… Google Cloud RPO (Backlog) becomes the “Scoreboard” for enterprise AI demand… Hyperscalers projected to spend $185B in 2026; “Revenue miss” is not an option… wow. Thats crazy Big Tech Al Spending 👀! > …
CAPEX investements "competition" will now be replaced with who of MAG7 borrowed more. — Alex_Swiss_Investor (@Alex70848763197) February 9, 2026 Per Grok: These SEC filings allow companies to prepare for issuing securities like stocks or bonds. Google’s 424B5 prospectus supplements a registration for specific offerings. Amazon’s S-3ASR is an automatic shelf registration for flexible future issuances. …
When CAPEX history meets nosebleed valuations, the only direction for risk is down. “What lower short term rates have done is keep stock prices elevated & valuations stretched. That distortion shows up clearly in the data. The $SPY currently trades near ~25× forward earnings, well above its long-term median closer to ~16×” FULL ANALYSIS BELOW! …
I don’t know who needs to hear this but… There is a NON-zero chance that tomorrow’s AI boom ends tomorrow. I’m not betting that way, but it is important to realize that there is a non-zero chance it all ends tomorrow with $NVDA earnings. Some of ya’ll way too concentrated.… — I Sell Options Guy …
again https://t.co/9fWlkp43o3 — Benn Eifert 🥷🏴☠️ (@bennpeifert) August 20, 2025 OPENAI CEO SAM ALTMAN CONCEDES GPT-5 WAS A MISFIRE, BETS ON GPT-6 — *Walter Bloomberg (@DeItaone) August 20, 2025 Dot-com Bubble 2.0 https://t.co/n1zf8oBAxI — Financelot (@FinanceLancelot) August 20, 2025 Nasdaq $QQQ 🚨 We Have a Problem 🤯👀 pic.twitter.com/rGZnMRQqm4 — Barchart (@Barchart) August 20, 2025
Big Oil says the music has stopped playing in Texas. CapEx plans RIP. New drilling RIP. Layoffs next. pic.twitter.com/OhB16MxTXo — Spencer Hakimian (@SpencerHakimian) May 7, 2025 What did I warn about last night? Why do you think OPEC increased production Monday? To shut down ours and then have pricing power. https://t.co/DPyqUfi55p — QE Infinity (@StealthQE4) …
Piper Sandler Analyzes Sensitivity of $NVDA Data Center Revenues to Capex Slowdown Analyst comments: “We performed a sensitivity analysis on NVIDIA’s data center revenues to assess potential impacts from a slowdown in capital expenditures over the next year. In our worst-case scenario—assuming capex cuts across all NVDA data center end markets and no recovery in …
Capex growth is slowing from here:$MSFT : “Capex in 3Q and 4Q should be similar to 2Q.”$TSLA: “Capex will be flat.”$META: “It’s possible that we’ll learn otherwise at some point, but I think it’s way too early to make that call." pic.twitter.com/06YMK2ZHKg — JaguarAnalytics (@JaguarAnalytics) January 29, 2025
“Stellar NFIB Sep report showing an economy steaming ahead at full throttle. Max uncertainty – highest on record, higher than during COVID Ease of hiring – Sep major easing vs August completely at odds with NFP – As easy as Dec 19 (Smalls are largest private employers in US) % planning capex spend down 5 …
There are signs of exhaustion in margin expansion, prompting investors to seek more clarity about the earnings impact from heavy capital expenditures (capex) on AI. This trend has been noted by analysts, such as Konstantinos Venetis from TS Lombard, who highlighted that the pressure on margins is prompting investors to look closely at how significant …
The convergence of contracting manufacturing, a downward trend in Goldman’s Capex tracker, and business inventory nearing contraction levels raises ominous parallels with past economic downturns. This alarming pattern, witnessed during the Dot Com bubble, the Financial Crisis, and the Pandemic, underscores potential challenges ahead for the economy. Manufacturing pic.twitter.com/7NYfAV8mVk — Win Smart, CFA (@WinfieldSmart) November …
