The University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment index has moved down to 55, a reading below 99% of historical data points going back to 1952.
But at the same time, US Retail Sales grew 4.8% over the last year, outpacing inflation by 1.8%.
We’ve never seen a disconnect this wide between what the US consumer is saying and what they are doing.
One clue: housing pic.twitter.com/o35lScMqLG
— Vince Jansen (@Vince_R_Jansen) October 2, 2025